Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Jackson, MS

January 19, 2019Attala County, Leake County, Madison County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 19, 2019, 5:48 AM CST for Attala County, Leake County, Madison County, Mississippi. It was in force for 57 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2019, 5:48 AM CST (11:48 UTC)
Expired
Jan 19, 2019, 6:45 AM CST
In force
57 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.88 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Attala County, MS, Leake County, MS, Madison County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 19, 6:40 AM CSTTSTM WND DMG7 N Redwater, MSTREES DOWNED, DAMAGE TO A HOME AND CHICKEN HOUSES IN THE SINGLETON AREA. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
Jan 19, 6:41 AM CSTTORNADOSingleton, MSAN EF-1 TORNADO DEVELOPED EAST OF US HIGHWAY 35, AND MOVED FROM SOUTH TO NORTH SNAPPING SOFTWOOD TREES. AS THE TORNADO TREKKED NORTHWARD, IT CAUSED FOUR CHICKEN HOUSES ALONG THE INTERSECTION OF BIG SPRINGS RD AND BARNES RD TO LIFT AND LAY ON THEIR SIDES. TIN F

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 52 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 19, 5:23 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-01-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2019-01-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 176 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
903 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

968 
WUUS54 KJAN 191148
SVRJAN
MSC007-079-089-191245-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0009.190119T1148Z-190119T1245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
548 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Leake County in central Mississippi...
  Southeastern Attala County in central Mississippi...
  Northeastern Madison County in central Mississippi...

* Until 645 AM CST.

* At 548 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Canton,
  moving northeast at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Sharon around 555 AM CST.
  Farmhaven and Camden around 605 AM CST.
  Thomastown around 620 AM CST.
  Carthage around 625 AM CST.
  Singleton around 630 AM CST.
  Renfroe around 635 AM CST.
  Edinburg and Zama around 640 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Redwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3261 8973 3263 8973 3259 8978 3259 8984
      3256 8987 3253 8995 3282 9000 3303 8953
      3307 8932 3276 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1148Z 244DEG 44KT 3262 9002 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME
3 follow-up statements
707 
WWUS54 KJAN 191203
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
603 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC007-079-089-191245-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190119T1245Z/
Leake MS-Attala MS-Madison MS-
603 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR LEAKE...SOUTHEASTERN ATTALA AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTIES...

At 603 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Farmhaven, or
12 miles northeast of Canton, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Thomastown around 620 AM CST.
  Carthage around 625 AM CST.
  Singleton around 630 AM CST.
  Renfroe around 635 AM CST.
  Edinburg around 640 AM CST.
  Zama around 645 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Redwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3261 8973 3263 8973 3259 8978 3259 8984
      3256 8987 3253 8995 3289 8985 3303 8953
      3307 8932 3276 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1203Z 243DEG 41KT 3269 8984 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME
846 
WWUS54 KJAN 191211
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
611 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC007-079-089-191245-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190119T1245Z/
Leake MS-Attala MS-Madison MS-
611 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR LEAKE...SOUTHEASTERN ATTALA AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTIES...

At 611 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Farmhaven, or
13 miles west of Carthage, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Thomastown around 625 AM CST.
  Carthage around 630 AM CST.
  Singleton around 635 AM CST.
  Renfroe around 640 AM CST.
  Edinburg around 645 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Redwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3263 8973 3259 8984 3291 8980 3303 8953
      3307 8932 3276 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1211Z 245DEG 37KT 3271 8977 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME
049 
WWUS54 KJAN 191226
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
626 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC089-191236-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190119T1245Z/
Madison MS-
626 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3270 8971 3295 8964 3303 8953 3307 8932
      3281 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1226Z 238DEG 32KT 3276 8966 

$$

MSC007-079-191245-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190119T1245Z/
Leake MS-Attala MS-
626 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN LEAKE AND SOUTHEASTERN ATTALA COUNTIES...

At 626 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles south of
Thomastown, or 7 miles west of Carthage, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Carthage around 635 AM CST.
  Renfroe and Singleton around 645 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Redwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3270 8971 3295 8964 3303 8953 3307 8932
      3281 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1226Z 238DEG 32KT 3276 8966 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 19, 4:59 AM CST, 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 4:59 AM CST, 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
459 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

.DISCUSSION...

...SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE COLDER
TEMPERATURES IN THE WAKE...

