Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 19, 2019, 5:01 AM CST for Hinds County, Madison County, Mississippi. It was in force for 59 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 19, 2019, 5:01 AM CST (11:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2019, 6:00 AM CST
- In force
- 59 min
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Hinds County, MS, Madison County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 5:30 AM CST | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Sse Flora, MS | REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ON ROBINSON SPRINGS AND POCAHONTAS ROADS. |
| Jan 19, 5:41 AM CST | TSTM WND DMG | 5 W Canton, MS | CORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 5 W CANTON. REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ON VIRLILIA AND STOKES ROAD. |
| Jan 19, 5:42 AM CST | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Nnw Madison, MS | CORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 5 NNW MADISON. REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ON GLUCKSTADT AND CATLETT ROADS. |
| Jan 19, 5:42 AM CST | HAIL 1 | 6 Wsw Canton, MS | REPORTED NEAR THE CHARLTON COMMUNITY ALONG MS 22 NEAR CANTON. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 29 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 903 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 176 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 171 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
507
WUUS54 KJAN 191101
SVRJAN
MSC049-089-191200-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0007.190119T1101Z-190119T1200Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
501 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Central Hinds County in central Mississippi...
Southwestern Madison County in central Mississippi...
* Until 600 AM CST.
* At 501 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Flowers, or
10 miles southeast of Redwood, moving northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
Bolton around 510 AM CST.
Brownsville around 515 AM CST.
Flora and Pocahontas around 525 AM CST.
Annandale around 530 AM CST.
Gluckstadt around 535 AM CST.
Canton around 540 AM CST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 3230 9070 3234 9071 3234 9063 3237 9064
3244 9059 3248 9061 3250 9059 3251 9055
3250 9052 3252 9052 3256 9046 3270 9013
3270 9010 3276 9000 3251 8995 3248 9002
3240 9009 3229 9031 3218 9072 3222 9073
TIME...MOT...LOC 1101Z 240DEG 49KT 3238 9066
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
CME4 follow-up statements
444
WWUS54 KJAN 191119
SVSJAN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
519 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
MSC049-089-191200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Hinds MS-Madison MS-
519 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN HINDS AND SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTIES...
At 519 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Brownsville, or
9 miles northwest of Clinton, moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe storm will be near...
Flora and Pocahontas around 530 AM CST.
Annandale around 535 AM CST.
Madison around 540 AM CST.
Canton and Gluckstadt around 545 AM CST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 3234 9063 3241 9058 3246 9055 3250 9052
3252 9052 3256 9046 3270 9013 3270 9010
3276 9000 3251 8995 3248 9002 3240 9009
3233 9029 3230 9059
TIME...MOT...LOC 1119Z 247DEG 42KT 3245 9042
TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
CME243
WWUS54 KJAN 191126
SVSJAN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
526 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
MSC049-089-191200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Hinds MS-Madison MS-
526 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CST
FOR NORTH CENTRAL HINDS AND SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTIES...
At 526 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Pocahontas, or
9 miles north of Clinton, moving northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe storm will be near...
Madison and Annandale around 535 AM CST.
Gluckstadt around 540 AM CST.
Canton around 545 AM CST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.
LAT...LON 3248 9045 3259 9038 3270 9013 3270 9010
3276 9000 3251 8995 3248 9002 3235 9041
TIME...MOT...LOC 1126Z 242DEG 47KT 3248 9032
TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
CME498
WWUS54 KJAN 191138
SVSJAN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
538 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
MSC049-191148-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Hinds MS-
538 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL HINDS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.
LAT...LON 3265 9024 3270 9013 3270 9010 3276 9000
3251 8995 3248 9002 3241 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 1138Z 240DEG 49KT 3256 9016
$$
MSC089-191200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Madison MS-
538 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CST
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY...
At 538 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Annandale, or 8
miles north of Madison, moving northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe storm will be near...
Canton around 545 AM CST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.
LAT...LON 3265 9024 3270 9013 3270 9010 3276 9000
3251 8995 3248 9002 3241 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 1138Z 240DEG 49KT 3256 9016
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
CME588
WWUS54 KJAN 191145
SVSJAN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
545 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
MSC089-191200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190119T1200Z/
Madison MS-
545 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CST
FOR CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY...
At 545 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Canton, moving
northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
central Madison County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Mississippi.
