Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 25

February 3, 201214 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 3, 2012, 12:26 PM CST for 14 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2012, 12:26 PM CST (18:26 UTC)
Expired
Feb 3, 2012, 8:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Clay County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Denton County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Jack County, TX, Montague County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 1:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDYoung37 min
Feb 3, 1:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay59 min
Feb 3, 2:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay48 min
Feb 3, 2:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMontague81 min
Feb 3, 3:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay52 min
Feb 3, 3:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson, Stephens55 min
Feb 3, 3:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Young53 min
Feb 3, 4:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Montague63 min
Feb 3, 4:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDWise49 min
Feb 3, 4:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLove, Marshall65 min
Feb 3, 5:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Grayson63 min
Feb 3, 5:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Montague, Wise46 min
Feb 3, 6:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall43 min
Feb 3, 6:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDGrayson61 min
Feb 3, 6:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton56 min
Feb 3, 7:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFannin, Grayson78 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 717 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 183 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
717 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
493 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
283 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
3.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

539 
WWUS20 KWNS 031828
SEL5
SPC WW 031828
OKZ000-TXZ000-040200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
       WESTERN NORTH/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
MINERAL WELLS TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS INITIATED ALONG THE DRYLINE AND COLD
FRONT DRYLINE INTERSECTION FROM SWRN OK INTO WRN N TX.  STORMS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE ENE INTO AN INSTABILITY
AXIS CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE TO 1200 J/KG AND 50-60 KTS OF 0-6KM
SHEAR.  ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO NE-SW ORIENTED BANDS AND
CLUSTERS WITH DMGG WINDS AND HAIL.  ALTHOUGH THE O-2KM WIND FIELDS
WERE BEGINNING TO VEER OVER FAR SWRN OK...SUFFICIENT 0-1KM SHEAR WAS
NOTED ON THE TLX/PURCELL PROFILERS TO INCLUDE POSSIBILITY OF A
COUPLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH THE MORE DISCRETE STORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...RACY

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 7:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer and 13 more67 min
Feb 2, 7:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 16 more7 hr
Feb 2, 9:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey and 11 more117 min
Feb 2, 11:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Custer and 14 more91 min
Feb 3, 2:00 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland and 24 more60 min
Feb 3, 2:25 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 16 more8 hr
Feb 3, 7:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 8 more90 min
Feb 3, 9:42 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Comanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 3 more63 min
Feb 3, 11:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson and 3 more91 min
Feb 3, 3:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Garvin, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Marshall and 1 more88 min
Feb 3, 5:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes and 8 more2 hr
Feb 3, 6:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJasper, Newton, Sabine, Tyler115 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.