Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Paducah, KY

January 22, 20129 counties in Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 22, 2012, 10:57 PM CST for 9 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 33 min. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 22, 2012, 10:57 PM CST (04:57 UTC)
Expired: Jan 22, 2012, 11:30 PM CST
In force: 33 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Caldwell County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 22, 11:01 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 53	4 Ne Marion, KY	MESONET MEASUREMENT.
Jan 22, 11:04 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 54	Fenton, KY
Jan 22, 11:25 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Beulah, KY	POWER OUTAGES.
Jan 22, 11:25 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Charleston, KY	LATE REPORT...LARGE TREES DOWN OR UPROOTED ALONG NILES ROAD.
Jan 22, 11:25 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Dawson Springs, KY	POWER OUTAGES REPORTED.
Jan 22, 11:25 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	St. Charles, KY	POWER OUTAGES.
Jan 22, 11:30 PM CST	TSTM WND DMG	Madisonville, KY	200 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER.
Jan 22, 11:30 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 60	Dawson Springs, KY
Jan 22, 11:35 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 50	Sebree, KY	TSTM WIND GUST ESTIMATED BETWEEN 45 AND 50 MPH.
Jan 22, 11:40 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 47	4 Sw Madisonville, KY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 28 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 22, 7:28 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 337 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 371 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

631 
WUUS53 KPAH 230457
SVRPAH
KYC033-047-055-101-107-143-221-225-233-230530-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0016.120123T0457Z-120123T0530Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1057 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
  NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  EASTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
  HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
  LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
  NORTHERN TRIGG COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 1130 PM CST.

* AT 1050 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
  FROM STURGIS TO 7 MILES NORTH OF EDDYVILLE TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
  BENTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO
  ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
  MORGANFIELD...LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES AREA...BRECKINRIDGE CENTER...
  PRINCETON...PROVIDENCE...CADIZ...DAWSON SPRINGS...MADISONVILLE...
  CRESWELL...ENERGY...FARMERSVILLE...CLAY...CANTON...OLNEY...
  CORYDON...DIXON...COBB...ROBARDS...SEBREE AND EARLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3686 8815 3747 8810 3749 8806 3754 8809
      3766 8808 3787 8736 3774 8737 3768 8741
      3763 8750 3760 8748 3758 8738 3688 8745
      3675 8811
TIME...MOT...LOC 0456Z 274DEG 63KT 3756 8793 3716 8799
          3677 8815
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 22, 4:45 PM CST, 6 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 4:45 PM CST, 6 hours 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
445 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

A NUMBER OF WEATHER ISSUES TO DEAL WITH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONCERN UNTIL COLD FRONT
SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING...AS VERY RICH LOW LVL
AIR CONTS TO PUNCH N UP THE MS VALLEY. WILL NOT ISSUE ADVISORY AT
THIS TIME BECAUSE AM NOT SEEING WIDESPREAD VSBYS BELOW 1/4...WITH
MOST RUNNING FROM 1/2 TO 1 1/2 IN SE MO AND SRN MO. WILL NEED TO
MONITOR AS THE SUN GOES DOWN AND 1/4 MI VSBYS MAY BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY TONIGHT...THINGS REALLY BEGIN TO CHANGE
AND GET INTERESTING FROM A SEVERE WEATHER ASPECT OUT JUST TO OUR
WEST. THE AS A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND THE DYNAMICS WITH THIS SYSTEM BEGIN TO COME
TOGETHER LATE .THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BEGIN THE RAMP UP
QUICKLY EARLY TONIGHT AS SFC DEW POINTS SURGE INTO THE
50S...POSSIBLY TO NEAR 60. THIS...ALONG WITH THE UPPER DYNAMICS AND
COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW...WITH CREATE RAPIDLY
LOWERING OF INSTABILITY. THE COMBINATION OF THE WINDS ALOFT AND
INSURGENCE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND SFC PRE FRONTAL TROF MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER OUTBREAK. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE HIGHEST THREAT ALONG
THE LINE A BOW SEGMENTS...BUT SFC BASED SUPERCELLS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT THAT COULD PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL.

MAIN TIME FRAME FOR OUR AREA WILL BE FR OM 01 OR 02Z FAR WEST
/SE/MO/ TO JUST BEFORE OR AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM PAH EAST. FRONT SHOULD
END ALL PRECIP RAPIDLY FROM THE WEST BY MORNING.