LAT...LON 3268 9016 3270 9010 3276 9000 3251 8995
3245 9012 3243 9017
TIME...MOT...LOC 1145Z 240DEG 49KT 3261 9006
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
CMEWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 19, 4:59 AM CST, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 19, 4:59 AM CST, 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 459 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 .DISCUSSION... ...SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE COLDER TEMPERATURES IN THE WAKE... Today & tonight: Today: Storms are ongoing ahead of a strong cold front currently situated across the ArkLaTex, with some increasing isentropic showers & storms moving across the ArkLaMiss Delta. The strong closed upper low is diving across Oklahoma & Texas, with strong ascent spreading out across the southern Plains & ArkLaTex to ArkLaMiss region. Expect increasing coverage over the next several hours as isentropic ascent & advection, which will lead to some increasing lapse rates & destabilization. Overall, some of the storms out in this isentropic ascent are working with some weak destabilization but nearly 40-60kts effective bulk shear. This is leading to some storms trying to become rooted in the boundary layer & bringing some damaging wind & marginal hail potential this morning with some potential for a brief tornado, especially in any bowing QLCS/LEWP structures. The best ascent will continue to progress east through the morning. Most hi-res HREF CAM suite continue to show a broken QLCS moving into our northwest Delta over the next hour or so at daybreak, I-55 corridor ~8-10AM & near or east of the Highway 45 corridor & crossing the state line around noon. There remains good agreement in HREF CAM suite that any bowing east-northeast QLCS/LEWP structures or isolated supercells could bring damaging winds up to 60-70mph & a few tornadoes. The area is on the northern gradient of around 60-70 CWASP & 1-2 effective significant tornado parameter (STP) & 300-400 effective storm relative helicity (SRH). This will lead to some decent tornado potential. In addition, there remains some decent lapse rates for some hail. Thus, kept mostly the same outlook in the HWO & graphics for "Slight" east of the Mississippi River & "Marginal" elsewhere. As mentioned before, main risks are damaging winds of 60-70mph, at least quarter size hail & tornadoes possible. In addition, there will be some decent rainfall potential upwards of 1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts as increasing moisture ascent moves into the area. HREF CAM suite of guidance shows some training of cells, especially with some of this being convective. Right now, there will be some potential for flash flooding with anomalously high moisture & low level moisture transport. Due to this & in conjunction with WPC, added a "Limited" to the HWO & graphics for flash flooding for today. Lastly, there remains some good gradient wind potential this afternoon & into the overnight hours as there is nearly 40-50kts flow @ 925mb. This in conjunction with ~1000mb low swinging into the Mid-South & strong pressure gradient along & in the wake of the cold front, will lead to gusty gradient winds. Expect sustained winds of 20-25mph with gusts upwards of 30-35mph or higher at times, especially after 2-3PM & continuing into the overnight hours. Thus, left the "Limited" in the HWO & graphic mainly for areas along & northwest of the Natchez Trace. Tonight: Expect a much cooler & colder airmass as strong high pressure builds into the region. This will lead to strong cold air advection into the overnight hours. With the strong pressure gradient & gusty winds into the overnight hours, expect wind chills to fall into the teens in the north to low 20s elsewhere. Lows will fall into the upper 20s to near freezing in the Pine Belt. Otherwise, with some lingering deformation axis to the north & low level moisture, models continue to indicate some potential for some light snow flurries/grains &/or freezing drizzle mixing in across the Delta after 00Z & spreading east-southeast while main upper low & moisture pulls east-northeast. Expect any potential to make it down to I-20 corridor near midnight & pull away just before daybreak in the Golden Triangle. Right now, there are no concerns for impacts or accumulation as it will remain very light. Only question mark is p-type & how much ice nucleation can occur for much snow flurries or snow grains to occur or some patchy freezing drizzle can mix in. /DC/ && Sunday through Monday night: Sunday will be quite cold over the ArkLaMiss region with high temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s being around 15 degrees below climatology for the day. Somewhat of an unknown is the timing of the clearing line as cold advection stratus could linger for much of the area during the morning. Would normally follow a slower solution...but the progressive nature of the thermal trough and pretty decent mixing should allow for the cloud deck to break up and diminish by afternoon with mostly sunny skies across most of the forecast area. The caveat here is that if clearing slows down a little, temperatures could easily be colder by a few degrees. As we go through Sunday night, the mixed airmass will not be one to cool much, but surface high pressure settling overhead with clear skies will maximize cooling potential and expect some lower 20s to be reached over NC MS. With the trough pulling away Monday into Monday night, look for temperatures to moderate fairly quick. Tuesday through next Saturday: There is much uncertainty in the longer range portion of the forecast as models continue to show a lot of run-to-run variability with forecast details. In general terms, there is agreement that a significant precipitation event will take place in the Wed-Wed night time frame. "Overall" there has been a trend toward slightly milder temperatures and slightly less wintry precipitation potential, and the bulk of GEFS/ECENS members indicate this will be an all liquid system for the ArkLaMiss. For now, have opted for a conservative "all rain" forecast based on the guidance trends and due to what appears to be a marginal case for wintry precip should it occur. In any case, expect that there could be some heavy rainfall with precipitable water up to 1.5 inches and fairly strong lift...will continue to monitor this trend as well. As we finish up the work week, colder than normal temperatures can be expected, but the big question will concern the potential for very cold air to surge into the area for next weekend and beyond per recent global model/ensemble