Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Bismarck, ND

848 
WWUS53 KBIS 102357
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
657 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC007-087-110006-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-160711T0030Z/
SLOPE ND-BILLINGS ND-
657 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN SLOPE AND SOUTHEASTERN
BILLINGS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT/900
PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT/1000 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4595 10288 4627 10287 4648 10288 4709 10295
      4733 10177 4684 10110 4594 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 255DEG 63KT 4724 10257 4671 10208 4621 10231 

$$

NDC001-025-037-041-057-059-065-085-089-110030-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-160711T0030Z/
HETTINGER ND-MERCER ND-GRANT ND-OLIVER ND-STARK ND-SIOUX ND-DUNN ND-
ADAMS ND-MORTON ND-
657 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM
CDT/630 PM MDT/ FOR HETTINGER...SOUTHWESTERN MERCER...GRANT...
SOUTHWESTERN OLIVER...STARK...SOUTHWESTERN SIOUX...SOUTHEASTERN
DUNN...ADAMS AND WESTERN MORTON COUNTIES...

AT 656 PM CDT/556 PM MDT/...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF DUNN CENTER TO 13 MILES SOUTH OF
HEBRON TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF MOTT...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DICKINSON...BEULAH...HETTINGER...GLEN ULLIN...MOTT...ELGIN...
NEW SALEM...HEBRON...NEW ENGLAND...RICHARDTON...CARSON...GLADSTONE...
ZAP...NEW LEIPZIG...REGENT...TAYLOR...ALMONT...MARSHALL...
HAYNES AND HEART BUTTE DAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. 

&&

LAT...LON 4595 10288 4627 10287 4648 10288 4709 10295
      4733 10177 4684 10110 4594 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 255DEG 63KT 4724 10257 4671 10208 4621 10231 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

JP MARTIN

737 
WWUS53 KBIS 110021
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
721 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC001-025-037-041-057-059-065-085-089-110030-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-160711T0030Z/
HETTINGER ND-MERCER ND-GRANT ND-OLIVER ND-STARK ND-SIOUX ND-DUNN ND-
ADAMS ND-MORTON ND-
721 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM
CDT/630 PM MDT/ FOR HETTINGER...SOUTHWESTERN MERCER...GRANT...
SOUTHWESTERN OLIVER...STARK...SOUTHWESTERN SIOUX...SOUTHEASTERN
DUNN...ADAMS AND WESTERN MORTON COUNTIES...

AT 719 PM CDT/619 PM MDT/...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES WEST OF MARSHALL TO 5 MILES WEST OF
HEART BUTTE DAM TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF WHITE BUTTE...MOVING EAST AT
70 MPH.

THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS. GET TO SHELTER NOW IF YOU ARE IN
THE WARNED AREA! STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...PUBLIC. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GLEN ULLIN...ELGIN...HEBRON...RICHARDTON...CARSON...NEW LEIPZIG...
HAYNES...HEART BUTTE DAM AND FISH CREEK DAM.

LAT...LON 4595 10270 4648 10272 4712 10281 4733 10177
      4684 10110 4594 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 258DEG 65KT 4712 10242 4659 10193 4598 10228 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

JPM/KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
431 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 430 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Update to cancel the heat advisory for the southern James river
valley. Clouds kept temperatures from rising into the 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Robust upper level low across the northwest Conus will move
east and approach the northern plains this period. A line of
thunderstorms has formed along a cold frontal boundary in eastern
Montana and southwest North Dakota. To the east warm and humid air
will push the heat index above 100 south central early this
evening.

