Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 5, NWS Jackson, MS

January 19, 2019Rankin County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Jan 19, 2019, 7:33 AM CST for Rankin County, Mississippi. It was in force for 42 min. 9 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 19, 2019, 7:33 AM CST (13:33 UTC)
Expired: Jan 19, 2019, 8:15 AM CST
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.0 in

County Rankin County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 11 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 19, 7:38 AM CST	TORNADO	4 Ese Florence, MS	THIS BRIEF, WEAK, EF0 TORNADO, TOUCHED DOWN ALONG MCCULLOUGH-MCLIN ROAD AND TRAVELED NE FOR JUST OVER 2 MILES. A HANDFUL OF TREES WERE DOWNED WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE DAMAGE BEING FROM LARGE LIMBS BROKEN. OTHER ROADS THAT THE TORNADO CROSSED WERE THOMASVILLE A
Jan 19, 7:39 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	5 E Florence, MS	REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. CURRENT EVENT TYPE IS THUNDER STORM WIND DAMAGE, BUT A TORNADO COULD HAVE BEEN POSSIBLE.
Jan 19, 7:44 AM CST	TORNADO	6 Sse Brandon, MS	THIS BRIEF, WEAK, EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ALONG OLD LAKE ROAD AND TRACKED NE ACROSS ACROSS THE ROBINWOOD SUBDIVISION. SEVERAL TREES WERE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE DAMAGE BEING FROM LARGE LIMBS BROKEN. A POWER LINE WAS DOWN ON ONE ROAD AND A
Jan 19, 7:45 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	5 Se Brandon, MS	REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. CURRENT EVENT TYPE IS THUNDER STORM WIND DAMAGE BUT A TORNADO COULD HAVE BEEN POSSIBLE.
Jan 19, 7:45 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	5 Se Brandon, MS	REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. CURRENT EVENT TYPE IS THUNDER STORM WIND DAMAGE, BUT A TORNADO COULD HAVE BEEN POSSIBLE.
Jan 19, 7:49 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	4 Ese Brandon, MS	A FEW TREES AND SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS WERE DOWN ALONG SHILOH RD.
Jan 19, 7:50 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	6 Wsw Pelahatchie, MS	REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.
Jan 19, 7:52 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	6 Wsw Pelahatchie, MS	5 TO 8 TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG I-20 BETWEEN BRANDON AND PELAHATCHIE.
Jan 19, 7:54 AM CST	TSTM WND DMG	3 W Pelahatchie, MS	A COUPLE TREES WERE DOWNED AND SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS WERE BROKEN ALONG AND JUST OFF HIGHWAY 80. ONE SHED HAD A BIT OF TIN TORN OFF THE ROOF.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 19, 5:23 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 306 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 486 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 369 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 389 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

977 
WFUS54 KJAN 191333
TORJAN
MSC121-191415-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0005.190119T1333Z-190119T1415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
733 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Rankin County in central Mississippi...

* Until 815 AM CST.
    
* At 733 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Florence, or near Star, moving northeast at 50
  mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Brandon around 750 AM CST.
  Pelahatchie around 800 AM CST.
  Leesburg around 810 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3211 9020 3218 9023 3220 9018 3222 9019
      3249 8976 3235 8973 3216 8973 3205 8997
      3205 9015
TIME...MOT...LOC 1333Z 235DEG 42KT 3211 9011 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

TW

3 follow-up statements

411 
WWUS54 KJAN 191344
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
744 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC121-191415-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190119T1415Z/
Rankin MS-
744 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 AM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN RANKIN COUNTY...
    
At 744 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Monterey, or near Brandon, moving northeast at 50
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Pelahatchie around 800 AM CST.
  Leesburg around 810 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3226 9012 3249 8976 3235 8973 3227 8973
      3215 9001
TIME...MOT...LOC 1344Z 235DEG 42KT 3219 8998 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

TW

431 
WWUS54 KJAN 191356
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
756 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC121-191415-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190119T1415Z/
Rankin MS-
756 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 AM CST FOR EAST
CENTRAL RANKIN COUNTY...
    
At 756 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Pelahatchie, or 10 miles east of Brandon, moving
northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Leesburg around 805 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3249 8976 3235 8973 3227 8973 3222 8985
      3237 8995
TIME...MOT...LOC 1356Z 239DEG 55KT 3232 8983 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

TW

172 
WWUS54 KJAN 191407
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
807 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSC121-191417-
/O.EXP.KJAN.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190119T1415Z/
Rankin MS-
807 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL RANKIN COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
815 AM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3249 8976 3235 8973 3227 8973 3222 8985
      3237 8995
TIME...MOT...LOC 1407Z 235DEG 42KT 3239 8972 

$$

TW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jan 19, 7:03 AM CST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 7:03 AM CST, 30 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
703 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

...SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL REMAIN POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE
COLDER TEMPERATURES IN THE WAKE...

