Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 1

January 19, 201912 parishes in Louisiana; 42 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 19, 2019, 5:23 AM CST for 12 parishes in Louisiana; 42 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2019, 5:23 AM CST (11:23 UTC)
Expired
Jan 19, 2019, 1:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 5:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake, Madison57 min
Jan 19, 5:54 AM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala28 min
Jan 19, 6:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Jefferson40 min
Jan 19, 6:11 AM CSTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery34 min
Jan 19, 6:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds41 min
Jan 19, 6:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln38 min
Jan 19, 7:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott53 min
Jan 19, 7:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson64 min
Jan 19, 7:16 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Madison44 min
Jan 19, 7:33 AM CSTTornado WarningJANRankin42 min
Jan 19, 7:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston35 min
Jan 19, 7:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, Livingston, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge25 min
Jan 19, 7:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott61 min
Jan 19, 8:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Newton, Scott, Simpson, Smith56 min
Jan 19, 8:21 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Scott40 min
Jan 19, 8:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa34 min
Jan 19, 8:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Winston49 min
Jan 19, 8:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Simpson, Smith58 min
Jan 19, 8:52 AM CSTTornado WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale38 min
Jan 19, 9:07 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXWalthall8 min
Jan 19, 9:12 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLamar, Marion48 min
Jan 19, 9:19 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXTangipahoa, Washington15 min
Jan 19, 9:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Newton43 min
Jan 19, 9:48 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Jones42 min
Jan 19, 9:50 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedLIXWashington25 min
Jan 19, 9:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion39 min
Jan 19, 10:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar36 min
Jan 19, 10:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-01-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-01-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 176 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
903 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

198 
WWUS20 KWNS 191120
SEL1  
SPC WW 191120
LAZ000-MSZ000-191900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Louisiana
  Central and Southern Mississippi

* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 520 AM until
  100 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop and progress
east-northeastward ahead of a cold front. Although low-level
moisture and instability are not robust, low-level shear is very
strong and will support organized/bowing linear segments capable of
wind damage and potentially a couple of tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Baton
Rouge LA to 25 miles north northeast of Meridian MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 1:24 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia and 11 more2 hr
Jan 19, 5:04 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvoyelles, Concordia, East Feliciana, Evangeline, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena and 3 more116 min
Jan 19, 9:08 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene, Perry, Wayne2 hr
Jan 19, 9:43 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne7 hr
Jan 19, 11:37 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene, Harrison, Jackson, Perry, Stone and 1 more83 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.