River Flood Warning 84, NWS Atlanta, GA

404 
WGUS82 KFFC 070318
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Nancy Creek West Wesley Rd. near Atlanta affecting Fulton County

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Big Creek near Cumming affecting Forsyth County 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Vinings Paces Ferry Road affecting Cobb 
  and Fulton Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Atlanta South Cobb Drive affecting Cobb 
  and Fulton Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Whitesburg affecting Carroll...Coweta and
  Heard Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Columbus affecting Lee...Russell...
  Chattahoochee and Muscogee Counties 

  Suwanee Creek near Suwanee affecting Gwinnett County 

  Sweetwater Creek near Austell affecting Cobb and Douglas Counties 

  Flint River near Lovejoy affecting Clayton...Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16 affecting Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19 affecting Crawford...
  Talbot...Taylor and Upson Counties 

  Chattahoochee River near Vinings Cobb Parkway affecting Cobb and 
  Fulton Counties 

  Noses Creek near Powder Springs affecting Cobb County 

  Flint River near Molena affecting Meriwether and Pike Counties 

  Turkey Creek near Byromville affecting Dooly County 


GAC117-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-200208T0220Z/
/CMGG1.1.ER.200206T1435Z.200206T2345Z.200207T2020Z.UU/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Big Creek near Cumming.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 845 PM Thursday the stage was 8.5 feet, and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to   
  continue.
* Flood stage is 6 feet.
* The river will continue to fall, dropping below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* At 8 feet, minor flooding continues well into the natural 
  flood plain of the creek upstream and downstream from the gage at 
  Atlanta Highway, or Georgia Highway 9. Most of the sidewalk and 
  boardwalk of the Big Creek Greenway will be under a foot or two of 
  water. The areas under the Georgia 400 Highway and McFarland Road 
  will be covered with around three feet of water. A portion of the 
  sidewalk under Majors Road will be covered with around four feet of 
  water.

&&

LAT...LON 3418 8424 3417 8420 3411 8419 3410 8420
      3410 8425 3411 8424             

$$

GAC117-121-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-200209T0112Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.200206T1348Z.200207T1800Z.200208T1912Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 845 PM Thursday the stage was 9.8 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising, reaching near 10.4 feet by Friday 
  afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Saturday 
  afternoon.
* At 10 feet, minor flooding expands along the creek from near Cumming 
  to Alpharetta and Roswell. Backyards of homes off Seale Drive and 
  Gunter Court and portions of the Golf of Georgia are under a foot of 
  water. The Big Creek Greenway experiences significant flooding up to 
  4 feet deep with closure of the paths. This especially occurs 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on Kimball Bridge Road and 
  Rock Mill Park. A large portion of the YMCA Campground off Preston 
  Ridge Road will be under a two feet of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC067-121-071717-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VIXG1.1.ER.200206T1752Z.200207T0001Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Vinings Cobb Parkway.
* Until further notice.
* At 915 PM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet, and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is expected to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* At 16 feet, minor flooding occurs in the woodlands and affects   
  large portions of the Chattahoochee National Recreation Area along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on Cobb Parkway. The 
  flood waters will be around one foot deep over portions of the 
  access road to the recreation area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3392 8447 3391 8440 3382 8442 3383 8449


$$

GAC067-121-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-200207T1945Z/
/VING1.1.ER.200206T1944Z.200207T0600Z.200207T1345Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Vinings Paces Ferry Road.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 15.2 feet, and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will remain nearly steady between 15.2 and 15.4 feet 
  through early Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage later Friday morning.
* Between 14 and 16 feet, minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on Paces Ferry 
  Road. Most of an athletic field at Lovett School, the backyards of 
  homes on Cochise Drive, Paces Ferry Drive, Paces Manor and 
  Farmington Drive, as well as walking paths by a restaurant will be 
  under 3 feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3392 8447 3391 8440 3382 8442 3383 8449


$$

GAC067-121-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-200208T0041Z/
/CHAG1.1.ER.200207T0309Z.200207T1200Z.200207T1841Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Atlanta South Cobb Drive.
* From tonight until Friday evening.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 23.6 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tonight, then 
  continue rising, reaching near 25.5 feet by Friday morning. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* At 24 feet, minor flooding occurs of the woodlands and fields in the 
  natural flood plain upstream and downstream from the gage on South 
  Cobb Drive. The water level reaches the railroad tracks in the 
  industrial area on both sides of the river near the bridge. 

