Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 10
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jan 23, 2012, 2:54 AM EST for Cherokee County, North Carolina; 31 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 23, 2012, 2:54 AM EST (07:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 23, 2012, 5:34 AM EST
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 33 counties
Cherokee County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, White County, TN, Lee County, VA
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 3:46 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Clay, Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Overton and 3 more | 59 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 517 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 337 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 371 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
614
WWUS20 KWNS 230755
SEL0
SPC WW 230755
NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-231500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 10
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 150 AM UNTIL 900 AM CST.
HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF
KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE TO 10 MILES WEST OF CHATTANOOGA TENNESSEE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...WW 8...WW 9...
DISCUSSION...PREFRONTAL NE-SW SQLN NOW NEAR BNA...AND COMPLEX AREA
OF SUPERCELLS STORMS FARTHER E/SE...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY
ENEWD INTO E TN LATER THIS MORNING AS REGION IS GLANCED BY STRONG
UPR TROUGH NOW ASSUMING AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE TILT OVER W TN/SE
MO. INTENSE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE VORT SUGGESTS THAT
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK OF DMGG SFC WINDS AND POSSIBLY
AN ISOLD TORNADO...DESPITE RESIDUAL LAYER OF STABLE WEDGE-TYPE AIR
THAT SHOULD REMAIN OVER MOST OF THE WW REGION AT THE SFC.
NOTE: EXISTING TORNADO WW 7 WILL BE AREALLY EXTENDED SLIGHTLY EWD TO
INCLUDE THOSE COUNTIES IN MIDDLE TN NOT CURRENTLY UNDER WW 7 AND NOT
INCLUDED IN THIS SVR TSTM WW.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 24045.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 8:28 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ballard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more | 5 hr |
| Jan 22, 9:37 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman, McCracken | 83 min |
| Jan 22, 11:49 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Christian and 26 more | 86 min |
| Jan 23, 12:34 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Edmonson and 17 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 23, 1:52 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 65 more | 113 min |
| Jan 23, 2:14 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Anderson, Bath, Bell, Boone, Bourbon and 59 more | 5 hr |
| Jan 23, 5:11 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 19 more | 64 min |
| Jan 23, 11:46 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 18 more | 89 min |
| Jan 22, 10:47 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester, Crockett, Decatur and 24 more | 58 min |
| Jan 22, 11:59 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 44 more | 7 hr |
| Jan 23, 2:25 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 41 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 23, 5:28 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger and 14 more | 62 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.