trends. /EC/ && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF discussion: Overall expect a scattering of MVFR to IFR ceilings through the overnight hours & through the mid-morning to early afternoon. Expect the strong cold front to sweep across the area tonight, with some scattered showers & isolated storms ongoing currently, especially near northern TAF sites (i.e. GLH, GWO & GTR). Expect a gradual uptick in isolated storm development over the next several hours before a gradual transition & eastward sweeping broken squall line to move across the area. This line will be around 19/13-16Z @ GWO, JAN & HKS & 19/16-18Z @ GTR, MEI, HBG & PIB. Expect any TAF site impacted with brief IFR to LIFR ceilings &/or visibility & gusty winds as the line moves across. Most of the storms will through each site within a few hours after impacted. Expect conditions to improve but MVFR ceilings to linger around. In addition, expect gusty southerly winds around 25-30mph & gradually becoming more westerly with some brief gusts near or in excess of 35mph in the wake of the cold front passage. /DC/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 63 28 40 26 / 97 34 1 0 Meridian 65 31 42 24 / 91 25 2 0 Vicksburg 64 29 42 26 / 86 22 1 0 Hattiesburg 67 32 45 25 / 90 11 2 0 Natchez 64 29 43 27 / 87 13 1 0 Greenville 63 27 39 26 / 77 19 1 0 Greenwood 63 27 38 26 / 93 37 1 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 4:47 AM CST, 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-024-026-MSZ018-201100- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Catahoula-Concordia- Bolivar- 447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Early this morning through this afternoon NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight Early this morning through this afternoon, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible generally west of the I-55 corridor. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail at least to the size of quarters. A tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region early this morning through today. LAZ009-016-023-025-MSZ019-025-034-040-041-201100- East Carroll-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Sunflower-Leflore- Washington-Issaquena-Sharkey- 447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, north central Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Early this morning through this afternoon FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Early this morning through this afternoon, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible generally west of the I-55 corridor. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail at least to the size of quarters. A tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region early this morning through today. MSZ026>033-035>039-042>050-053-054-059-201100- Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha- Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake- Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Claiborne-Copiah- Jefferson- 447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region early this morning through today. MSZ051-052-055>057-201100- Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-Jasper- 447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Mississippi, and east central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Today, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Rainfall totals will be up to 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today. MSZ058-061>066-072>074-201100- Clarke-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington- Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region early this morning through today. MSZ060-201100- Adams- 447 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Today Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph following a cold frontal passage. High profile vehicles could also be affected. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible, generally east of the Mississippi River. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and hail at least to the size of quarters. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region early this morning through today. 23 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible. Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong tornadoes possible. Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. *NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS* Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts greater than 50 mph. Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles could also be affected. *FLOODING* Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely. Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely and significant flooding is possible. Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely. Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/ ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 19, 1:52 AM CST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
152 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
ARZ075-LAZ008-009-MSZ034-040-190830-
Chicot AR-East Carroll LA-West Carroll LA-Washington MS-Issaquena MS-
152 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CHICOT COUNTY...
NORTHEASTERN EAST CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL PARISHES...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTIES UNTIL 230
AM CST...
At 152 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Oak Grove, or 13 miles west of Lake Providence, moving northeast
at 60 mph.
Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Shelburn around 200 AM CST.
Millikin and Gassoway around 205 AM CST.
Glen Allan around 215 AM CST.
Avon around 225 AM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Kilbourne, Pioneer and
Forest.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3288 9150 3290 9150 3328 9103 3310 9091
3301 9092 3272 9142 3286 9155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0752Z 230DEG 53KT 3285 9141
GRGSpecial weather statement, Jan 19, 1:55 AM CST, 3 hours 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
155 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
LAZ023>025-190845-
Tensas LA-Catahoula LA-Franklin LA-
155 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN TENSAS...
NORTHWESTERN CATAHOULA AND FRANKLIN PARISHES UNTIL 245 AM CST...
At 155 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Sherwood, or 17 miles south of Columbia, moving northeast at 50
mph.
Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Enterprise around 200 AM CST.
Jigger around 215 AM CST.
Wisner around 220 AM CST.
Winnsboro around 225 AM CST.