  Between 24 and 26 feet, minor flooding occurs in the woodlands and 
  fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  South Cobb Drive. Flood waters one to two feet deep cover portions 
  of the railroad tracks in the industrial area on both sides of the 
  river. The water level approaches the foundations of a few 
  commercial buildings in the area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3383 8449 3382 8442 3372 8455 3376 8460


$$

GAC045-077-149-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0091.200207T0443Z-200209T0100Z/
/WHTG1.1.ER.200207T0443Z.200208T0000Z.200208T1900Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Whitesburg.
* From tonight until Saturday evening.
* At 915 PM Thursday the stage was 15.5 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning, then continue rising reaching near 20.5 feet by Friday 
  evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by 
  Saturday afternoon.
* At 17 feet, minor flooding begins in the woodlands and fields along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 27, 
  or Georgia Highway 16. Flood waters reach the top of the boat ramp 
  at Riverside Park next to the bridge. The playground at a day use 
  area on the west side of the Chattahoochee Bend State Park will 
  begin to flood.

  between 19 and 21 feet, minor flooding continues in the woodlands 
  and fields upstream and downstream from the gage at U.S. Highway 
  27, or Georgia Highway 16. The parking lot of Riverside Park next to 
  the bridge will begin to flood. A sod farm upstream also experiences 
  flooding. Flooding occurs on some unimproved dirt roads along the 
  river. The playground at a day use area in the Chattahoochee Bend 
  State Park will be under two feet of water. Flood waters will 
  surround tent platforms on the North Camping Site of the park.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3359 8484 3355 8478 3350 8479 3341 8498
      3344 8505 3350 8493             

$$

ALC081-113-GAC053-215-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-200208T0000Z/
/CBUG1.1.ER.200206T2118Z.200206T2145Z.200207T1800Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattahoochee River near Columbus.
* From after midnight Friday morning until Friday evening.
* At 915 PM Thursday the stage was 26.9 feet, and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage after midnight 
  early Friday morning and continue rising, reaching to near 27.1 
  feet later Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Friday afternoon.
* At 27 feet, minor flooding occurs along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the 14th Street bridge. Portions of the 
  River Walk in Columbus begin to flood and will be closed to the 
  public. The water level continues to approach the foundation of the 
  Phenix City Amphitheater in Alabama.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3259 8511 3262 8505 3251 8496 3238 8495
      3238 8502 3250 8503             

$$

GAC135-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200207T2149Z/
/SWEG1.1.ER.200206T2118Z.200207T0200Z.200207T1549Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Suwanee Creek near Suwanee.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 915 PM Thursday the stage was 9.4 feet, and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will begin to fall, dropping to below flood stage by late 
  Friday morning.
* At 9 feet, minor flooding occurs along the creek upstream and 
  downstream from the gage at U S Highway 23, or Buford Highway. Most 
  of the Suwanee Creek Greenway and trails are flooded from the 
  Suwanee Creek Park to George Pierce Park. The minor flooding will 
  also begin to affect portions of the playground area behind the 
  Suwanee Elementary School. 

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8403 3410 8396 3403 8398 3401 8413
      3403 8412 3406 8409             

$$

GAC067-071717-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NOSG1.1.ER.200206T2107Z.200207T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noses Creek near Powder Springs.
* Until further notice.
* At 930 PM Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is expected to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 11 feet, minor flooding occurs in the woodlands and the natural 
  flood plain upstream and downstream from the gage at Powder Springs 
  Road. A walkway parallel to the creek on the right bank will be 
  under two feet of water.

