Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 94

February 2, 2012Barber County, Comanche County, Kansas; 17 counties in Oklahoma; 22 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 2, 2012, 9:48 PM CST for Barber County, Comanche County, Kansas; 17 counties in Oklahoma; 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 117 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 2, 2012, 9:48 PM CST (03:48 UTC)
Expired
Feb 2, 2012, 11:45 PM CST
In force
117 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 41 counties

Barber County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Major County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 317 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
692 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
317 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
390 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

847 
ACUS11 KWNS 030349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030348
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-030545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0094
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0948 PM CST THU FEB 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...THE TX PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE S PLAINS INTO
ADJACENT WRN OK/SWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 23...

VALID 030348Z - 030545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 23
CONTINUES.

STORMS -- AND ISOLATED SEVERE POTENTIAL -- CONTINUE IN/NEAR WW 23.

STORMS HAVE SLOWLY INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH MORE RAPID DEVELOPMENT NOW ONGOING FROM
NEAR AMA SSWWD TO BAILEY CO TX...ON THE WRN FRINGE OF MODEST
INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE TX PANHANDLE EWD INTO WRN OK.  A
FEW STRONGER/SEVERE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED 1" HAIL OVER THE PAST HOUR
AND A HALF...AND EXPECT ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS TO EVOLVE WITH TIME
GIVEN MODEST CAPE BUT STRONG 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES.

A FEW STRONGER CELLS HAVE MOVED NEWD OUT OF THE WW INTO WOODS CO
OK/BARBER CO KS...WHERE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.
HOWEVER...WITH STORMS MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY LESS UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT INTO S CENTRAL KS...NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED NE OF THE
CURRENT WATCH.

..GOSS.. 02/03/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   33900254 34640206 35730171 37110013 37679839 36469809
            35029864 34149970 33900254

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 6:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Sherman4 hr
Feb 2, 11:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Harper, Kingman91 min
Feb 3, 2:00 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSumner60 min
Feb 3, 3:45 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne4 hr
Feb 2, 7:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer and 13 more67 min
Feb 2, 7:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 16 more7 hr
Feb 3, 2:25 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 16 more8 hr
Feb 3, 7:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 8 more90 min
Feb 3, 9:42 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Comanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 3 more63 min
Feb 3, 11:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson and 3 more91 min
Feb 3, 12:26 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin and 8 more8 hr
Feb 3, 3:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Garvin, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Marshall and 1 more88 min
Feb 3, 5:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes and 8 more2 hr
Feb 3, 6:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJasper, Newton, Sabine, Tyler115 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.