Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 8, NWS Jackson, MS

January 19, 2019Lamar County, Marion County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Jan 19, 2019, 9:12 AM CST for Lamar County, Marion County, Mississippi. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2019, 9:12 AM CST (15:12 UTC)
Expired
Jan 19, 2019, 10:00 AM CST
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 19, 5:23 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-01-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 306 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-01-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 369 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
306 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
486 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
369 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
389 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

384 
WFUS54 KJAN 191512
TORJAN
MSC073-091-191600-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0008.190119T1512Z-190119T1600Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
912 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Marion County in south central Mississippi...
  Northwestern Lamar County in southeastern Mississippi...

* Until 1000 AM CST.
    
* At 912 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Kokomo, moving northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Kokomo around 915 AM CST.
  Pickwick around 920 AM CST.
  Morgantown around 925 AM CST.
  Columbia around 930 AM CST.
  Bunker Hill around 940 AM CST.
  Improve around 945 AM CST.
  Sumrall around 955 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3113 8994 3113 9001 3117 9001 3118 9003
      3124 9004 3139 8983 3139 8982 3140 8983
      3143 8978 3143 8945 3129 8945 3107 8988
      3108 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 1512Z 231DEG 38KT 3114 9000 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

TW
4 follow-up statements
246 
WWUS54 KJAN 191523
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
923 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC073-091-191600-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190119T1600Z/
Marion MS-Lamar MS-
923 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CST FOR NORTHERN
MARION AND NORTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTIES...
    
At 923 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Columbia, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Bunker Hill around 940 AM CST.
  Improve around 945 AM CST.
  Sumrall around 955 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3126 9001 3139 8983 3139 8982 3140 8983
      3143 8978 3143 8945 3136 8945 3116 8992
TIME...MOT...LOC 1523Z 231DEG 38KT 3122 8989 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

TW
425 
WWUS54 KJAN 191534
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
934 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC073-091-191600-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190119T1600Z/
Marion MS-Lamar MS-
934 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN MARION AND NORTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTIES...
    
At 934 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Columbia, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Improve around 945 AM CST.
  Sumrall around 955 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3139 8983 3139 8982 3140 8983 3143 8978
      3143 8945 3139 8945 3125 8977 3135 8989
TIME...MOT...LOC 1534Z 230DEG 38KT 3130 8979 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

TW
791 
WWUS54 KJAN 191545
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
945 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC073-091-191600-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190119T1600Z/
Marion MS-Lamar MS-
945 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN MARION AND NORTHWESTERN LAMAR COUNTIES...
    
At 945 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Improve, or 11 miles northeast of Columbia, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Sumrall around 955 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8967 3143 8947 3132 8966 3137 8977
TIME...MOT...LOC 1545Z 231DEG 38KT 3137 8968 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

TW
205 
WWUS54 KJAN 191554
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
954 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC073-091-191604-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190119T1600Z/
Marion MS-Lamar MS-
954 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MARION AND NORTHWESTERN LAMAR
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 AM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for south central
and southeastern Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3143 8967 3143 8947 3132 8966 3137 8977
TIME...MOT...LOC 1554Z 231DEG 38KT 3142 8960 

$$

TW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jan 19, 7:03 AM CST, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 7:03 AM CST, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
703 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL REMAIN POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE
COLDER TEMPERATURES IN THE WAKE...

.UPDATE...
Updated for forecast update & 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Main updates to the going forecast were remove the "Marginal" west
of the MS River & out of the Delta as the cold front moves in &
slightly trim the "Slight" eastward with the line. A tornado watch
is in effect through 1PM for areas east of the Mississippi River
due to good juxtaposition of shear & instability parameter space.
Some of these storms have shown some indications of good rotation
& bowing/LEWP structures with an increasing QLCS development
across central & southwest Mississippi. In addition, expanded the
"Limited" for the wind threat for this afternoon for the entire
area due to some strong wind gusts mixing down just ahead of the
line in the southeast while leaving it elsewhere in the Delta
tonight. Lastly, the "Limited" for flash flooding is still
possible but somewhat marginal. Mainly adjusted to trim out areas
west of the Mississippi River. Updates & graphics will be out
shortly. /DC/

Prior discussion below:

Today & tonight:

