Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 8

January 23, 201221 counties in Indiana; 23 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jan 23, 2012, 12:34 AM EST for 21 counties in Indiana; 23 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2012, 12:34 AM EST (05:34 UTC)
Expired
Jan 23, 2012, 3:45 AM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clark County, IN, Clay County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Greene County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Logan County, KY, Meade County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 12:37 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Orange, Perry38 min
Jan 23, 12:57 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry33 min
Jan 23, 1:10 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Orange, Perry35 min
Jan 23, 1:21 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry24 min
Jan 23, 1:21 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Ohio24 min
Jan 23, 1:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Perry34 min
Jan 23, 1:44 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Simpson, Warren31 min
Jan 23, 2:02 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKEdmonson, Grayson, Hart, Warren28 min
Jan 23, 2:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison33 min
Jan 23, 2:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Simpson, Warren31 min
Jan 23, 2:34 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBarren, Hart26 min
Jan 23, 2:38 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Monroe37 min
Jan 23, 2:51 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHenry, Oldham, Shelby24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 337 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
371 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

385 
WWUS20 KWNS 230534
SEL8
SPC WW 230534
INZ000-KYZ000-231000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 8
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 AM EST MON JAN 23 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN INDIANA
       CENTRAL KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 1235 AM UNTIL 500 AM EST.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 6...WW 7...

DISCUSSION...EXTENSIVE SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE EWD ACROSS
INDIANA AND KY OVERNIGHT...IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EJECTING NEWD FROM AR/MO.  THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED AT THIS POINT...AND THE NARROW SURFACE-BASED WARM SECTOR
WILL LIKELY REMAIN PINCHED OFF FARTHER TO THE SW ACROSS WRN KY/TN.
THUS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM THREAT GIVEN
VERY STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MOMENTUM
TRANSFER DOWN THROUGH THE SHALLOW NEAR-SURFACE STABLE LAYER.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 25045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 8:28 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCGibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick5 hr
Jan 22, 9:25 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Benton, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Cass and 35 more2 hr
Jan 22, 11:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 24 more86 min
Jan 23, 1:52 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette and 16 more113 min
Jan 23, 2:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDearborn, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland5 hr
Jan 22, 9:37 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman, McCracken83 min
Jan 23, 5:11 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bell, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 19 more64 min
Jan 23, 11:46 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 18 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.