Today & tonight:

Today: Storms are ongoing ahead of a strong cold front currently
situated across the ArkLaTex, with some increasing isentropic
showers & storms moving across the ArkLaMiss Delta. The strong
closed upper low is diving across Oklahoma & Texas, with strong
ascent spreading out across the southern Plains & ArkLaTex to
ArkLaMiss region. Expect increasing coverage over the next several
hours as isentropic ascent & advection, which will lead to some
increasing lapse rates & destabilization. Overall, some of the
storms out in this isentropic ascent are working with some weak
destabilization but nearly 40-60kts effective bulk shear. This is
leading to some storms trying to become rooted in the boundary layer
& bringing some damaging wind & marginal hail potential this morning
with some potential for a brief tornado, especially in any bowing
QLCS/LEWP structures. The best ascent will continue to progress east
through the morning. Most hi-res HREF CAM suite continue to show a
broken QLCS moving into our northwest Delta over the next hour or so
at daybreak, I-55 corridor ~8-10AM & near or east of the Highway 45
corridor & crossing the state line around noon. There remains good
agreement in HREF CAM suite that any bowing east-northeast QLCS/LEWP
structures or isolated supercells could bring damaging winds up to
60-70mph & a few tornadoes. The area is on the northern gradient of
around 60-70 CWASP & 1-2 effective significant tornado parameter
(STP) & 300-400 effective storm relative helicity (SRH). This will
lead to some decent tornado potential. In addition, there remains
some decent lapse rates for some hail. Thus, kept mostly the same
outlook in the HWO & graphics for "Slight" east of the Mississippi
River & "Marginal" elsewhere. As mentioned before, main risks are
damaging winds of 60-70mph, at least quarter size hail & tornadoes
possible.

In addition, there will be some decent rainfall potential upwards of
1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts as increasing moisture
ascent moves into the area. HREF CAM suite of guidance shows some
training of cells, especially with some of this being convective.
Right now, there will be some potential for flash flooding with
anomalously high moisture & low level moisture transport. Due to
this & in conjunction with WPC, added a "Limited" to the HWO &
graphics for flash flooding for today.

Lastly, there remains some good gradient wind potential this
afternoon & into the overnight hours as there is nearly 40-50kts
flow @ 925mb. This in conjunction with ~1000mb low swinging into the
Mid-South & strong pressure gradient along & in the wake of the cold
front, will lead to gusty gradient winds. Expect sustained winds of
20-25mph with gusts upwards of 30-35mph or higher at times,
especially after 2-3PM & continuing into the overnight hours. Thus,
left the "Limited" in the HWO & graphic mainly for areas along &
northwest of the Natchez Trace.

Tonight: Expect a much cooler & colder airmass as strong high
pressure builds into the region. This will lead to strong cold air
advection into the overnight hours. With the strong pressure
gradient & gusty winds into the overnight hours, expect wind chills
to fall into the teens in the north to low 20s elsewhere. Lows will
fall into the upper 20s to near freezing in the Pine Belt.
Otherwise, with some lingering deformation axis to the north & low
level moisture, models continue to indicate some potential for some
light snow flurries/grains &/or freezing drizzle mixing in across
the Delta after 00Z & spreading east-southeast while main upper low
& moisture pulls east-northeast. Expect any potential to make it
down to I-20 corridor near midnight & pull away just before daybreak
in the Golden Triangle. Right now, there are no concerns for impacts
or accumulation as it will remain very light. Only question mark is
p-type & how much ice nucleation can occur for much snow flurries or
snow grains to occur or some patchy freezing drizzle can mix in. /DC/

&&

Sunday through Monday night:

Sunday will be quite cold over the ArkLaMiss region with high
temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s being around 15 degrees
below climatology for the day. Somewhat of an unknown is the
timing of the clearing line as cold advection stratus could linger
for much of the area during the morning. Would normally follow a
slower solution...but the progressive nature of the thermal trough
and pretty decent mixing should allow for the cloud deck to break
up and diminish by afternoon with mostly sunny skies across most
of the forecast area. The caveat here is that if clearing slows
down a little, temperatures could easily be colder by a few
degrees. As we go through Sunday night, the mixed airmass will not
be one to cool much, but surface high pressure settling overhead
with clear skies will maximize cooling potential and expect some
lower 20s to be reached over NC MS. With the trough pulling away
Monday into Monday night, look for temperatures to moderate fairly
quick.

Tuesday through next Saturday:

There is much uncertainty in the longer range portion of the
forecast as models continue to show a lot of run-to-run
variability with forecast details. In general terms, there is
agreement that a significant precipitation event will take place
in the Wed-Wed night time frame. "Overall" there has been a trend
toward slightly milder temperatures and slightly less wintry
precipitation potential, and the bulk of GEFS/ECENS members
indicate this will be an all liquid system for the ArkLaMiss. For
now, have opted for a conservative "all rain" forecast based on
the guidance trends and due to what appears to be a marginal case
for wintry precip should it occur. In any case, expect that there
could be some heavy rainfall with precipitable water up to 1.5
inches and fairly strong lift...will continue to monitor this
trend as well.