Today: Storms are ongoing ahead of a strong cold front currently
situated across the ArkLaTex, with some increasing isentropic
showers & storms moving across the ArkLaMiss Delta. The strong
closed upper low is diving across Oklahoma & Texas, with strong
ascent spreading out across the southern Plains & ArkLaTex to
ArkLaMiss region. Expect increasing coverage over the next several
hours as isentropic ascent & advection, which will lead to some
increasing lapse rates & destabilization. Overall, some of the
storms out in this isentropic ascent are working with some weak
destabilization but nearly 40-60kts effective bulk shear. This is
leading to some storms trying to become rooted in the boundary layer
& bringing some damaging wind & marginal hail potential this morning
with some potential for a brief tornado, especially in any bowing
QLCS/LEWP structures. The best ascent will continue to progress east
through the morning. Most hi-res HREF CAM suite continue to show a
broken QLCS moving into our northwest Delta over the next hour or so
at daybreak, I-55 corridor ~8-10AM & near or east of the Highway 45
corridor & crossing the state line around noon. There remains good
agreement in HREF CAM suite that any bowing east-northeast QLCS/LEWP
structures or isolated supercells could bring damaging winds up to
60-70mph & a few tornadoes. The area is on the northern gradient of
around 60-70 CWASP & 1-2 effective significant tornado parameter
(STP) & 300-400 effective storm relative helicity (SRH). This will
lead to some decent tornado potential. In addition, there remains
some decent lapse rates for some hail. Thus, kept mostly the same
outlook in the HWO & graphics for "Slight" east of the Mississippi
River & "Marginal" elsewhere. As mentioned before, main risks are
damaging winds of 60-70mph, at least quarter size hail & tornadoes
possible.

In addition, there will be some decent rainfall potential upwards of
1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts as increasing moisture
ascent moves into the area. HREF CAM suite of guidance shows some
training of cells, especially with some of this being convective.
Right now, there will be some potential for flash flooding with
anomalously high moisture & low level moisture transport. Due to
this & in conjunction with WPC, added a "Limited" to the HWO &
graphics for flash flooding for today.

Lastly, there remains some good gradient wind potential this
afternoon & into the overnight hours as there is nearly 40-50kts
flow @ 925mb. This in conjunction with ~1000mb low swinging into the
Mid-South & strong pressure gradient along & in the wake of the cold
front, will lead to gusty gradient winds. Expect sustained winds of
20-25mph with gusts upwards of 30-35mph or higher at times,
especially after 2-3PM & continuing into the overnight hours. Thus,
left the "Limited" in the HWO & graphic mainly for areas along &
northwest of the Natchez Trace.

Tonight: Expect a much cooler & colder airmass as strong high
pressure builds into the region. This will lead to strong cold air
advection into the overnight hours. With the strong pressure
gradient & gusty winds into the overnight hours, expect wind chills
to fall into the teens in the north to low 20s elsewhere. Lows will
fall into the upper 20s to near freezing in the Pine Belt.
Otherwise, with some lingering deformation axis to the north & low
level moisture, models continue to indicate some potential for some
light snow flurries/grains &/or freezing drizzle mixing in across
the Delta after 00Z & spreading east-southeast while main upper low
& moisture pulls east-northeast. Expect any potential to make it
down to I-20 corridor near midnight & pull away just before daybreak
in the Golden Triangle. Right now, there are no concerns for impacts
or accumulation as it will remain very light. Only question mark is
p-type & how much ice nucleation can occur for much snow flurries or
snow grains to occur or some patchy freezing drizzle can mix in. /DC/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Scattering of MVFR to IFR ceilings due to widespread coverage of
thunderstorms are ongoing across the area. In addition, a more
organized bowing line is developing down near HKS & JAN. This line
will be around 19/13-16Z @ JAN & HKS & 19/16-19Z @ GTR, MEI, HBG &
PIB. Expect any TAF site impacted with brief IFR to LIFR ceilings
&/or visibility & gusty winds possibly near or in excess of
40-50kts as the line moves across. Most of the storms will through
each site within a couple hours after impacted. Expect conditions
to improve but MVFR ceilings to linger around. In addition,
expect gusty southerly winds around 25-30mph & gradually becoming
more westerly with some brief gusts near or in excess of 35mph in
central to eastern TAF sites ahead of the front & also in the wake
of the cold front passage. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  28  40  26 /  97  34   1   0
Meridian      65  31  42  24 /  91  25   2   0
Vicksburg     64  29  42  26 /  86  22   1   0
Hattiesburg   67  32  45  25 /  90  11   2   0
Natchez       64  29  43  27 /  87  13   1   0
Greenville    63  27  39  26 /  77  19   1   0
Greenwood     63  27  38  26 /  93  37   1   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

DC/EC
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 7:09 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025-MSZ018-034-040-201315-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Bolivar-Washington-
Issaquena-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, northwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Friday.

