Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2016, 8:32 PM CDT for 8 counties in Minnesota; 21 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 9, 2016, 8:32 PM CDT (01:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2016, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grant County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Morton County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Wells County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Sully County, SD, Walworth County, SD
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 8:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Foster | 34 min |
| Jul 9, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Wells | 43 min |
| Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grand Forks, Steele, Traill | 41 min |
| Jul 9, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Grant, Morton, Sioux | 60 min |
| Jul 9, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Clay, Norman, Polk | 52 min |
| Jul 9, 9:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Foster, Stutsman | 34 min |
| Jul 9, 9:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Potter, Walworth | 60 min |
| Jul 9, 9:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Griggs, Steele | 50 min |
| Jul 9, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Foster, Wells | 46 min |
| Jul 9, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Norman | 45 min |
| Jul 9, 9:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Foster, Stutsman, Wells | 37 min |
| Jul 9, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Foster, Stutsman, Wells | 61 min |
| Jul 9, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burleigh, Emmons, Morton, Sioux | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 10:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman, Otter Tail | 60 min |
| Jul 9, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Clay, Norman | 62 min |
| Jul 9, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Campbell, Edmunds, McPherson, Walworth | 59 min |
| Jul 9, 10:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Dewey, Hughes, Potter, Stanley, Sully | 42 min |
| Jul 9, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Stutsman | 60 min |
| Jul 9, 10:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay, Otter Tail, Wilkin | 63 min |
| Jul 9, 11:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Dewey, Faulk, Hand, Hughes, Hyde, Potter and 2 more | 58 min |
| Jul 9, 11:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Cass | 66 min |
| Jul 9, 11:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Edmunds, McPherson | 50 min |
| Jul 9, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Clay, Wilkin | 62 min |
| Jul 9, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grant, Otter Tail, Wilkin | 65 min |
| Jul 10, 12:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grant, Wilkin | 58 min |
| Jul 10, 12:03 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Hand, Hughes, Hyde, Sully | 22 min |
| Jul 10, 12:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Barnes, Cass, Ransom | 64 min |
| Jul 10, 12:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Ransom, Richland, Sargent | 59 min |
| Jul 10, 12:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grant, Otter Tail, Wadena, Wilkin | 53 min |
| Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FGF | Otter Tail, Wilkin | 8 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grant, Otter Tail, Wilkin | 42 min |
| Jul 10, 1:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn, Mercer, Morton, Oliver, Stark | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3085 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -51 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1729 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 165 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 226 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.0
- Supercell composite
- 20.1
The text
As transmitted.
535
WWUS20 KWNS 100130
SEL6
SPC WW 100130
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-100700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 366
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE WATCH AREA
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING...POSING A THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BISMARCK NORTH DAKOTA TO 35 MILES EAST OF DETROIT LAKES
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Big Stone, Clay, Douglas, Grant, Hubbard and 11 more | 91 min |
| Jul 9, 11:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Big Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, McLeod and 10 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 10, 1:23 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dodge, Faribault and 17 more | 87 min |
| Jul 10, 2:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, McKenzie, Slope and 1 more | 86 min |
| Jul 10, 2:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Hettinger and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burleigh, Dickey, Eddy, Emmons, Foster, Grant and 12 more | 67 min |
| Jul 10, 5:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barnes, Benson, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Cavalier and 29 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 10, 3:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bennett, Brule, Buffalo, Dewey, Gregory, Haakon and 11 more | 84 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.