Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 25
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 3, 2012, 12:26 PM CST for 14 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 3, 2012, 12:26 PM CST (18:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 3, 2012, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Clay County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Denton County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Jack County, TX, Montague County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 1:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Young | 37 min |
| Feb 3, 1:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay | 59 min |
| Feb 3, 2:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Clay | 48 min |
| Feb 3, 2:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Montague | 81 min |
| Feb 3, 3:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Clay | 52 min |
| Feb 3, 3:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Jefferson, Stephens | 55 min |
| Feb 3, 3:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Young | 53 min |
| Feb 3, 4:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Montague | 63 min |
| Feb 3, 4:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Wise | 49 min |
| Feb 3, 4:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Love, Marshall | 65 min |
| Feb 3, 5:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Grayson | 63 min |
| Feb 3, 5:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Montague, Wise | 46 min |
| Feb 3, 6:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall | 43 min |
| Feb 3, 6:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Grayson | 61 min |
| Feb 3, 6:34 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Denton | 56 min |
| Feb 3, 7:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Fannin, Grayson | 78 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 717 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 493 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 183 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 283 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 3.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
539
WWUS20 KWNS 031828
SEL5
SPC WW 031828
OKZ000-TXZ000-040200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
WESTERN NORTH/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
MINERAL WELLS TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS INITIATED ALONG THE DRYLINE AND COLD
FRONT DRYLINE INTERSECTION FROM SWRN OK INTO WRN N TX. STORMS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE ENE INTO AN INSTABILITY
AXIS CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE TO 1200 J/KG AND 50-60 KTS OF 0-6KM
SHEAR. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO NE-SW ORIENTED BANDS AND
CLUSTERS WITH DMGG WINDS AND HAIL. ALTHOUGH THE O-2KM WIND FIELDS
WERE BEGINNING TO VEER OVER FAR SWRN OK...SUFFICIENT 0-1KM SHEAR WAS
NOTED ON THE TLX/PURCELL PROFILERS TO INCLUDE POSSIBILITY OF A
COUPLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH THE MORE DISCRETE STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...RACYSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 7:08 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer and 13 more | 67 min |
| Feb 2, 7:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 16 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 2, 9:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey and 11 more | 117 min |
| Feb 2, 11:44 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Custer and 14 more | 91 min |
| Feb 3, 2:00 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland and 24 more | 60 min |
| Feb 3, 2:25 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Feb 3, 7:15 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 8 more | 90 min |
| Feb 3, 9:42 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 3 more | 63 min |
| Feb 3, 11:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson and 3 more | 91 min |
| Feb 3, 3:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Garvin, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Marshall and 1 more | 88 min |
| Feb 3, 5:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 3, 6:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jasper, Newton, Sabine, Tyler | 115 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.