Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 57

January 23, 201225 counties in Kentucky; Pike County, Ross County, Scioto County, Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 23, 2012, 5:11 AM EST for 25 counties in Kentucky; Pike County, Ross County, Scioto County, Ohio. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2012, 5:11 AM EST (10:11 UTC)
Expired
Jan 23, 2012, 6:15 AM EST
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 28 counties

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Carter County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Powell County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Pike County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-01-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 262 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
415 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
290 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

783 
ACUS11 KWNS 231011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231011 
OHZ000-KYZ000-VAZ000-231115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0057
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0411 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY / S-CNTRL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 9...

VALID 231011Z - 231115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 9 CONTINUES.

A CONTINUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK REMAINS...ALBEIT
LIMITED AND DIMINISHING...AS THE SQUALL LINE CONTINUES EWD ACROSS
THE MID OH RIVER VALLEY THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  A NEW SEVERE WATCH IS
NOT ANTICIPATED FARTHER E OVER FAR ERN KY...SERN OH...AND WRN WV.

RADAR MOSAIC AND LIGHTNING TRENDS HAVE SHOWN SUBSTANTIAL WEAKENING
IN THE 55 MPH EWD MOVING SQUALL LINE.  A STRONG PV ANOMALY IS
QUICKLY APPROACHING THE REGION FROM THE SW...AND DESPITE APPRECIABLE
LOW LEVEL STATIC STABILITY WITH FARTHER E EXTENT...THE LOW TOPPED
LINE SHOULD MAINTAIN ORGANIZED STRUCTURE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 
HOWEVER...A CONTINUED WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED GIVEN THE QUALITY
OF THE AIRMASS E OF THE QLCS.  NONETHELESS...GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF
LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND AN ORGANIZED/MATURE QLCS...AN
ISOLD STRONG WIND GUST/WIND DAMAGE RISK MAY CONTINUE IN THE NEAR
TERM.

..SMITH.. 01/23/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON   36688463 38758347 39598329 39418269 36708321 36688463

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 8:28 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more5 hr
Jan 22, 9:37 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman, McCracken83 min
Jan 22, 11:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBreckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Christian and 26 more86 min
Jan 23, 12:34 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Edmonson and 17 more3 hr
Jan 23, 1:52 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 65 more113 min
Jan 23, 2:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Anderson, Bath, Bell, Boone, Bourbon and 59 more5 hr
Jan 23, 11:46 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 18 more89 min
Jan 23, 3:26 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBelmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning and 4 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.