Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 8
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jan 23, 2012, 12:34 AM EST for 21 counties in Indiana; 23 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 3 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 23, 2012, 12:34 AM EST (05:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 23, 2012, 3:45 AM EST
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 44 counties
Bartholomew County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clark County, IN, Clay County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Greene County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Logan County, KY, Meade County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 12:37 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Dubois, Orange, Perry | 38 min |
| Jan 23, 12:57 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Perry | 33 min |
| Jan 23, 1:10 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Dubois, Orange, Perry | 35 min |
| Jan 23, 1:21 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Perry | 24 min |
| Jan 23, 1:21 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Ohio | 24 min |
| Jan 23, 1:41 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Crawford, Harrison, Perry | 34 min |
| Jan 23, 1:44 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 31 min |
| Jan 23, 2:02 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Edmonson, Grayson, Hart, Warren | 28 min |
| Jan 23, 2:12 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison | 33 min |
| Jan 23, 2:14 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Simpson, Warren | 31 min |
| Jan 23, 2:34 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Hart | 26 min |
| Jan 23, 2:38 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Barren, Monroe | 37 min |
| Jan 23, 2:51 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Henry, Oldham, Shelby | 24 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 517 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 337 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 371 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
385
WWUS20 KWNS 230534
SEL8
SPC WW 230534
INZ000-KYZ000-231000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 8
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 AM EST MON JAN 23 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 1235 AM UNTIL 500 AM EST.
HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 6...WW 7...
DISCUSSION...EXTENSIVE SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE EWD ACROSS
INDIANA AND KY OVERNIGHT...IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EJECTING NEWD FROM AR/MO. THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED AT THIS POINT...AND THE NARROW SURFACE-BASED WARM SECTOR
WILL LIKELY REMAIN PINCHED OFF FARTHER TO THE SW ACROSS WRN KY/TN.
THUS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM THREAT GIVEN
VERY STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MOMENTUM
TRANSFER DOWN THROUGH THE SHALLOW NEAR-SURFACE STABLE LAYER.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 25045.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 8:28 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Gibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick | 5 hr |
| Jan 22, 9:25 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Benton, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Cass and 35 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 22, 11:49 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 24 more | 86 min |
| Jan 23, 1:52 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clark, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette and 16 more | 113 min |
| Jan 23, 2:14 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Dearborn, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland | 5 hr |
| Jan 22, 9:37 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman, McCracken | 83 min |
| Jan 23, 5:11 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 19 more | 64 min |
| Jan 23, 11:46 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 18 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.