.UPDATE...
Updated for forecast update & 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Main updates to the going forecast were remove the "Marginal" west
of the MS River & out of the Delta as the cold front moves in &
slightly trim the "Slight" eastward with the line. A tornado watch
is in effect through 1PM for areas east of the Mississippi River
due to good juxtaposition of shear & instability parameter space.
Some of these storms have shown some indications of good rotation
& bowing/LEWP structures with an increasing QLCS development
across central & southwest Mississippi. In addition, expanded the
"Limited" for the wind threat for this afternoon for the entire
area due to some strong wind gusts mixing down just ahead of the
line in the southeast while leaving it elsewhere in the Delta
tonight. Lastly, the "Limited" for flash flooding is still
possible but somewhat marginal. Mainly adjusted to trim out areas
west of the Mississippi River. Updates & graphics will be out
shortly. /DC/

Prior discussion below:

Today & tonight:

Today: Storms are ongoing ahead of a strong cold front currently
situated across the ArkLaTex, with some increasing isentropic
showers & storms moving across the ArkLaMiss Delta. The strong
closed upper low is diving across Oklahoma & Texas, with strong
ascent spreading out across the southern Plains & ArkLaTex to
ArkLaMiss region. Expect increasing coverage over the next several
hours as isentropic ascent & advection, which will lead to some
increasing lapse rates & destabilization. Overall, some of the
storms out in this isentropic ascent are working with some weak
destabilization but nearly 40-60kts effective bulk shear. This is
leading to some storms trying to become rooted in the boundary layer
& bringing some damaging wind & marginal hail potential this morning
with some potential for a brief tornado, especially in any bowing
QLCS/LEWP structures. The best ascent will continue to progress east
through the morning. Most hi-res HREF CAM suite continue to show a
broken QLCS moving into our northwest Delta over the next hour or so
at daybreak, I-55 corridor ~8-10AM & near or east of the Highway 45
corridor & crossing the state line around noon. There remains good
agreement in HREF CAM suite that any bowing east-northeast QLCS/LEWP
structures or isolated supercells could bring damaging winds up to
60-70mph & a few tornadoes. The area is on the northern gradient of
around 60-70 CWASP & 1-2 effective significant tornado parameter
(STP) & 300-400 effective storm relative helicity (SRH). This will
lead to some decent tornado potential. In addition, there remains
some decent lapse rates for some hail. Thus, kept mostly the same
outlook in the HWO & graphics for "Slight" east of the Mississippi
River & "Marginal" elsewhere. As mentioned before, main risks are
damaging winds of 60-70mph, at least quarter size hail & tornadoes
possible.

In addition, there will be some decent rainfall potential upwards of
1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts as increasing moisture
ascent moves into the area. HREF CAM suite of guidance shows some
training of cells, especially with some of this being convective.
Right now, there will be some potential for flash flooding with
anomalously high moisture & low level moisture transport. Due to
this & in conjunction with WPC, added a "Limited" to the HWO &
graphics for flash flooding for today.

Lastly, there remains some good gradient wind potential this
afternoon & into the overnight hours as there is nearly 40-50kts
flow @ 925mb. This in conjunction with ~1000mb low swinging into the
Mid-South & strong pressure gradient along & in the wake of the cold
front, will lead to gusty gradient winds. Expect sustained winds of
20-25mph with gusts upwards of 30-35mph or higher at times,
especially after 2-3PM & continuing into the overnight hours. Thus,
left the "Limited" in the HWO & graphic mainly for areas along &
northwest of the Natchez Trace.

