Severe Thunderstorm Warning 120, NWS Bismarck, ND

624 
WWUS53 KBIS 102108
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
308 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC033-102116-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0120.000000T0000Z-160710T2145Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY ND-
308 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GOLDEN VALLEY
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN GOLDEN VALLEY
COUNTY UNTIL 4 PM MDT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4727 10367 4748 10325 4746 10289 4725 10281
      4700 10327 4706 10367
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 228DEG 22KT 4721 10332 

$$

NDC007-025-053-102145-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0120.000000T0000Z-160710T2145Z/
BILLINGS ND-DUNN ND-MCKENZIE ND-
308 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR NORTHERN BILLINGS...WEST CENTRAL DUNN AND SOUTH CENTRAL MCKENZIE
COUNTIES...

AT 306 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SOUTH FAIRFIELD...OR 28 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KILLDEER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRASSY BUTTE...SOUTH FAIRFIELD AND FAIRFIELD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4727 10367 4748 10325 4746 10289 4725 10281
      4700 10327 4706 10367
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 228DEG 22KT 4721 10332 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MATHEWS

318 
WWUS53 KBIS 102124
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
324 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC007-025-053-102145-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0120.000000T0000Z-160710T2145Z/
BILLINGS ND-DUNN ND-MCKENZIE ND-
324 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BILLINGS...WEST CENTRAL DUNN AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MCKENZIE COUNTIES...

AT 322 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTH OF
SOUTH FAIRFIELD...OR 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KILLDEER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...PUBLIC. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRASSY BUTTE...SOUTH FAIRFIELD AND FAIRFIELD.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO MINOR
FLOODING OF STREETS, DITCHES, AND CREEKS. DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK
INTO FLOOD WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4732 10336 4748 10325 4746 10289 4725 10281
      4700 10327 4713 10332
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 237DEG 24KT 4725 10315 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

JP MARTIN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
317 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Robust upper level low across the northwest Conus will move
east and approach the northern plains this period. A line of
thunderstorms has fored along a cold frontal boundary in eastern
Montana and southwest North Dakota. To the east warm and humid air
will push the heat index above 100 south central early this
evening.

Overnight it appears the threat for thunderstorms will be highest
across the north and west with lower pops south central where it
will take longer to erode the elevated mixed layer and cap.
The threat for severe weather will however extend south to the
south dakota border as the cape and shear are very favorable.
Precipitable water will support some heavy rain potential across
portions of northwest north dakota this evening and possibly east
late tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Main concerns in the long term will be an anomalous h500 low
forecast to move across northern north dakota into southern canada
by wednesday. Global models look consistent in bringing strong
wrap around winds monday evening and overnight into tuesday
morning. Bufkit soundings show strong wind potential with wind
advisory criteria likely met with a low end warning criteria not
out if the question southwest monday night into tuesday.

will not issue wind headlines yet but will highlight in the
hazardous weather outlook.

the remainder of teh week will be cooler behind the upper upper
low however with a Northwest flow regime there will be at least
chances for thunderstorms through sunday.

&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

A trough of low pressure from Saskatchewan to a surface low
pressure system across northwest South Dakota will be the focus
for thunderstorms tonight across west and central North Dakota.
Hazards to aviation will focus on thunderstorms...some likely
severe with strong winds. Too uncertain in timing so maintained
the vicinity descriptor. Also left out strong winds until closer
to the thunderstorm period.

&&

.BIS Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for
NDZ045>048-050-051.

&&

SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...WAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
940 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-111445-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
940 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016 /840 AM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FAR SOUTH CENTRAL
AND FAR SOUTHEAST. HEAT INDEX VALUES TO 107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1044 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             BARLOW                  47.57N  99.14W
07/09/2016  E1.00 INCH       FOSTER             ND   PUBLIC

            ARB OBSERVER ESTIMATED HAIL OCCURRED AROUND 830 PM CDT

&&

KROLAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1110 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0902 PM     HAIL             3 S HAMBERG             47.73N  99.51W
07/09/2016  E1.00 INCH       WELLS              ND   PUBLIC

            ARB OBSERVER REPORTED HAIL BETWEEN 902 PM CDT AND 913
            PM CDT.

&&

KROLAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1147 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1146 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MONTPELIER              46.70N  98.59W
07/10/2016  M1.55 INCH       STUTSMAN           ND   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR REPORT

&&

KROLAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1148 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1147 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MARSHALL                47.14N 102.33W
07/10/2016  M1.15 INCH       DUNN               ND   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR REPORT

&&

KROLAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1228 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     TSTM WND GST     DICKINSON               46.88N 102.79W
07/10/2016  M85 MPH          STARK              ND   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM THE SOUTH SIDE OF DICKINSON OF
            NUMEROUS TREES SNAPPED AND OTHERS UPROOTED.
            A CAMPER WAS FLIPPED OVER. PERSON HAD A
            HAND-HELD ANEMOMETER (WIND EQUIPMENT).
            LENGTH OF EVENT UNKNOWN.

0110 AM     TSTM WND GST     6 S DICKINSON           46.79N 102.80W
07/10/2016  M76 MPH          STARK              ND   ASOS

            ALL TIMES ARE CENTRAL DAYLIGHT. KDIK ASOS
            PEAK WIND OF THE EVENT WAS 76 MPH. BASED ON
            ASOS ONE-MINUTE DATA THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
            WIND STARTED AT 1251 AM AND CONTINUED UNTIL
            123 AM. (58 MPH OR HIGHER).

&&

NWS BISMARCK ND
IRIS SYSTEM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
122 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ031-102000-
GOLDEN VALLEY ND-
122 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY UNTIL 200
PM MDT...

AT 122 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CARLYLE...OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF BEACH...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEACH...GOLVA...SENTINEL BUTTE AND ALPHA.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4717 10404 4716 10370 4661 10380 4664 10404
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 191DEG 32KT 4670 10405

ABELING