  At 13 feet, minor flooding continues in the woodlands and the 
  natural flood plain upstream and downstream from the gage at Powder 
  Springs Road. A walkway parallel to the creek on the right bank will 
  be under 4 feet of water.

&&

LAT...LON 3381 8467 3386 8469 3395 8466 3394 8458
      3386 8462 3383 8460             

$$

GAC067-097-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0079.200207T0458Z-200208T0300Z/
/AUSG1.1.ER.200207T0458Z.200207T1200Z.200207T2100Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sweetwater Creek near Austell.
* From tonight until Friday evening.
* At 945 PM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet, and rising. 
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The creek is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning, then continue to rising, reaching near 10.8 feet later 
  Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* At 10 feet, minor flooding occurs in the woodlands and fields 
  upstream and downstream from the gage near the Interstate 20 bridge. 
  Portions of a paintball playing field just downstream of the bridge 
  begin to flood. Athletic fields in the Woodrow Wilson Park on Mount 
  Vernon Road begin to flood due to water backing up in ditches. Water 
  also begins to floods yards of four elevated homes along Mount 
  Vernon Road. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3379 8464 3385 8463 3380 8459 3374 8459
      3370 8463 3376 8466             

$$

GAC063-113-255-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0092.200207T0331Z-200208T0536Z/
/LOVG1.1.ER.200207T0331Z.200207T1200Z.200207T2336Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Lovejoy.
* From tonight until late Friday night.
* At 945 PM Thursday the stage was 11.3 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning, then continue to rise, reaching near 13.8 feet later 
  Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Friday evening.
* At 12 feet, minor flooding begins. Flooding of Rivers Edge Golf 
  Course begins with several holes and fairways flooded. Flooding of   
  some yards begins upstream of gage between Upper Riverdale Road and 
  Highway 138.

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

GAC113-255-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0093.200207T0400Z-200209T0508Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.200207T0400Z.200208T0600Z.200208T2308Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16.
* From tonight until late Saturday night.
* At 945 PM Thursday the stage was 11.1 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and then continue to rising, reaching near 13.9 feet 
  Saturday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Saturday evening.
* At 12 feet, minor flooding begins in the woodlands, fields and 
  pasture upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 
  16, or Newnan Road.

  At 14 feet, minor flooding expands into the woodlands, fields 
  and pasture upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia 
  Highway 16, or Newnan Road. The backyards of homes at the end of 
  Landing Way upstream from the bridge will be flooded with around 
  one foot of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3316 8447 3322 8450             

$$

GAC199-231-071717-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0094.200208T0000Z-200208T2248Z/
/MOLG1.1.ER.200208T0000Z.200208T1200Z.200208T1648Z.UU/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Molena.
* From tomorrow evening until Saturday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 17.6 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 28 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday evening, 
  then continue rising, reaching near 28.4 feet by Saturday 
  morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Saturday 
  morning.
* At 20 feet, bankfull conditions are reached along the river from 
  Flat Shoals Road to the Georgia Highway 74 bridge.

  At 28 feet, minor flooding of the natural flood plain near the gage 
  location begins. Flooding continues to expand into the agricultural 
  and wooded areas downstream from the gage near the Georgia Highway 
  74 bridge. Elevated homes in this location will see a foot or two  
  of water underneath them.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3316 8454 3316 8447 3297 8449 3291 8446
      3287 8452 3297 8457             

$$

GAC079-263-269-293-071717-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0095.200207T0243Z-200210T2131Z/
/CLUG1.1.ER.200207T0243Z.200208T1200Z.200210T1531Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19.
* From tonight until Monday afternoon.
* At 945 PM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring,and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river is forecast to continue rising, reaching near 24.7 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* At 18 feet, minor flooding begins along the river in the woodlands 
  and low lying areas of fields upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on U.S. Highway 19. The water level will reach the top of a boat 
  ramp by the bridge on the Taylor County side of the river.

