Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367

July 9, 201616 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2016, 11:36 PM CDT for 16 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2016, 11:36 PM CDT (04:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2016, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Pope County, MN, Renville County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 1:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas45 min
Jul 10, 1:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBig Stone, Traverse51 min
Jul 10, 1:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas, Pope, Stearns, Stevens, Todd42 min
Jul 10, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBig Stone32 min
Jul 10, 4:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRClark, Day, Spink15 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2016-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2269 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2016-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 193 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2269 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1392 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
20.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

506 
WWUS20 KWNS 100435
SEL7  
SPC WW 100435
MNZ000-SDZ000-101000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
  NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 1140 PM
  UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING INTO THE WATCH AREA FROM THE WEST
AND NORTH...AND SHOULD REMAIN INTENSE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. 
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF WATERTOWN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF
REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 366...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBecker, Clay, Grant, Mahnomen, Norman, Otter Tail and 2 more5 hr
Jul 9, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Douglas, Grant, Hubbard and 11 more91 min
Jul 10, 1:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 14 more2 hr
Jul 10, 3:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dodge, Faribault and 17 more87 min
Jul 10, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarding86 min
Jul 10, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarding, Perkins7 hr
Jul 10, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Brule, Buffalo, Dewey, Gregory, Haakon and 11 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.