Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 6

January 22, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 22, 2012, 7:28 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 22, 2012, 7:28 PM CST (01:28 UTC)
Expired
Jan 23, 2012, 12:42 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 58 counties

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 8:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton36 min
Jan 22, 9:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Jackson, Jefferson, Perry, Williamson34 min
Jan 22, 9:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBallard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman30 min
Jan 22, 9:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson, Wayne30 min
Jan 22, 9:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Jefferson, Wayne22 min
Jan 22, 10:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMassac, Pope44 min
Jan 22, 10:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Hamilton, Wayne, White30 min
Jan 22, 10:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Saline, White23 min
Jan 22, 10:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHardin, Massac, Pope48 min
Jan 22, 10:37 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHCalloway, Graves, Marshall23 min
Jan 22, 10:42 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash33 min
Jan 22, 10:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWabash, White28 min
Jan 22, 10:55 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHCalloway35 min
Jan 22, 10:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Christian, Crittenden, Henderson, Hopkins, Lyon and 3 more33 min
Jan 22, 11:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGibson, Pike, Posey, Vanderburgh, Warrick34 min
Jan 22, 11:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Marshall18 min
Jan 22, 11:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer45 min
Jan 22, 11:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPike, Spencer, Warrick27 min
Jan 23, 12:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Muhlenberg, Todd33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 269 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 337 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
371 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

281 
WWUS20 KWNS 230130
SEL6  
SPC WW 230130
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-230800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 6
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
       EXTREME SOUTHWEST INDIANA
       WESTERN KENTUCKY
       SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
EVANSVILLE INDIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING NEWD FROM AR TO SE
MO...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THE LOW
LEVELS DESTABILIZE AND A COOL AIR MASS ERODES.  THOUGH SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAK AND MAINLY CONFINED TO THE SRN HALF OF THE
WATCH AREA...VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF BOTH
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND QLCS CIRCULATIONS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A FEW
TORNADOES.  OTHERWISE...UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A LINE IS
EXPECTED...WITH AN ACCOMPANYING RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN THE
FAST STORM MOTIONS AND 60-70 KT WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 8:25 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 21 more2 hr
Jan 22, 8:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson and 9 more83 min
Jan 22, 10:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Edwards, Gallatin, Hardin, Lawrence and 2 more86 min
Jan 22, 11:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 15 more3 hr
Jan 23, 12:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette and 16 more113 min
Jan 23, 1:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDearborn, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland5 hr
Jan 23, 4:11 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 19 more64 min
Jan 23, 10:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 18 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2012Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2012Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.