Crowville around 235 AM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Gilbert and Baskin.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3193 9201 3193 9191 3197 9190 3197 9189
3204 9190 3207 9192 3207 9193 3209 9187
3214 9189 3224 9177 3228 9178 3237 9169
3223 9152 3220 9154 3220 9148 3206 9130
3174 9197 3178 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 0755Z 226DEG 44KT 3187 9197
GRGSpecial weather statement, Jan 19, 2:56 AM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
256 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
LAZ024-026-190945-
Catahoula LA-Concordia LA-
256 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CONCORDIA AND
CENTRAL CATAHOULA PARISHES UNTIL 345 AM CST...
At 255 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Archie, or 19 miles northwest of Larto, moving east at 55 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Archie around 300 AM CST.
Manifest around 305 AM CST.
Jonesville, Wallace Ridge and Wildsville around 310 AM CST.
Clayton and Lee Bayou around 330 AM CST.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Harrisonburg and
Sicily Island.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3173 9201 3189 9160 3188 9159 3188 9158
3182 9157 3180 9158 3175 9154 3175 9149
3166 9145 3152 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 0855Z 250DEG 49KT 3162 9205
GRGSpecial weather statement, Jan 19, 3:38 AM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
338 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
MSZ041-042-191015-
Sharkey MS-Yazoo MS-
338 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN YAZOO AND SOUTHERN
SHARKEY COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CST...
At 338 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Onward, or near Valley Park, moving northeast at 50 mph.
Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Holly Bluff around 350 AM CST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3293 9066 3292 9065 3292 9057 3277 9045
3266 9068 3266 9092 3276 9097 3277 9096
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 239DEG 45KT 3271 9085
TWSpecial weather statement, Jan 19, 3:57 AM CST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
357 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
MSZ040>042-047-191030-
Sharkey MS-Warren MS-Yazoo MS-Issaquena MS-
357 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WARREN...
SOUTHWESTERN YAZOO...SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHARKEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CST...
At 357 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Valley Park to near
Redwood to near Vicksburg. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Flowers around 415 AM CST.
Oak Ridge around 420 AM CST.
Phoenix around 430 AM CST.
Other locations impacted by these storms include Satartia.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3247 9092 3269 9088 3288 9046 3267 9052
3235 9067 3235 9069 3234 9071 3232 9090
3233 9090 3236 9088 3238 9088 3237 9089
3234 9091 3235 9097
TIME...MOT...LOC 0957Z 237DEG 40KT 3268 9077 3250 9082 3234 9091
TWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 7:19 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clay | 62 hr |
| Jan 18, 8:19 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Bolivar | 41 min |
| Jan 18, 10:23 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Leflore | 37 min |
| Jan 19, 3:38 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Sharkey | 37 min |
| Jan 19, 3:57 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Warren | 33 min |
| Jan 19, 4:08 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo | 52 min |
| Jan 19, 4:11 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo | 21 min |
| Jan 19, 4:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Warren | 54 min |
| Jan 19, 4:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Jefferson | 48 min |
| Jan 19, 4:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 41 min |
| Jan 19, 5:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Jefferson | 50 min |
| Jan 19, 5:24 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Madison | 51 min |
| Jan 19, 5:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Leake, Madison | 57 min |
| Jan 19, 5:54 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Attala | 28 min |
| Jan 19, 6:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams, Claiborne, Jefferson | 40 min |
| Jan 19, 6:11 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Montgomery | 34 min |
| Jan 19, 6:17 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Wilkinson | 13 min |
| Jan 19, 6:34 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds | 41 min |
| Jan 19, 6:37 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln | 38 min |
| Jan 19, 7:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott | 53 min |
| Jan 19, 7:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Rankin, Simpson | 64 min |
| Jan 19, 7:16 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake, Madison | 44 min |
| Jan 19, 7:33 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin | 42 min |
| Jan 19, 7:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston | 35 min |
| Jan 19, 7:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott | 61 min |
| Jan 19, 8:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Newton, Scott, Simpson, Smith | 56 min |
| Jan 19, 8:21 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Scott | 40 min |
| Jan 19, 8:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Winston | 49 min |
| Jan 19, 8:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Simpson, Smith | 58 min |
| Jan 19, 8:52 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale | 38 min |
| Jan 19, 9:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 48 min |
| Jan 19, 9:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale, Newton | 43 min |
| Jan 19, 9:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Jones | 42 min |
| Jan 19, 9:51 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar, Marion | 39 min |
| Jan 19, 10:14 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 21 days |
| Jan 19, 10:14 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 10 days |
| Jan 19, 10:14 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Warren | 12 days |
| Jan 19, 10:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar | 36 min |
| Jan 19, 10:25 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 43 min |
| Jan 19, 10:52 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 72 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.