  At 24 feet, minor flooding expands further into the woodlands and 
  fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. 
  Highway 19. The flood waters will be up to 6 feet deep over the top 
  of the boat ramp and cover a portion of the access road by the 
  bridge on the Taylor County side of the river.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8430 3275 8421 3257 8398 3253 8405
      3265 8415 3276 8437             

$$

GAC093-071717-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0099.200207T0429Z-200208T0806Z/
/BVLG1.1.ER.200207T0429Z.200207T1600Z.200208T0206Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turkey Creek near Byromville.
* From tonight until late Friday night.
* At 945 PM Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The creek is forecast to continue rising, reaching near 10.5 feet 
  Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Friday evening.
* At 10 feet, minor flooding of woodlands occurs upstream and 
  downstream from the stream gage on Georgia Highway 90. Portions of 
  creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to flood.

  At 11 feet, minor flooding expands into the woodland areas upstream 
  and downstream from the stream gage on Georgia Highway 90. Larger 
  portions of creek access roads will flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3229 8385 3225 8380 3218 8387 3210 8391
      3210 8398 3220 8394             

$$

GAC121-070348-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200207T0318Z/
/NANG1.1.ER.200206T2017Z.200206T2245Z.200207T0117Z.NO/
1018 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Nancy Creek West Wesley Rd. near Atlanta.
* This takes effect immediately.
* Until Wednesday December 31.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet, and falling.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3388 8444 3384 8440 3382 8441 3383 8446


$$

592 
WGUS82 KFFC 071115
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
615 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Noses Creek near Powder Springs affecting Cobb County

 
GAC067-071145-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-200207T1115Z/
/NOSG1.1.ER.200206T2107Z.200207T0445Z.200207T1002Z.NO/
615 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Noses Creek near Powder Springs.

* At 530 AM Friday the stage was 10.8 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3381 8467 3386 8469 3395 8466 3394 8458
      3386 8462 3383 8460             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
307 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...

The line of showers and thunderstorms that have brought a round of
severe weather and torrential flooding rainfall. The severe threat
looks to exit the forecast area by 8 PM tonight with the
expiration of the ongoing Tornado Watch. However, ongoing flooding
issues may continue with heavy runoff and another half inch of
rain expected behind the main line of storms. A Flash Flood Watch
will continue through Friday morning with several reports of
severe flooding ongoing in north Georgia.

As heavy rain filters out and isolated light showers move into
the area behind them the colder air moving in behind the front
will lead to possible snow showers and flurries across north
Georgia Friday morning. Accumulations around an inch may be
possible on western slopes in the Georgia Blue Ridge mountains.
Further flurries may continue on Saturday morning as well with
another brief round of lighter rainfall.

Thiem

.LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...

Given ongoing severe weather today only tweeks were made to the
extended forecast. The previous discussion follows...

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 416 AM EST Thu Feb 6 2020/

The first portion of the long term will be the rare dry period but
as has been the case, this will not last for long. A secondary
shortwave will drop through the midwest and eventually the
Mississippi Valley Sat morning with surface reflection passing
well north of the area. GFS continues to be most aggressive with
this feature and the associated moisture although the ECMWF has
trended slightly wetter as well. Still going to use a blend which
yields likely pops over the far NE zones through Sat afternoon.
Timing will be critical as we could see enough cold air lock in to
allow for a rain and snow mix over mountains primarily. ECMWF
indicates greater snow potential over a larger area than the GFS
but will lean toward the lower amounts which agrees with WPC. This
would yield a dusting to maybe two tenths of an inch over the
northeast mountains.

Another brief dry period for Sunday before next system moves in
quickly Monday into Tuesday and if you believe the ECMWF which
stalls the frontal boundary further north. Regardless, another
period of decent rainfall of over and inch. Not as impressive as
the current system but with ongoing flooding likely, this will
only exacerbate the problem. Although instability will be quite
minimal, did add a period of thunder for Tuesday afternoon as the
activity transitions into Central GA.