Tonight: Expect a much cooler & colder airmass as strong high
pressure builds into the region. This will lead to strong cold air
advection into the overnight hours. With the strong pressure
gradient & gusty winds into the overnight hours, expect wind chills
to fall into the teens in the north to low 20s elsewhere. Lows will
fall into the upper 20s to near freezing in the Pine Belt.
Otherwise, with some lingering deformation axis to the north & low
level moisture, models continue to indicate some potential for some
light snow flurries/grains &/or freezing drizzle mixing in across
the Delta after 00Z & spreading east-southeast while main upper low
& moisture pulls east-northeast. Expect any potential to make it
down to I-20 corridor near midnight & pull away just before daybreak
in the Golden Triangle. Right now, there are no concerns for impacts
or accumulation as it will remain very light. Only question mark is
p-type & how much ice nucleation can occur for much snow flurries or
snow grains to occur or some patchy freezing drizzle can mix in. /DC/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Scattering of MVFR to IFR ceilings due to widespread coverage of
thunderstorms are ongoing across the area. In addition, a more
organized bowing line is developing down near HKS & JAN. This line
will be around 19/13-16Z @ JAN & HKS & 19/16-19Z @ GTR, MEI, HBG &
PIB. Expect any TAF site impacted with brief IFR to LIFR ceilings
&/or visibility & gusty winds possibly near or in excess of
40-50kts as the line moves across. Most of the storms will through
each site within a couple hours after impacted. Expect conditions
to improve but MVFR ceilings to linger around. In addition,
expect gusty southerly winds around 25-30mph & gradually becoming
more westerly with some brief gusts near or in excess of 35mph in
central to eastern TAF sites ahead of the front & also in the wake
of the cold front passage. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  28  40  26 /  97  34   1   0
Meridian      65  31  42  24 /  91  25   2   0
Vicksburg     64  29  42  26 /  86  22   1   0
Hattiesburg   67  32  45  25 /  90  11   2   0
Natchez       64  29  43  27 /  87  13   1   0
Greenville    63  27  39  26 /  77  19   1   0
Greenwood     63  27  38  26 /  93  37   1   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

DC/EC

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 7:09 AM CST, 24 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025-MSZ018-034-040-201315-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Bolivar-Washington-
Issaquena-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, northwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Friday.

MSZ019-201315-
Sunflower-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Friday.

MSZ026>033-036>039-043>046-048>050-053-054-059-201315-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah-Jefferson-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ025-035-042-047-201315-
Leflore-Humphreys-Yazoo-Warren-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible generally west
of the I-55 corridor. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging
wind gusts and hail at least to the size of quarters. A tornado
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

LAZ026-MSZ041-060-201315-
Concordia-Sharkey-Adams-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
prior to and following a cold frontal passage. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible generally west
of the I-55 corridor. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging
wind gusts and hail at least to the size of quarters. A tornado
cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ051-052-055>057-201315-
Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low
lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to
3 inches with locally higher amounts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph prior to and
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

MSZ058-061>066-072>074-201315-
Clarke-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
709 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally
east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce
damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of
quarters.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained
winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph prior to and
following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could
also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

23

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 3:38 AM CST, 3 hours 55 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
338 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSZ041-042-191015-
Sharkey MS-Yazoo MS-
338 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN YAZOO AND SOUTHERN
SHARKEY COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CST...

At 338 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Onward, or near Valley Park, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Holly Bluff around 350 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3293 9066 3292 9065 3292 9057 3277 9045
      3266 9068 3266 9092 3276 9097 3277 9096
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 239DEG 45KT 3271 9085

TW

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 3:57 AM CST, 3 hours 36 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
357 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSZ040>042-047-191030-
Sharkey MS-Warren MS-Yazoo MS-Issaquena MS-
357 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WARREN...
SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO...SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHARKEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CST...

At 357 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Valley Park to near
Redwood to near Vicksburg. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Flowers around 415 AM CST.
  Oak Ridge around 420 AM CST.
  Phoenix around 430 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Satartia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3247 9092 3269 9088 3288 9046 3267 9052
      3235 9067 3235 9069 3234 9071 3232 9090
      3233 9090 3236 9088 3238 9088 3237 9089
      3234 9091 3235 9097
TIME...MOT...LOC 0957Z 237DEG 40KT 3268 9077 3250 9082 3234 9091

TW

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 5:24 AM CST, 2 hours 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
524 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

MSZ036-037-042-043-191215-
Attala MS-Yazoo MS-Madison MS-Holmes MS-
524 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HOLMES...
SOUTHWESTERN ATTALA...NORTHEASTERN YAZOO AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM CST...

At 524 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Way, or 12 miles northwest of Canton, moving northeast at 30
mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Way around 530 AM CST.
  Vaughan around 535 AM CST.
  Pickens around 550 AM CST.
  Cameron around 555 AM CST.
  Goodman around 600 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3272 9010 3291 9015 3301 8984 3281 8983
TIME...MOT...LOC 1124Z 241DEG 27KT 3277 9013

CME

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 5:42 AM CST, 1 hour 51 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
542 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

LAZ024>026-MSZ053-059-060-191230-
Tensas LA-Catahoula LA-Concordia LA-Adams MS-Jefferson MS-
Claiborne MS-
542 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN TENSAS...CONCORDIA
AND SOUTHERN CATAHOULA PARISHES...SOUTHWESTERN CLAIBORNE...WESTERN
JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CST...

