Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 368
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 10, 2016, 1:48 PM MDT for 5 counties in Montana; 9 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 10, 2016, 1:48 PM MDT (19:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2016, 8:26 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
Counties Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 54 min |
| Jul 10, 2:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Powder River | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 2:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 67 min |
| Jul 10, 2:48 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 57 min |
| Jul 10, 2:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Billings, Dunn, Golden Valley, McKenzie | 56 min |
| Jul 10, 2:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bowman, Golden Valley, Slope | 62 min |
| Jul 10, 3:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Powder River | 41 min |
| Jul 10, 3:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Fallon | 34 min |
| Jul 10, 3:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn | 64 min |
| Jul 10, 3:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Billings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Slope | 50 min |
| Jul 10, 4:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn, McLean, Mercer, Mountrail, Ward | 53 min |
| Jul 10, 4:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Billings, Bowman, Golden Valley, Hettinger, Slope and 1 more | 51 min |
| Jul 10, 5:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Billings, Dunn, Grant, Hettinger, Mercer and 5 more | 54 min |
| Jul 10, 6:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux, Stark | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 253 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1594 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 1:19 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Custer, Dawson, Fallon, Powder River, Prairie and 2 more | 86 min |
| Jul 9, 7:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barnes, Burleigh, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Foster and 15 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 9, 9:44 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barnes, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Foster, Griggs and 9 more | 91 min |
| Jul 10, 3:53 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burleigh, Dickey, Eddy, Emmons, Foster, Grant and 12 more | 67 min |
| Jul 10, 4:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barnes, Benson, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Cavalier and 29 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.