Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 10

January 23, 2012Cherokee County, North Carolina; 31 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jan 23, 2012, 2:54 AM EST for Cherokee County, North Carolina; 31 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2012, 2:54 AM EST (07:54 UTC)
Expired
Jan 23, 2012, 5:34 AM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 33 counties

Cherokee County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, White County, TN, Lee County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 3:46 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, Cumberland, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Overton and 3 more59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 337 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
371 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

614 
WWUS20 KWNS 230755
SEL0
SPC WW 230755
NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-231500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 10
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
       FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 150 AM UNTIL 900 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF
KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE TO 10 MILES WEST OF CHATTANOOGA TENNESSEE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 7...WW 8...WW 9...

DISCUSSION...PREFRONTAL NE-SW SQLN NOW NEAR BNA...AND COMPLEX AREA
OF SUPERCELLS STORMS FARTHER E/SE...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY
ENEWD INTO E TN LATER THIS MORNING AS REGION IS GLANCED BY STRONG
UPR TROUGH NOW ASSUMING AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE TILT OVER W TN/SE
MO.  INTENSE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE VORT SUGGESTS THAT
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK OF DMGG SFC WINDS AND POSSIBLY
AN ISOLD TORNADO...DESPITE RESIDUAL LAYER OF STABLE WEDGE-TYPE AIR
THAT SHOULD REMAIN OVER MOST OF THE WW REGION AT THE SFC.
NOTE: EXISTING TORNADO WW 7 WILL BE AREALLY EXTENDED SLIGHTLY EWD TO
INCLUDE THOSE COUNTIES IN MIDDLE TN NOT CURRENTLY UNDER WW 7 AND NOT
INCLUDED IN THIS SVR TSTM WW.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 24045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 8:28 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more5 hr
Jan 22, 9:37 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman, McCracken83 min
Jan 22, 11:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBreckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Christian and 26 more86 min
Jan 23, 12:34 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Edmonson and 17 more3 hr
Jan 23, 1:52 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 65 more113 min
Jan 23, 2:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Anderson, Bath, Bell, Boone, Bourbon and 59 more5 hr
Jan 23, 5:11 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 19 more64 min
Jan 23, 11:46 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 18 more89 min
Jan 22, 10:47 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester, Crockett, Decatur and 24 more58 min
Jan 22, 11:59 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 44 more7 hr
Jan 23, 2:25 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 41 more2 hr
Jan 23, 5:28 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger and 14 more62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.