Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366

July 9, 20168 counties in Minnesota; 21 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2016, 8:32 PM CDT for 8 counties in Minnesota; 21 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2016, 8:32 PM CDT (01:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2016, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grant County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Morton County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Wells County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Sully County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 8:41 PM CDTTornado WarningBISFoster34 min
Jul 9, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISWells43 min
Jul 9, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Steele, Traill41 min
Jul 9, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton, Sioux60 min
Jul 9, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Norman, Polk52 min
Jul 9, 9:11 PM CDTTornado WarningBISFoster, Stutsman34 min
Jul 9, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Potter, Walworth60 min
Jul 9, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGriggs, Steele50 min
Jul 9, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Wells46 min
Jul 9, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFNorman45 min
Jul 9, 9:38 PM CDTTornado WarningBISFoster, Stutsman, Wells37 min
Jul 9, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Stutsman, Wells61 min
Jul 9, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Morton, Sioux40 min
Jul 9, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman, Otter Tail60 min
Jul 9, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Norman62 min
Jul 9, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCampbell, Edmunds, McPherson, Walworth59 min
Jul 9, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey, Hughes, Potter, Stanley, Sully42 min
Jul 9, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISStutsman60 min
Jul 9, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Otter Tail, Wilkin63 min
Jul 9, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey, Faulk, Hand, Hughes, Hyde, Potter and 2 more58 min
Jul 9, 11:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass66 min
Jul 9, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, McPherson50 min
Jul 9, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Wilkin62 min
Jul 9, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Otter Tail, Wilkin65 min
Jul 10, 12:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Wilkin58 min
Jul 10, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHand, Hughes, Hyde, Sully22 min
Jul 10, 12:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass, Ransom64 min
Jul 10, 12:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom, Richland, Sargent59 min
Jul 10, 12:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Otter Tail, Wadena, Wilkin53 min
Jul 10, 1:10 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFOtter Tail, Wilkin8 hr
Jul 10, 1:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Otter Tail, Wilkin42 min
Jul 10, 1:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, Mercer, Morton, Oliver, Stark58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3085 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 165 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3085 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1729 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
20.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

535 
WWUS20 KWNS 100130
SEL6  
SPC WW 100130
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-100700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 366
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
  SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
  NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE WATCH AREA
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING...POSING A THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BISMARCK NORTH DAKOTA TO 35 MILES EAST OF DETROIT LAKES
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Douglas, Grant, Hubbard and 11 more91 min
Jul 9, 11:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, McLeod and 10 more5 hr
Jul 10, 1:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 14 more2 hr
Jul 10, 3:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dodge, Faribault and 17 more87 min
Jul 10, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBillings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, McKenzie, Slope and 1 more86 min
Jul 10, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Hettinger and 3 more7 hr
Jul 10, 4:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurleigh, Dickey, Eddy, Emmons, Foster, Grant and 12 more67 min
Jul 10, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarnes, Benson, Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Cavalier and 29 more6 hr
Jul 10, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Brule, Buffalo, Dewey, Gregory, Haakon and 11 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.