As we finish up the work week, colder than normal temperatures
can be expected, but the big question will concern the potential
for very cold air to surge into the area for next weekend and
beyond per recent global model/ensemble trends. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion:
Overall expect a scattering of MVFR to IFR ceilings through the
overnight hours & through the mid-morning to early afternoon.
Expect the strong cold front to sweep across the area tonight,
with some scattered showers & isolated storms ongoing currently,
especially near northern TAF sites (i.e. GLH, GWO & GTR). Expect a
gradual uptick in isolated storm development over the next several
hours before a gradual transition & eastward sweeping broken
squall line to move across the area. This line will be around
19/13-16Z @ GWO, JAN & HKS & 19/16-18Z @ GTR, MEI, HBG & PIB.
Expect any TAF site impacted with brief IFR to LIFR ceilings &/or
visibility & gusty winds as the line moves across. Most of the
storms will through each site within a few hours after impacted.
Expect conditions to improve but MVFR ceilings to linger around.
In addition, expect gusty southerly winds around 25-30mph &
gradually becoming more westerly with some brief gusts near or in
excess of 35mph in the wake of the cold front passage. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  28  40  26 /  97  34   1   0
Meridian      65  31  42  24 /  91  25   2   0
Vicksburg     64  29  42  26 /  86  22   1   0
Hattiesburg   67  32  45  25 /  90  11   2   0
Natchez       64  29  43  27 /  87  13   1   0
Greenville    63  27  39  26 /  77  19   1   0
Greenwood     63  27  38  26 /  93  37   1   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 4:47 AM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-024-026-MSZ018-201100-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Catahoula-Concordia-
Bolivar-
447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Early this morning through this afternoon

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Early this morning through this afternoon, isolated severe
thunderstorms are possible generally west of the I-55 corridor.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail at
least to the size of quarters. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region early this
morning through today.

LAZ009-016-023-025-MSZ019-025-034-040-041-201100-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Sunflower-Leflore-
Washington-Issaquena-Sharkey-
447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, north central Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Early this morning through this afternoon

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Early this morning through this afternoon, isolated severe
thunderstorms are possible generally west of the I-55 corridor.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail at
least to the size of quarters. A tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region early this
morning through today.

MSZ026>033-035>039-042>050-053-054-059-201100-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-
Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-
Jefferson-
447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi,
and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region early this
morning through today.

MSZ051-052-055>057-201100-
Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-
447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ058-061>066-072>074-201100-
Clarke-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region early this
morning through today.

MSZ060-201100-
Adams-
447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region early this
morning through today.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 1:55 AM CST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
155 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

LAZ023>025-190845-
Tensas LA-Catahoula LA-Franklin LA-
155 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN TENSAS...
NORTHWESTERN CATAHOULA AND FRANKLIN PARISHES UNTIL 245 AM CST...

At 155 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Sherwood, or 17 miles south of Columbia, moving northeast at 50
mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Enterprise around 200 AM CST.
  Jigger around 215 AM CST.
  Wisner around 220 AM CST.
  Winnsboro around 225 AM CST.
  Crowville around 235 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Gilbert and Baskin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3193 9201 3193 9191 3197 9190 3197 9189
      3204 9190 3207 9192 3207 9193 3209 9187
      3214 9189 3224 9177 3228 9178 3237 9169
      3223 9152 3220 9154 3220 9148 3206 9130
      3174 9197 3178 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 0755Z 226DEG 44KT 3187 9197

GRG
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 2:56 AM CST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
256 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

LAZ024-026-190945-
Catahoula LA-Concordia LA-
256 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CONCORDIA AND
CENTRAL CATAHOULA PARISHES UNTIL 345 AM CST...

At 255 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Archie, or 19 miles northwest of Larto, moving east at 55 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Archie around 300 AM CST.
  Manifest around 305 AM CST.
  Jonesville, Wallace Ridge and Wildsville around 310 AM CST.
  Clayton and Lee Bayou around 330 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Harrisonburg and
Sicily Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 9201 3189 9160 3188 9159 3188 9158
      3182 9157 3180 9158 3175 9154 3175 9149
      3166 9145 3152 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 0855Z 250DEG 49KT 3162 9205

GRG
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 3:38 AM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
338 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSZ041-042-191015-
Sharkey MS-Yazoo MS-
338 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN YAZOO AND SOUTHERN
SHARKEY COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CST...