SHOULD BE A BREAK IN THE PRECIP  MON AND TUE WITH TEMPS IN THE 40S
AND 50S.

HOWEVER...NEXT IN A SERIES OF SRN BRANCH SHORT WAVES WILL ARRIVE MY
ABOUT THE MID WEEK TIME FRAME. WILL BRING THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN.
THIS SYSTEM IS NOW EXPECTED TO STAY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH SO THAT WE
WOULD GET MAINLY RAIN...AS OPPOSED TO STORMS...IN THE COOL SECTOR
NORTH OF THE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VERY DIFFICULT FORECAST WITH THIS PACKAGE...MAINLY IN TIMING AND
LOCATION OF SURFACE BASED LOW/PRE FRONTAL TROF PRIOR TO AND IN THE
VICINITY OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
UTILIZING THE NAM-WRF GUIDANCE...VLIFR/IFR CEILING AND IFR/MVFR
VISIBILITY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THE WFO PAH TAF SITES
UP TO AND INCLUDING THE INTRODUCTION OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS
EVENING. AT THIS TIME...I HAVE ATTEMPTED TO DETAIL DOWN TO A 2 TO 3
HOUR PERIOD AS TO WHEN TO EXPECT STORMS TO HIT. ANY OF THESE STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS OVER 50 KTS...ONE INCH HAIL AND
WE CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW TORNADOES IN THE TAF REGION TONIGHT...ESP
KPAH TO KOWB REGIONS.

WE APOLOGIZE FOR THE DELAY WITH THIS PRODUCT.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

MEFFERT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 12:16 PM CST, 10 hours 41 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1216 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-231115-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1216 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER MOST
OF THE REGION.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A
VIGOROUS MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND BETWEEN AN ASSOCIATED
WARM AND COLD FRONT THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

RIGHT NOW, IT APPEARS THE MOST LIKELY TIMING OF SEVERE WEATHER WOULD
BE FROM AROUND 8 PM TO MIDNIGHT WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
FAR SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS...THEN EAST OF THE RIVER BETWEEN MIDNIGHT
AND 3AM.

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT AREA WIDE...BUT
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER THE EXTREME
SOUTHERN SECTIONS MAINLY AT THE ONSET OF THE EVENT. PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND WARNINGS FOR MORE
DETAILS ON THIS UPCOMING OVERNIGHT EVENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THIS EVENING
INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 22, 10:46 PM CST, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1046 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1029 PM     TSTM WND GST     REIDLAND                37.01N 88.53W
01/22/2012  M50 MPH          MCCRACKEN          KY   PUBLIC

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 22, 10:48 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1048 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     TSTM WND GST     SHARPE                  36.97N 88.46W
01/22/2012  M55 MPH          MARSHALL           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED WITH THE STORM.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 22, 10:50 PM CST, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1050 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     TSTM WND GST     CALVERT CITY            37.03N 88.35W
01/22/2012  M54 MPH          MARSHALL           KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LATE REPORT.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 22, 10:52 PM CST, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1052 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 PM     TSTM WND GST     METROPOLIS              37.15N 88.71W
01/22/2012  M60.00 MPH       MASSAC             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWN.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 22, 10:54 PM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1054 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1052 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BENTON                  36.85N 88.36W
01/22/2012  M1.01 INCH       MARSHALL           KY   MESONET

            MESONET REPORT...RAINFALL ACCUMULATION IN 30 MINUTES.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 22, 10:55 PM CST, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1055 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1052 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W POSEYVILLE          38.17N 87.84W
01/22/2012  M60 MPH          POSEY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 22, 8:54 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCracken	4 hr
Jan 22, 8:54 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Fulton	36 min
Jan 22, 9:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Hickman	30 min
Jan 22, 10:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCracken	44 min
Jan 22, 10:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Graves, Livingston, Lyon, McCracken, Marshall	48 min
Jan 22, 10:37 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Calloway, Graves, Marshall	23 min
Jan 22, 10:40 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Crittenden, Daviess, Henderson and 10 more	3 hr
Jan 22, 10:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Calloway	35 min
Jan 22, 11:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	34 min
Jan 22, 11:12 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway, Marshall	18 min
Jan 22, 11:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins and 5 more	45 min
Jan 23, 12:14 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian, Muhlenberg, Todd	33 min
Jan 23, 2:00 PM CST	River Flood Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	9 days

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.