Depending on which long term solution verifies, we could see a
break on Wednesday but just as likely that front hangs around and
provides the focus for additional activity. Frontal boundary will
move through on Thu with good agreement this far out. An
additional inch of rain is likely with this system and possibly
quite a bit more in the far extended as models show front stalling
and additional waves impacting the area.

Deese

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
A broken line of showers and thunderstorms will cont to push
through the fcst area with a wide variety of svr wx and heavy rain
following. CIGS are very spotty at the moment, but expecting MVFR
to dominate through most of the TAF period with IFR possible
around the ATL sites between 22-06Z tonight. A mix of IFR/MVFR
VSBYS also likely with periods of heavy rain. Strong gusty SSW
winds ahead of the storms will transition to breezy west winds
tonight before strengthening again tomorrow morning with gusts up
to 25kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence on winds.
Low to Medium confidence on CIGS.
Medium confidence on all other elements.

Thiem

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          40  46  32  51 /  90  10  10  30
Atlanta         38  44  33  53 /  90  20  20  30
Blairsville     32  38  28  45 /  90  50  20  30
Cartersville    35  43  31  52 /  60  30  20  30
Columbus        40  49  36  60 /  90  20  20  20
Gainesville     38  43  32  48 /  90  20  20  30
Macon           42  50  34  58 / 100  10  10  20
Rome            36  43  32  52 /  40  30  20  30
Peachtree City  38  47  32  56 /  90  20  20  30
Vidalia         46  52  36  61 / 100   5   5  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Tornado Watch until 8 PM EST this evening for the following
zones: Baldwin...Bibb...Bleckley...Crawford...Crisp...Dodge...
Dooly...Emanuel...Glascock...Greene...Hancock...Houston...
Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Laurens...Macon...
Marion...Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Oglethorpe...Peach...
Pulaski...Putnam...Schley...Sumter...Taliaferro...Taylor...
Telfair...Toombs...Treutlen...Twiggs...Warren...Washington...
Webster...Wheeler...Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson.

Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for the following
zones: Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley...
Butts...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...
Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...
Dade...Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...Douglas...Emanuel...
Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Glascock...
Gordon...Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...
Harris...Heard...Henry...Houston...Jackson...Jasper...
Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Lamar...Laurens...Lumpkin...
Macon...Madison...Marion...Meriwether...Monroe...Montgomery...
Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...
Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...Pickens...Pike...Polk...
Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...South Fulton...Spalding...
Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...
Toombs...Towns...Treutlen...Troup...Twiggs...Union...Upson...
Walker...Walton...Warren...Washington...Webster...Wheeler...
White...Whitfield...Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...Thiem
LONG TERM....Thiem
AVIATION...Thiem

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
123 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071830-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
123 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

...Tornado Watch In Effect For Portions of Central and Eastern
Georgia Southwest Portions of the Forecast Area extending
southeast of a line from Columbus to Peachtree City, to
Lawrenceville, to Danielsville, until 8 PM tonight...

A line of showers and thunderstorms capable of producing damaging
winds and isolated tornadoes will continue to sweep through
portions of central and eastern Georgia. For this area, be
prepared for possible Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Warnings,
and be ready to take appropriate actions if necessary.

In addition to the severe storm potential, a Flash Flood Watch is
in effect for the entire forecast area through 7 AM Friday
morning as torrential rainfall will allow an additional 2 to 4
inches of rain. Heavy rain will quickly elevate the flood
potential across the area, especially in the higher terrain of
north Georgia, urban areas, low-lying areas, and small creeks and
streams. Please do not attempt to drive through flooded roadways;
Turn Around, Don't Drown!

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

The Flash Flood Watch will continue through Friday morning across
north and central Georgia. Flooding will continue well after the
rain ends in urban areas, low-lying areas, and small creeks and
streams.