At 338 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Onward, or near Valley Park, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Holly Bluff around 350 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3293 9066 3292 9065 3292 9057 3277 9045
      3266 9068 3266 9092 3276 9097 3277 9096
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 239DEG 45KT 3271 9085

TW
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 3:57 AM CST, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
357 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSZ040>042-047-191030-
Sharkey MS-Warren MS-Yazoo MS-Issaquena MS-
357 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WARREN...
SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO...SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHARKEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CST...

At 357 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Valley Park to near
Redwood to near Vicksburg. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Flowers around 415 AM CST.
  Oak Ridge around 420 AM CST.
  Phoenix around 430 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Satartia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3247 9092 3269 9088 3288 9046 3267 9052
      3235 9067 3235 9069 3234 9071 3232 9090
      3233 9090 3236 9088 3238 9088 3237 9089
      3234 9091 3235 9097
TIME...MOT...LOC 0957Z 237DEG 40KT 3268 9077 3250 9082 3234 9091

TW
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 5:24 AM CST, 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
524 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSZ036-037-042-043-191215-
Attala MS-Yazoo MS-Madison MS-Holmes MS-
524 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HOLMES...
SOUTHWESTERN ATTALA...NORTHEASTERN YAZOO AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM CST...

At 524 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Way, or 12 miles northwest of Canton, moving northeast at 30
mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Way around 530 AM CST.
  Vaughan around 535 AM CST.
  Pickens around 550 AM CST.
  Cameron around 555 AM CST.
  Goodman around 600 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3272 9010 3291 9015 3301 8984 3281 8983
TIME...MOT...LOC 1124Z 241DEG 27KT 3277 9013

CME
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 5:42 AM CST, 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
542 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

LAZ024>026-MSZ053-059-060-191230-
Tensas LA-Catahoula LA-Concordia LA-Adams MS-Jefferson MS-
Claiborne MS-
542 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN TENSAS...CONCORDIA
AND SOUTHERN CATAHOULA PARISHES...SOUTHWESTERN CLAIBORNE...WESTERN
JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CST...

At 542 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Helena to 6 miles north of Deer Park
to near Marksville. Movement was east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Helena around 550 AM CST.
  Ferriday, St. Joseph and West Ferriday around 555 AM CST.
  Vidalia and Alcorn around 610 AM CST.
  Natchez around 615 AM CST.
  Acme around 620 AM CST.
  Slocum around 630 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3130 9201 3130 9200 3133 9200 3161 9175
      3192 9137 3197 9107 3158 9130 3114 9168
      3115 9171 3116 9168 3120 9170 3123 9179
      3129 9189 3128 9194 3123 9192 3122 9194
      3124 9196 3123 9200 3127 9199 3128 9202
TIME...MOT...LOC 1142Z 253DEG 19KT 3189 9132 3152 9161 3114 9201

TW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 18, 7:19 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClay62 hr
Jan 18, 8:19 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar41 min
Jan 18, 10:23 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeflore37 min
Jan 19, 3:38 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANSharkey37 min
Jan 19, 3:57 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWarren33 min
Jan 19, 4:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo52 min
Jan 19, 4:11 AM CSTTornado WarningJANIssaquena, Warren, Yazoo21 min
Jan 19, 4:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWarren54 min
Jan 19, 4:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Jefferson48 min
Jan 19, 4:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo41 min
Jan 19, 5:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison59 min
Jan 19, 5:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Jefferson50 min
Jan 19, 5:24 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison51 min
Jan 19, 5:54 AM CSTTornado WarningJANAttala28 min
Jan 19, 6:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Jefferson40 min
Jan 19, 6:11 AM CSTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery34 min
Jan 19, 6:17 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementJANWilkinson13 min
Jan 19, 6:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds41 min
Jan 19, 6:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln38 min
Jan 19, 7:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott53 min
Jan 19, 7:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson64 min
Jan 19, 7:16 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Madison44 min
Jan 19, 7:33 AM CSTTornado WarningJANRankin42 min
Jan 19, 7:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston35 min
Jan 19, 7:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott61 min
Jan 19, 8:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Newton, Scott, Simpson, Smith56 min
Jan 19, 8:21 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Scott40 min
Jan 19, 8:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Winston49 min
Jan 19, 8:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Simpson, Smith58 min
Jan 19, 8:52 AM CSTTornado WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale38 min
Jan 19, 9:12 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLamar, Marion48 min
Jan 19, 9:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Newton43 min
Jan 19, 9:48 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Jones42 min
Jan 19, 9:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion39 min
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes21 days
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Yazoo10 days
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren12 days
Jan 19, 10:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar36 min
Jan 19, 10:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones43 min
Jan 19, 10:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba72 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.