Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 10
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 2, 2016, 1:18 PM CST for 7 counties in Alabama; 31 parishes in Louisiana; 43 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 2, 2016, 1:18 PM CST (19:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2016, 7:00 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 81 counties
Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Acadia Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 1:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith | 47 min |
| Feb 2, 2:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jasper, Scott, Smith | 41 min |
| Feb 2, 2:21 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 54 min |
| Feb 2, 2:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson | 45 min |
| Feb 2, 2:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lauderdale, Newton | 57 min |
| Feb 2, 3:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Kemper, Neshoba | 30 min |
| Feb 2, 3:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale | 65 min |
| Feb 2, 3:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin, Scott | 21 min |
| Feb 2, 4:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Neshoba, Newton | 43 min |
| Feb 2, 4:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Simpson | 45 min |
| Feb 2, 4:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Kemper, Neshoba, Newton | 59 min |
| Feb 2, 4:39 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson | 51 min |
| Feb 2, 5:08 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Rankin, Simpson | 3 hr |
| Feb 2, 5:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin, Simpson, Smith | 46 min |
| Feb 2, 5:21 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson | 6 hr |
| Feb 2, 5:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin | 33 min |
| Feb 2, 5:43 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Rankin, Scott, Smith | 7 hr |
| Feb 2, 6:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Neshoba, Newton, Scott | 63 min |
| Feb 2, 6:20 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin, Scott | 6 hr |
| Feb 2, 6:27 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln | 4 hr |
| Feb 2, 6:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 550 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -159 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 590 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 329 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 540 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.7
The text
As transmitted.
044 WWUS20 KWNS 021916 SEL0 SPC WW 021916 ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-030100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 10 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 115 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA PARTS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL 700 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AND EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED WITH THE STRENGTHENING STORMS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045. ...GOSS
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 12:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Escambia and 3 more | 55 min |
| Feb 2, 2:40 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Colbert, Cullman and 27 more | 95 min |
| Feb 2, 3:10 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Colbert, Cullman, Dallas and 23 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 2, 5:18 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Monroe, Washington and 1 more | 117 min |
| Feb 2, 5:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Colbert, Cullman and 26 more | 119 min |
| Feb 2, 10:41 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | East Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Tensas | 2 hr |
| Feb 2, 12:22 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alcorn, Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll and 33 more | 9 hr |
| Feb 2, 1:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Clay, Covington, Jasper, Jefferson Davis, Leake and 9 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.