Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Bismarck, ND

883 
WWUS53 KBIS 102302
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
602 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC025-055-057-061-101-102330-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-160710T2330Z/
MCLEAN ND-MERCER ND-MOUNTRAIL ND-DUNN ND-WARD ND-
602 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM
CDT/530 PM MDT/ FOR NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN...NORTHWESTERN MERCER...
SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTRAIL...NORTHEASTERN DUNN AND SOUTH CENTRAL WARD
COUNTIES...

AT 559 PM CDT/459 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF INDIAN HILLS RECREATION AREA...OR 32 MILES NORTHEAST OF
KILLDEER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PARSHALL...HALLIDAY...MAKOTI...ROSEGLEN...VAN HOOK PARK...
INDIAN HILLS RECREATION AREA...MCKENZIE BAY RECREATION AREA...
EMMET...RAUB...AND WHITE SHIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF ON OR NEAR LAKE SAKAKAWEA GET AWAY FROM THE WATER AND MOVE
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO
15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER
NOW! DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

&&

LAT...LON 4798 10240 4799 10175 4763 10145 4733 10241
      4770 10257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 231DEG 28KT 4764 10219 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

HARGROVE/KING

908 
WWUS53 KBIS 102317
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
617 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC025-055-057-061-101-102330-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-160710T2330Z/
MCLEAN ND-MERCER ND-MOUNTRAIL ND-DUNN ND-WARD ND-
617 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM
CDT/530 PM MDT/ FOR NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN...NORTHWESTERN MERCER...
SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTRAIL...NORTHEASTERN DUNN AND SOUTH CENTRAL WARD
COUNTIES...

AT 616 PM CDT/516 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10
MILES NORTH OF INDIAN HILLS RECREATION AREA...OR 31 MILES WEST OF
GARRISON... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PARSHALL...MAKOTI...ROSEGLEN...VAN HOOK PARK...
MCKENZIE BAY RECREATION AREA...INDIAN HILLS RECREATION AREA...
PARSHALL BAY RECREATION AREA...RAUB...AND WHITE SHIELD.
.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE
TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF ON OR NEAR LAKE SAKAKAWEA...GET AWAY FROM THE WATER AND MOVE
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO
15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER
NOW! DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

&&

LAT...LON 4744 10226 4761 10243 4775 10251 4798 10240
      4799 10175 4775 10155
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 211DEG 25KT 4776 10207 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HARGROVE/KING

401 
WWUS53 KBIS 102329
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
629 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC025-055-057-061-101-102338-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-160710T2330Z/
MCLEAN ND-MERCER ND-MOUNTRAIL ND-DUNN ND-WARD ND-
629 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN...
NORTHWESTERN MERCER...SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTRAIL...NORTHEASTERN DUNN AND
SOUTH CENTRAL WARD COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT/530 PM MDT/...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY
WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM
CDT/1000 PM MDT/ FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4744 10226 4761 10243 4775 10251 4798 10240
      4799 10175 4775 10155
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 233DEG 41KT 4776 10207 

$$

HARGROVE/KING

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
431 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 430 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Update to cancel the heat advisory for the southern James river
valley. Clouds kept temperatures from rising into the 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Robust upper level low across the northwest Conus will move
east and approach the northern plains this period. A line of
thunderstorms has formed along a cold frontal boundary in eastern
Montana and southwest North Dakota. To the east warm and humid air
will push the heat index above 100 south central early this
evening.

Overnight it appears the threat for thunderstorms will be highest
across the north and west with lower pops south central where it
will take longer to erode the elevated mixed layer and cap.
The threat for severe weather will however extend south to the
south dakota border as the cape and shear are very favorable.
Precipitable water will support some heavy rain potential across
portions of northwest north dakota this evening and possibly east
late tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Main concerns in the long term will be an anomalous h500 low
forecast to move across northern north dakota into southern canada
by wednesday. Global models look consistent in bringing strong
wrap around winds monday evening and overnight into tuesday
morning. Bufkit soundings show strong wind potential with wind
advisory criteria likely met with a low end warning criteria not
out if the question southwest monday night into tuesday.

will not issue wind headlines yet but will highlight in the
hazardous weather outlook.

the remainder of teh week will be cooler behind the upper upper
low however with a Northwest flow regime there will be at least
chances for thunderstorms through sunday.

&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

A trough of low pressure from Saskatchewan to a surface low
pressure system across northwest South Dakota will be the focus
for thunderstorms tonight across west and central North Dakota.
Hazards to aviation will focus on thunderstorms...some likely
severe with strong winds. Too uncertain in timing so maintained
the vicinity descriptor. Also left out strong winds until closer
to the thunderstorm period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

A trough of low pressure from Saskatchewan to a surface low
pressure system across northwest South Dakota will be the focus
for thunderstorms tonight across west and central North Dakota.
Hazards to aviation will focus on thunderstorms...some likely
severe with strong winds. Too uncertain in timing so maintained
the vicinity descriptor. Also left out strong winds until closer
to the thunderstorm period.

&&

.BIS Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for NDZ045-
046.

&&

UPDATE...WAA
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...WAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
940 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-111445-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
940 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016 /840 AM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FAR SOUTH CENTRAL
AND FAR SOUTHEAST. HEAT INDEX VALUES TO 107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
455 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     HAIL             6 ENE PRETTY BUTTE      46.42N 103.86W
07/10/2016  E1.75 INCH       SLOPE              ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
456 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 ENE PRETTY BUTTE      46.42N 103.86W
07/10/2016  U60 MPH          SLOPE              ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
504 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     HAIL             6 SW KILLDEER           47.32N 102.85W
07/10/2016  E1.75 INCH       DUNN               ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL LASTED THROUGH 457 PM CDT

&&

MMATHEWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
511 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             3 N MANNING             47.27N 102.77W
07/10/2016  E1.75 INCH       DUNN               ND   PUBLIC

            ONGOING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

0500 PM     HAIL             KILLDEER                47.37N 102.75W
07/10/2016  M3.00 INCH       DUNN               ND   PUBLIC

            MEASURED 3.25 INCH HAIL AND ONGOING. WINDOWS
            BROKEN.

0427 PM     HAIL             8 NE FAIRFIELD          47.27N 103.10W
07/10/2016  M1.50 INCH       BILLINGS           ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL FOR 10 MINUTES.
            OCCURRED FROM 427PM CDT AND 437PM CDT.

&&

NWS BISMARCK ND
IRIS SYSTEM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
518 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ017-102300-
MCKENZIE ND-
518 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MCKENZIE COUNTY
UNTIL 600 PM CDT/500 PM MDT/...

AT 517 PM CDT/417 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SIDNEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATFORD CITY...ALEXANDER...ARNEGARD...SATHER DAM AND RAWSON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT/900
PM MDT/ FOR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4749 10388 4764 10403 4797 10343 4766 10314
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 235DEG 28KT 4762 10384

CJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
528 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KILLDEER                47.37N 102.75W
07/10/2016                   DUNN               ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WINDOW BROKEN IN PATROL PASSENGER VEHICLE.
            TREES DOWN WITH LOTS OF DAMAGES TO TRAILERS
            AND HOUSES DUE TO WIND DRIVEN HAIL. DAMAGE
            IS ONGOING.

&&

KS