Light rain and snow mix will be possible across far north Georgia
on Friday morning and Saturday morning, mainly in the higher
terrain. Little to no accumulations are anticipated at this time
for Friday but this could change with subsequent forecasts. A
dusting to less than a half an inch could be realized for the
Saturday system across the Northeast mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should monitor the latest information today for possible
activation across portions of north and central Georgia.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
343 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0313 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E EATONTON            33.33N  83.37W
02/06/2020                   PUTNAM             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER BETWEEN
            EATONTON AND LAKE OCONEE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000138

NLIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
346 PM EST THU FEB 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW CONCORD            33.10N  84.45W
02/06/2020                   PIKE               GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROAD CLOSURES NEAR CONCORD DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2000139

NLIST

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
351 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>021-030-071500-
Dade-Walker-Catoosa-Whitfield-Murray-Fannin-Gilmer-Union-Towns-
Chattooga-Gordon-Pickens-Dawson-Lumpkin-White-Floyd-Bartow-
Cherokee-Polk-
351 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

As much colder air rushes in across the area behind a strong
storm system, scattered rain showers may mix with or change to
snow showers before ending late tonight through early Friday
morning.

There is the chance to see some snow accumulations but mainly
confined to the highest elevations of the north Georgia mountains,
from near Amicalola Falls State Park up to the Georgia and North
Carolina state line near Hiawassee. In these areas, a dusting to
1/2 inch of snow is possible, with locally higher amounts around 1
inch over the highest ridgetops.

Elsewhere across far north Georgia, a few snow flurries or snow
showers may mix with light rain showers late tonight into early
Friday morning. No snow accumulations or impacts are expected as
morning low temperatures remain above freezing, in the mid to
upper 30s.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
358 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ074-076-085-086-097-098-062145-
Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-Johnson GA-
Laurens GA-
358 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...EMANUEL...TREUTLEN...JOHNSON AND LAURENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EST...

At 357 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Louisville to near Harlow...and moving southeast
at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Dublin, Swainsboro, Soperton, Louisville, Wrightsville, East Dublin,
Wadley, Adrian, Dexter, Dudley, Cadwell, Harrison, Rentz, Bartow,
Summertown, Nunez, Tarrytown, Kite, Spann and Covena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3234 8239 3235 8241 3226 8295 3246 8316
      3317 8231 3314 8227 3305 8229 3293 8227
      3284 8232 3280 8221 3281 8215 3273 8211
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 312DEG 17KT 3300 8233 3246 8291

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
400 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ096-097-105>109-062130-
Crisp GA-Dooly GA-Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-
Pulaski GA-
400 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CRISP...SOUTHEASTERN DOOLY...
WILCOX...SOUTHWESTERN LAURENS...SOUTHEASTERN BLECKLEY...DODGE AND
PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EST...

At 400 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Rowland to near Raines...and moving east at 55
mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Cordele, Cochran, Eastman, Hawkinsville, Abbeville, Chester,
Rochelle, Arabi, Cadwell, Pineview, Rhine, Chauncey, Pitts, Union,
Dubois, Plainfield, Empire, Cedar Grove, Roddy and Baileys Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3181 8383 3183 8384 3182 8386 3184 8386
      3185 8394 3187 8393 3250 8321 3227 8287
      3199 8318 3185 8343 3185 8361 3180 8361
      3180 8378
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 288DEG 47KT 3245 8315 3186 8382

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
432 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

GAZ096-097-106>109-062200-
Crisp GA-Wilcox GA-Laurens GA-Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-
432 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CRISP...WILCOX...WESTERN
LAURENS...BLECKLEY...NORTHWESTERN DODGE AND SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI
COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EST...

At 431 PM EST...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Rowland to Arabi...and moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Cordele, Cochran, Eastman, Chester, Rochelle, Arabi, Cadwell,
Pineview, Pitts, Union, Dubois, Plainfield, Empire, Roddy, Baileys
Park, Rowland, Seville, Ocmulgee Banks, Finleyson and Pleasant View.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3181 8383 3183 8384 3182 8385 3203 8366
      3203 8361 3209 8361 3251 8322 3235 8300
      3185 8346 3185 8361 3180 8361 3180 8380
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 247DEG 33KT 3244 8319 3185 8375