At 542 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Helena to 6 miles north of Deer Park
to near Marksville. Movement was east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Helena around 550 AM CST.
  Ferriday, St. Joseph and West Ferriday around 555 AM CST.
  Vidalia and Alcorn around 610 AM CST.
  Natchez around 615 AM CST.
  Acme around 620 AM CST.
  Slocum around 630 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Ridgecrest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3130 9201 3130 9200 3133 9200 3161 9175
      3192 9137 3197 9107 3158 9130 3114 9168
      3115 9171 3116 9168 3120 9170 3123 9179
      3129 9189 3128 9194 3123 9192 3122 9194
      3124 9196 3123 9200 3127 9199 3128 9202
TIME...MOT...LOC 1142Z 253DEG 19KT 3189 9132 3152 9161 3114 9201

TW

Special weather statement, Jan 19, 6:17 AM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
617 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

LAZ026-MSZ060-191230-
Concordia LA-Adams MS-
617 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN CONCORDIA PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM
CST...

At 617 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Big Bend, or 8 miles east of Bordelonville, moving east at 60
mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Black Hawk around 625 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for southwestern
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3104 9165 3104 9172 3109 9172 3110 9170
      3114 9172 3116 9170 3116 9168 3119 9168
      3121 9171 3120 9173 3123 9180 3126 9148
      3123 9149 3121 9153 3124 9156 3121 9159
      3111 9163 3107 9157 3104 9156 3097 9166
TIME...MOT...LOC 1217Z 250DEG 52KT 3113 9177

TW

Local storm report, Jan 19, 6:23 AM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
623 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 AM     HAIL             6 WSW CANTON            32.58N 90.13W
01/19/2019  E1.00 INCH       MADISON            MS   PUBLIC

            REPORTED NEAR THE CHARLTON COMMUNITY ALONG
            MS 22 NEAR CANTON.

&&

DL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 18, 7:19 PM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Clay	62 hr
Jan 18, 8:19 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Bolivar	41 min
Jan 18, 10:23 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Leflore	37 min
Jan 19, 3:38 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Sharkey	37 min
Jan 19, 3:57 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Warren	33 min
Jan 19, 4:08 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds, Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo	52 min
Jan 19, 4:11 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo	21 min
Jan 19, 4:21 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Warren	54 min
Jan 19, 4:27 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	48 min
Jan 19, 4:49 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Madison, Yazoo	41 min
Jan 19, 5:01 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds, Madison	59 min
Jan 19, 5:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson	50 min
Jan 19, 5:24 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	51 min
Jan 19, 5:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Leake, Madison	57 min
Jan 19, 5:54 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Attala	28 min
Jan 19, 6:05 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Adams, Claiborne, Jefferson	40 min
Jan 19, 6:11 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Choctaw, Montgomery	34 min
Jan 19, 6:17 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Wilkinson	13 min
Jan 19, 6:34 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds	41 min
Jan 19, 6:37 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln	38 min
Jan 19, 7:07 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott	53 min
Jan 19, 7:11 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Copiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson	64 min
Jan 19, 7:16 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Leake, Madison	44 min
Jan 19, 7:40 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston	35 min
Jan 19, 7:59 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott	61 min
Jan 19, 8:04 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jasper, Newton, Scott, Simpson, Smith	56 min
Jan 19, 8:21 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Leake, Neshoba, Scott	40 min
Jan 19, 8:41 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Winston	49 min
Jan 19, 8:47 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Simpson, Smith	58 min
Jan 19, 8:52 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale	38 min
Jan 19, 9:12 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Lamar, Marion	48 min
Jan 19, 9:47 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Kemper, Lauderdale, Newton	43 min
Jan 19, 9:48 AM CST	Tornado Warning	JAN	Covington, Jefferson Davis, Jones	42 min
Jan 19, 9:51 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar, Marion	39 min
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Attala, Holmes	21 days
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Madison, Yazoo	10 days
Jan 19, 10:14 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Hinds, Warren	12 days
Jan 19, 10:24 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	36 min
Jan 19, 10:25 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jones	43 min
Jan 19, 10:52 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	72 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2019 Every tornado warning in 2019 Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.