Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 664

October 13, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 13, 2012, 5:57 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 13, 2012, 5:57 PM CDT (22:57 UTC)
Expired
Oct 14, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata, Rogers48 min
Oct 13, 6:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACreek, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner4 hr
Oct 13, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford51 min
Oct 13, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa44 min
Oct 13, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Vernon55 min
Oct 13, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper, Newton52 min
Oct 13, 7:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Pittsburg55 min
Oct 13, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade53 min
Oct 13, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg, Sequoyah56 min
Oct 13, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLawrence33 min
Oct 13, 8:19 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFLawrence26 min
Oct 13, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Dade, Greene, Polk48 min
Oct 13, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha63 min
Oct 13, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee and 2 more53 min
Oct 13, 8:43 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFGreene32 min
Oct 13, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPushmataha38 min
Oct 13, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Sequoyah59 min
Oct 13, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Webster42 min
Oct 13, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha42 min
Oct 13, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Madison, Washington67 min
Oct 13, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian, Washington40 min
Oct 13, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Wright25 min
Oct 13, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian62 min
Oct 13, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, LeFlore, Pushmataha43 min
Oct 13, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison, Washington67 min
Oct 13, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah32 min
Oct 13, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry33 min
Oct 13, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin49 min
Oct 13, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian34 min
Oct 13, 10:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFGreene6 hr
Oct 13, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFStone29 min
Oct 13, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha56 min
Oct 13, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, LeFlore, Pushmataha45 min
Oct 13, 10:41 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFWebster5 hr
Oct 13, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Franklin, Madison23 min
Oct 13, 11:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-10-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 25 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-10-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 359 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
25 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-385 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
685 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
359 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

639 
WWUS20 KWNS 132256
SEL4
SPC WW 132256
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-140500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 664
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
       SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
       EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 661...WW 662...WW 663...

DISCUSSION...A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS IS TRACKING
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD.  STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS AND SUFFICIENT
CAPE VALUES WILL PROVIDE A RISK OF ISOLATED INTENSE STORMS THROUGH
THE EVENING...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO OR TWO.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 6:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 7 more2 hr
Oct 12, 10:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Grant, Gray, Hamilton, Haskell, Hodgeman and 10 more94 min
Oct 12, 11:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 24 more83 min
Oct 13, 2:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa, Meade, Seward84 min
Oct 13, 2:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 31 more90 min
Oct 13, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud and 26 more6 hr
Oct 13, 6:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Cowley, Dickinson and 24 more64 min
Oct 13, 12:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Comanche, Custer, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa and 2 more3 hr
Oct 13, 1:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Atoka, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian and 36 more8 hr
Oct 13, 2:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian, Carter and 33 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.