Severe Thunderstorm Warning 255, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 160641
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
141 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

KSC011-160651-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0255.000000T0000Z-090616T0730Z/
BOURBON KS-
141 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BOURBON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

LAT...LON 3806 9431 3806 9426 3804 9424 3806 9417
      3806 9413 3806 9410 3804 9406 3784 9408
      3787 9462 3806 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0641Z 271DEG 42KT 3798 9454

$$

MOC217-160730-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0255.000000T0000Z-090616T0730Z/
VERNON MO-
141 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN VERNON COUNTY...

AT 140 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR STOTESBURY...OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT
SCOTT...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WALKER BY 200 AM CDT.
  SCHELL CITY BY 210 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF METZ...HORTON AND HARWOOD ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN SPRINGFIELD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

LAT...LON 3806 9431 3806 9426 3804 9424 3806 9417
      3806 9413 3806 9410 3804 9406 3784 9408
      3787 9462 3806 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0641Z 271DEG 42KT 3798 9454

$$

CLAYCOMB

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 160705
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
205 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

MOC217-160713-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0255.000000T0000Z-090616T0730Z/
VERNON MO-
205 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN VERNON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER
SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3806 9431 3806 9426 3804 9424 3806 9417
      3806 9413 3806 9410 3804 9406 3784 9408
      3787 9462 3806 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0703Z 271DEG 42KT 3797 9422

$$

CLAYCOMB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1254 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 60 CORRIDOR. THE
CONCENTRATION OF WIND REPORTS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN IN CENTRAL
MISSOURI...FROM BENTON AND HICKORY COUNTIES TO THE EAST.
INHIBITION INCREASES QUITE A BIT AS YOU MOVE SOUTH OF THIS AREA.
WHILE DAMAGING WINDS CANNOT COMPLETELY BE RULED OUT...THOUGH THE
FURTHER SOUTH YOU GO...THE MORE LIKELY REPORTS OF WIND BECOME
SPORADIC OR NONEXISTENT. THE GREATEST WIND THREAT FOR THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO WILL BE ACROSS CAMDEN...MILLER AND MARIES. THE BOWING
SEGMENT IS IN LINE TO MOVE THROUGH THESE AREAS.

THIS LINE CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH AN AREA THAT HAS LITTLE
TOLERANCE FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. RAINFALL RATES HAVE GENERALLY
BEEN BETWEEN THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO TWO INCHES...USUALLY
WITHIN ABOUT AN HOUR/S TIME. IN ADDITION...CONVECTION CONTINUES TO
FIRE ALONG A LOW LEVEL THETA-E GRADIENT...ALMOST BISECTING CENTRAL
KS. AS THE LOW LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND IMPINGE ON THIS
BOUNDARY...AN EXPANSIVE OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED. THESE STORMS
WILL GENERALLY TRACK FROM WEST TO EAST...POSSIBLY A LITTLE SOUTH
OF EAST WITH TIME AS THE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS. AS A RESULT...THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA WILL BE IN LINE FOR OFF AND ON
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. TRAINING OF
CONVECTION WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES.

SEVERE WISE...ONCE THE BOWING SEGMENT EXITS STAGE EAST...ELEVATED
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK. GIVEN EVER
INCREASING LOW LEVEL INHIBITION...THE RISK FOR GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
MINIMAL IF NON EXISTENT PAST 2 AM.

GAGAN

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A WARM FRONT EXTENDED FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS TO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. INTENSE CONVECTION HAD DEVELOPED ALONG THE
FRONT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S AND DEW POINTS IN TH LOWER 70S WERE YIELDING SURFACE BASED
CAPES NEAR 4000 J/KG. DESPITE STRONG INSTABILITY CONVECTION HAS
BEEN SUPPRESSED TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THE FRONT WHERE 850-700
MB TEMPERATURES HAD WARMED.

THIS UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL SET THE STAGE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
CONVECTION TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS INTO THE EVENING AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH COMES OUT OF THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS.
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE INTO A COUPLE OF CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES THAT WILL PUSH EAST WITHIN THE MEAN WESTERLY FLOW. AMPLE
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 40 KTS AND INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE TO
SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LARGE BOWING SEGMENTS
WITH SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WINDS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO RISK CANNOT
BE RULED OUT WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN ROTATING
UPDRAFTS. THUNDERSTORMS WITH A CONTAINED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
MAY BE ONGOING TUESDAY MORNING AS A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX MAKES IT
WAY ACROSS THE REGION.

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT
IN THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. WHILE THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN IS UNCERTAIN...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD NORTH AS WE HEAD INTO MIDWEEK WITH THE
STRONGER BELT OF WESTERLIES RETREATING NORTH. THIS WILL BRING AT
LEAST A COUPLE OF DAYS OF DRY WEATHER. HOWEVER VERY WARM AND MUGGY
CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE.

MODELS DEPICT A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES COMING AROUND AND FLATTENING
THE RIDGE LATER IN THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND. THIS COULD BRING THE
CHANCE OF CONVECTION TO THE AREA THURSDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY.

FOSTER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION...WITH THE VAST MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY HAPPENING
NORTH OF THE AERODROMES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH 09Z...THOUGH THE IMPACT ON CIG/VIS WILL ONLY BE IN SHORT
INCREMENTS AND LIKELY IN THE MVFR CATEGORY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS
WILL OCCURRING DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS OF TUESDAY WITH VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

GAGAN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
102 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170615-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
102 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE
  QUARTERS AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 60 CORRIDOR...AND
  ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM GIRARD KANSAS...TO
  BOLIVAR...LEBANON AND SALEM IN MISSOURI FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN FOCUSED ON WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
  MISSOURI FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
  WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP VERY MOIST AIR INTO THE AREA...AND ABOVE A
  WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW STORMS WILL BE
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THE GREATEST RISK
  WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD
  TO AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
  TUESDAY MORNING...BUT THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
  SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 90S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON...WITH MOIST LOW LEVELS...HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE
  EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH
 2 AM.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
112 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 AM     TSTM WND GST     LEBANON                 37.68N 92.66W
06/16/2009  M50 MPH          LACLEDE            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

LDOOLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
118 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COLE CAMP               38.46N 93.20W
06/16/2009                   BENTON             MO   PUBLIC

            SEVERALTREES SNAPPED ABOUT 3 FEET OFF GROUND IN THE COLE
            CAMP AREA

&&

LDOOLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
120 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WHITAKERVILLE           38.21N 93.37W
06/16/2009                   BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 83 FLODDED

&&

LDOOLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
121 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     DENSE FOG        COLE CAMP               38.46N 93.20W
06/16/2009                   BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY B IN COLE CAMP FLOODED

&&

LDOOLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
122 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 WSW FRISTOE           38.07N 93.41W
06/16/2009                   BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY EE FLOODED

&&

LDOOLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
123 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COLE CAMP               38.46N 93.20W
06/16/2009                   BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY B IN COLE CAMP FLOODED

&&

LDOOLEY