Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 11
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 2, 2016, 3:10 PM CST for 29 counties in Alabama; 30 counties in Kentucky; 36 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 2, 2016, 3:10 PM CST (21:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2016, 10:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 95 counties
Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Dallas County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Shelby County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Marion County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Moore County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN
The radar
The Nashville radar (KOHX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 3:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Dickson, Houston, Montgomery | 32 min |
| Feb 2, 4:23 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Pickens, Sumter | 67 min |
| Feb 2, 5:02 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Fayette, Lamar, Pickens, Tuscaloosa | 58 min |
| Feb 2, 5:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Lawrence, Wayne | 23 min |
| Feb 2, 5:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Fayette | 28 min |
| Feb 2, 5:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lamar, Pickens | 40 min |
| Feb 2, 7:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Lawrence | 33 min |
| Feb 2, 8:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lamar, Marion | 12 min |
| Feb 2, 9:38 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | HUN | Franklin, Lawrence, Morgan | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -287 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 485 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 71 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 346 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 387 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
620 WWUS20 KWNS 022107 SEL1 SPC WW 022107 ALZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-030400- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 11 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 310 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALABAMA PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN KENTUCKY MIDDLE TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN TENNESSEE AND MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHEAST WITH TIME. AS SUCH...RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW POSSIBLE TORNADOES WILL LIKEWISE INCREASE EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY...MIDDLE TENNESSEE...AND ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...WW 10... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045. ...GOSS
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 12:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Escambia and 3 more | 55 min |
| Feb 2, 1:18 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Monroe, Washington and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 2, 2:40 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Colbert, Cullman and 27 more | 95 min |
| Feb 2, 5:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Monroe, Washington and 1 more | 117 min |
| Feb 2, 5:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Colbert, Cullman and 26 more | 119 min |
| Feb 2, 9:54 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman, McCracken | 96 min |
| Feb 2, 12:22 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ballard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more | 9 hr |
| Feb 2, 10:41 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 36 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 2, 1:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Clay, Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Leake and 9 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2016Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2016Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.