Overnight it appears the threat for thunderstorms will be highest
across the north and west with lower pops south central where it
will take longer to erode the elevated mixed layer and cap.
The threat for severe weather will however extend south to the
south dakota border as the cape and shear are very favorable.
Precipitable water will support some heavy rain potential across
portions of northwest north dakota this evening and possibly east
late tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Main concerns in the long term will be an anomalous h500 low
forecast to move across northern north dakota into southern canada
by wednesday. Global models look consistent in bringing strong
wrap around winds monday evening and overnight into tuesday
morning. Bufkit soundings show strong wind potential with wind
advisory criteria likely met with a low end warning criteria not
out if the question southwest monday night into tuesday.

will not issue wind headlines yet but will highlight in the
hazardous weather outlook.

the remainder of teh week will be cooler behind the upper upper
low however with a Northwest flow regime there will be at least
chances for thunderstorms through sunday.

&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

A trough of low pressure from Saskatchewan to a surface low
pressure system across northwest South Dakota will be the focus
for thunderstorms tonight across west and central North Dakota.
Hazards to aviation will focus on thunderstorms...some likely
severe with strong winds. Too uncertain in timing so maintained
the vicinity descriptor. Also left out strong winds until closer
to the thunderstorm period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

A trough of low pressure from Saskatchewan to a surface low
pressure system across northwest South Dakota will be the focus
for thunderstorms tonight across west and central North Dakota.
Hazards to aviation will focus on thunderstorms...some likely
severe with strong winds. Too uncertain in timing so maintained
the vicinity descriptor. Also left out strong winds until closer
to the thunderstorm period.

&&

.BIS Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for NDZ045-
046.

&&

UPDATE...WAA
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...WAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
940 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-111445-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
940 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016 /840 AM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FAR SOUTH CENTRAL
AND FAR SOUTHEAST. HEAT INDEX VALUES TO 107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
518 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ017-102300-
MCKENZIE ND-
518 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MCKENZIE COUNTY
UNTIL 600 PM CDT/500 PM MDT/...

AT 517 PM CDT/417 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SIDNEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATFORD CITY...ALEXANDER...ARNEGARD...SATHER DAM AND RAWSON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT/900
PM MDT/ FOR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4749 10388 4764 10403 4797 10343 4766 10314
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 235DEG 28KT 4762 10384

CJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
528 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KILLDEER                47.37N 102.75W
07/10/2016                   DUNN               ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WINDOW BROKEN IN PATROL PASSENGER VEHICLE.
            TREES DOWN WITH LOTS OF DAMAGES TO TRAILERS
            AND HOUSES DUE TO WIND DRIVEN HAIL. DAMAGE
            IS ONGOING.

&&

KS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
553 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             AMIDON                  46.48N 103.32W
07/10/2016  E1.50 INCH       SLOPE              ND   PUBLIC

            GROUND COVERED IN HAIL.

&&

MM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
604 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             4 W AMIDON              46.48N 103.41W
07/10/2016  M2.75 INCH       SLOPE              ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOT OF DAMAGE. CROP AND VEHICLE DAMAGE WHICH
            WAS SAID TO BE VERY BAD. .

0534 PM     HAIL             2 W AMIDON              46.48N 103.37W
07/10/2016  M1.75 INCH       SLOPE              ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DURATION OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL 12 MINUTES,
            FROM 534PM CDT TO 536 PM CDT. GROUND IS
            COVERED. DENTED FRAMES ON WINDOWS AND BROKEN
            WINDOW SCREENS. WINDSHIELDS BROKEN. .

&&

NWS BISMARCK ND
IRIS SYSTEM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
604 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ009-017-102345-
WILLIAMS ND-MCKENZIE ND-
604 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMS AND
NORTHERN MCKENZIE COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 602 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
ARNEGARD...OR 8 MILES WEST OF WATFORD CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATFORD CITY...ALEXANDER...ARNEGARD...KEENE...RAWSON...WHITE TAIL BAY
RECREATION AREA...TOBACCO GARDEN BAY RECREATION AREA AND LEWIS AND
CLARK STATE PARK.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4770 10355 4784 10376 4826 10314 4791 10276
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 231DEG 28KT 4782 10347

HARGROVE/KING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
636 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 WNW FRYBURG           46.90N 103.38W
07/10/2016  M55 MPH          BILLINGS           ND   MESONET

            .

&&

CJS