Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2019
Tornado Watch 1
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 19, 2019, 5:23 AM CST for 12 parishes in Louisiana; 42 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 19, 2019, 5:23 AM CST (11:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2019, 1:00 PM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 54 counties
Ascension Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 5:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Leake, Madison | 57 min |
| Jan 19, 5:54 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Attala | 28 min |
| Jan 19, 6:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams, Claiborne, Jefferson | 40 min |
| Jan 19, 6:11 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Montgomery | 34 min |
| Jan 19, 6:34 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds | 41 min |
| Jan 19, 6:37 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln | 38 min |
| Jan 19, 7:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott | 53 min |
| Jan 19, 7:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson | 64 min |
| Jan 19, 7:16 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake, Madison | 44 min |
| Jan 19, 7:33 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin | 42 min |
| Jan 19, 7:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston | 35 min |
| Jan 19, 7:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | East Baton Rouge, Livingston, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge | 25 min |
| Jan 19, 7:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott | 61 min |
| Jan 19, 8:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Newton, Scott, Simpson, Smith | 56 min |
| Jan 19, 8:21 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Scott | 40 min |
| Jan 19, 8:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Livingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 34 min |
| Jan 19, 8:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Winston | 49 min |
| Jan 19, 8:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Simpson, Smith | 58 min |
| Jan 19, 8:52 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale | 38 min |
| Jan 19, 9:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Walthall | 8 min |
| Jan 19, 9:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 48 min |
| Jan 19, 9:19 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Tangipahoa, Washington | 15 min |
| Jan 19, 9:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale, Newton | 43 min |
| Jan 19, 9:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Jones | 42 min |
| Jan 19, 9:50 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Washington | 25 min |
| Jan 19, 9:51 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar, Marion | 39 min |
| Jan 19, 10:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar | 36 min |
| Jan 19, 10:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 43 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 903 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 176 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 171 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
198 WWUS20 KWNS 191120 SEL1 SPC WW 191120 LAZ000-MSZ000-191900- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 520 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Louisiana Central and Southern Mississippi * Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 520 AM until 100 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop and progress east-northeastward ahead of a cold front. Although low-level moisture and instability are not robust, low-level shear is very strong and will support organized/bowing linear segments capable of wind damage and potentially a couple of tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Baton Rouge LA to 25 miles north northeast of Meridian MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 1:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 19, 5:04 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Avoyelles, Concordia, East Feliciana, Evangeline, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena and 3 more | 116 min |
| Jan 19, 9:08 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | George, Greene, Perry, Wayne | 2 hr |
| Jan 19, 9:43 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | George, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne | 7 hr |
| Jan 19, 11:37 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | George, Greene, Harrison, Jackson, Perry, Stone and 1 more | 83 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.