Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 9
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 2, 2016, 12:22 PM CST for 6 states. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 2, 2016, 12:22 PM CST (18:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2016, 9:00 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 120 counties
Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 1:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Leake | 67 min |
| Feb 2, 1:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Henderson, Madison | 25 min |
| Feb 2, 1:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Winston | 37 min |
| Feb 2, 2:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Chester, Henderson, Madison | 29 min |
| Feb 2, 2:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Oktibbeha | 56 min |
| Feb 2, 2:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson | 34 min |
| Feb 2, 2:38 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clay | 38 min |
| Feb 2, 2:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Houston, Humphreys | 33 min |
| Feb 2, 3:21 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Noxubee, Winston | 54 min |
| Feb 2, 3:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Dickson, Houston, Montgomery | 32 min |
| Feb 2, 3:29 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Shelby | 2 hr |
| Feb 2, 3:35 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg | 40 min |
| Feb 2, 3:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Union | 14 min |
| Feb 2, 3:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian, Todd | 33 min |
| Feb 2, 4:06 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Fayette, Shelby | 114 min |
| Feb 2, 4:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | PAH | Muhlenberg | 30 min |
| Feb 2, 4:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 28 min |
| Feb 2, 4:36 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Quitman, Tate | 3 hr |
| Feb 2, 4:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Marshall, Tate | 19 min |
| Feb 2, 4:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 67 min |
| Feb 2, 5:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 19 min |
| Feb 2, 6:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Henry | 35 min |
| Feb 2, 7:17 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Winston | 4 hr |
| Feb 2, 7:34 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Daviess, Henderson, McLean, Webster | 116 min |
| Feb 2, 7:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes, Noxubee | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 226 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -78 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 520 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 68 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 403 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 512 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted.
016 WWUS20 KWNS 021820 SEL9 SPC WW 021820 ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-030100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 9 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1220 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WESTERN KENTUCKY SOUTHEAST MISSOURI NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI WESTERN TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1220 PM UNTIL 700 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES CAN BE EXPECTED. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF OWENSBORO KENTUCKY TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045. ...GOSS
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 9:54 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Independence and 7 more | 96 min |
| Feb 2, 2:40 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Barren, Breckinridge, Butler, Cumberland, Edmonson and 10 more | 95 min |
| Feb 2, 3:10 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge, Butler and 24 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 2, 5:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge, Butler and 25 more | 119 min |
| Feb 2, 10:41 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Attala, Benton, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 36 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 2, 12:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Forrest, George, Greene, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson and 8 more | 55 min |
| Feb 2, 1:18 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Amite, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah, Covington and 37 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 2, 1:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Clay, Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Leake and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 2, 5:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Amite, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah, Covington and 37 more | 117 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2016Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.