Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 664
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 13, 2012, 5:57 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 13, 2012, 5:57 PM CDT (22:57 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 14, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 54 counties
Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata, Rogers | 48 min |
| Oct 13, 6:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 4 hr |
| Oct 13, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 51 min |
| Oct 13, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Delaware, Ottawa | 44 min |
| Oct 13, 7:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Vernon | 55 min |
| Oct 13, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Newton | 52 min |
| Oct 13, 7:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 55 min |
| Oct 13, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Dade | 53 min |
| Oct 13, 8:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg, Sequoyah | 56 min |
| Oct 13, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Lawrence | 33 min |
| Oct 13, 8:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Lawrence | 26 min |
| Oct 13, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Dade, Greene, Polk | 48 min |
| Oct 13, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 63 min |
| Oct 13, 8:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee and 2 more | 53 min |
| Oct 13, 8:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Greene | 32 min |
| Oct 13, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pushmataha | 38 min |
| Oct 13, 9:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 59 min |
| Oct 13, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dallas, Webster | 42 min |
| Oct 13, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 42 min |
| Oct 13, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Madison, Washington | 67 min |
| Oct 13, 9:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian, Washington | 40 min |
| Oct 13, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Laclede, Wright | 25 min |
| Oct 13, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin, Sebastian | 62 min |
| Oct 13, 9:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, LeFlore, Pushmataha | 43 min |
| Oct 13, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison, Washington | 67 min |
| Oct 13, 9:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 32 min |
| Oct 13, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry | 33 min |
| Oct 13, 10:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin | 49 min |
| Oct 13, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 34 min |
| Oct 13, 10:16 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Greene | 6 hr |
| Oct 13, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Stone | 29 min |
| Oct 13, 10:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Pushmataha | 56 min |
| Oct 13, 10:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, LeFlore, Pushmataha | 45 min |
| Oct 13, 10:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Webster | 5 hr |
| Oct 13, 10:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Franklin, Madison | 23 min |
| Oct 13, 11:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark, Taney | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 25 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -385 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 685 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 359 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 270 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
639
WWUS20 KWNS 132256
SEL4
SPC WW 132256
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-140500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 664
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 PM CDT SAT OCT 13 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 661...WW 662...WW 663...
DISCUSSION...A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS IS TRACKING
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD. STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS AND SUFFICIENT
CAPE VALUES WILL PROVIDE A RISK OF ISOLATED INTENSE STORMS THROUGH
THE EVENING...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO OR TWO.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 6:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 12, 10:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Finney, Grant, Gray, Hamilton, Haskell, Hodgeman and 10 more | 94 min |
| Oct 12, 11:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 24 more | 83 min |
| Oct 13, 2:06 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa, Meade, Seward | 84 min |
| Oct 13, 2:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 31 more | 90 min |
| Oct 13, 3:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud and 26 more | 6 hr |
| Oct 13, 6:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Cowley, Dickinson and 24 more | 64 min |
| Oct 13, 12:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Comanche, Custer, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 13, 1:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Atoka, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian and 36 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 13, 2:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian, Carter and 33 more | 95 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.