MSZ019-201315-
Sunflower-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Friday.

MSZ026>033-036>039-043>046-048>050-053-054-059-201315-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-Jefferson-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ025-035-042-047-201315-
Leflore-Humphreys-Yazoo-Warren-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible generally west
of the I-55 corridor. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging
wind gusts and hail at least to the size of quarters. A tornado
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

LAZ026-MSZ041-060-201315-
Concordia-Sharkey-Adams-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible generally west
of the I-55 corridor. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging
wind gusts and hail at least to the size of quarters. A tornado
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ051-052-055>057-201315-
Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph prior to and
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ058-061>066-072>074-201315-
Clarke-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph prior to and
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 19, 8:31 AM CST, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
831 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE BRANDON            32.22N 89.95W
01/19/2019                   RANKIN             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. CURRENT
            EVENT TYPE IS THUNDER STORM WIND DAMAGE, BUT
            A TORNADO COULD HAVE BEEN POSSIBLE.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 19, 8:39 AM CST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
839 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 N REDWATER            32.88N 89.53W
01/19/2019                   LEAKE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWNED, DAMAGE TO A HOME AND CHICKEN
            HOUSES IN THE SINGLETON AREA. POSSIBLE
            TORNADO.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jan 19, 8:42 AM CST, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
842 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW MORTON            32.34N 89.69W
01/19/2019                   SCOTT              MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE DOWN ON LINDSEY RD ON HIGHWAY 80.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 19, 8:45 AM CST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
845 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNE BEAUREGARD        31.77N 90.36W
01/19/2019                   COPIAH             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWNED AT MARTINSVILLE RD AND BROOME
            RD.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jan 19, 8:48 AM CST, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
848 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 AM     TSTM WND DMG     10 W WESSON             31.72N 90.57W
01/19/2019                   COPIAH             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWNED ON MIDWAY RD.

&&

DL
Local storm report, Jan 19, 8:49 AM CST, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
849 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0713 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW CRYSTAL SPRINGS   31.99N 90.37W
01/19/2019                   COPIAH             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWNED ON UTICA RD NEAR I-55.

&&

DL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 18, 7:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClay62 hr
Jan 18, 8:19 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar41 min
Jan 18, 10:23 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeflore37 min
Jan 19, 3:38 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSharkey37 min
Jan 19, 3:57 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWarren33 min
Jan 19, 4:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo52 min
Jan 19, 4:11 AM CSTTornado WarningJANIssaquena, Warren, Yazoo21 min
Jan 19, 4:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWarren54 min
Jan 19, 4:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Jefferson48 min
Jan 19, 4:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo41 min
Jan 19, 5:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison59 min
Jan 19, 5:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Jefferson50 min
Jan 19, 5:24 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison51 min
Jan 19, 5:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Leake, Madison57 min
Jan 19, 5:54 AM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala28 min
Jan 19, 6:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Jefferson40 min
Jan 19, 6:11 AM CSTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery34 min
Jan 19, 6:17 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWilkinson13 min
Jan 19, 6:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds41 min
Jan 19, 6:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln38 min
Jan 19, 7:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott53 min
Jan 19, 7:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson64 min
Jan 19, 7:16 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Madison44 min
Jan 19, 7:33 AM CSTTornado WarningJANRankin42 min
Jan 19, 7:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston35 min
Jan 19, 7:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott61 min
Jan 19, 8:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Newton, Scott, Simpson, Smith56 min
Jan 19, 8:21 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Scott40 min
Jan 19, 8:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Winston49 min
Jan 19, 8:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Simpson, Smith58 min
Jan 19, 8:52 AM CSTTornado WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale38 min
Jan 19, 9:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Newton43 min
Jan 19, 9:48 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Jones42 min
Jan 19, 9:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion39 min
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes21 days
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Yazoo10 days
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren12 days
Jan 19, 10:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar36 min
Jan 19, 10:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones43 min
Jan 19, 10:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba72 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.