Weather alerts in Clay County, Arkansas, 2015

155 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Clay County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts: 155
Warnings: 38
Watches: 31
Advisories: 39
Busiest month: March25 alerts
Busiest day: December 23, 20157 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Clay County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them.

Clay County, 2015

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
Tornado warnings	1	0	100%	0
Severe thunderstorm warnings	13	8	38%	2	100%	11 min
Flash flood warnings	6	3	50%	2	50%	91 min

Each office's whole area, 2015

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
NWS Memphis, TN: tornado warnings	33	10	70%	24	75%	21 min
NWS Memphis, TN: severe thunderstorm warnings	273	100	63%	268	67%	20 min
NWS Memphis, TN: flash flood warnings	124	29	77%	74	70%	83 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 2, 7:56 PM CST	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	20 hr
Jan 3, 7:54 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	3 hr
Jan 4, 2:28 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	52 hr
Jan 6, 9:10 PM CST	Wind Chill Advisory	MEG	36 hr
Jan 10, 2:01 PM CST	Freezing Rain Advisory	MEG	20 hr
Jan 11, 9:54 AM CST	Freezing Rain Advisory	MEG	8 hr
Jan 15, 7:03 AM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	MEG	5 hr
Feb 7, 10:23 AM CST	Wind Advisory	MEG	7 hr
Feb 13, 2:02 PM CST	Wind Advisory	MEG	13 hr
Feb 14, 3:28 AM CST	Wind Chill Advisory	MEG	5 hr
Feb 14, 3:28 AM CST	Winter Storm Watch	MEG	35 hr
Feb 14, 8:55 AM CST	Wind Chill Advisory	MEG	26 hr
Feb 15, 4:47 AM CST	Winter Storm Warning	MEG	39 hr
Feb 16, 2:57 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	6 hr
Feb 17, 3:25 PM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	MEG	18 hr
Feb 18, 3:46 AM CST	Wind Chill Advisory	MEG	32 hr
Feb 18, 3:36 PM CST	Winter Storm Watch	MEG	24 hr
Feb 19, 3:09 PM CST	Winter Storm Warning	MEG	45 hr
Feb 20, 3:00 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	5 hr
Feb 21, 2:59 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Feb 21, 12:31 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	MEG	3 hr
Feb 28, 9:35 AM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	MEG	2 hr
Feb 28, 3:31 PM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	MEG	17 hr
Mar 2, 3:46 AM CST	Winter Storm Watch	MEG	60 hr
Mar 3, 2:08 AM CST	Winter Storm Warning	MEG	57 hr
Mar 3, 4:02 AM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	8 hr
Mar 3, 8:55 PM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	6 hr
Mar 4, 2:53 AM CST	Wind Advisory	MEG	29 hr
Mar 4, 6:40 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	5 hr
Mar 4, 10:33 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	54 hr
Mar 4, 1:34 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	4 hr
Mar 5, 2:06 AM CST	Wind Chill Advisory	MEG	30 hr
Mar 9, 1:03 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	9 hr
Mar 10, 11:09 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	MEG	11 days
Mar 11, 3:16 PM CDT	Flood Watch	MEG	61 hr
Mar 14, 5:31 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	4 hr
Mar 25, 6:46 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	59 min
Mar 25, 7:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Mar 25, 9:23 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	97 min
Mar 26, 1:35 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	25 min
Mar 26, 10:13 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	MEG	57 hr
Mar 26, 2:25 PM CDT	Freeze Watch	MEG	24 hr
Mar 27, 2:20 PM CDT	Frost Advisory	MEG	17 hr
Mar 27, 2:20 PM CDT	Freeze Watch	MEG	25 hr
Mar 28, 2:59 PM CDT	Freeze Warning	MEG	18 hr
Mar 31, 2:25 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Mar 31, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Mar 31, 5:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	40 min
Mar 31, 8:50 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	85 min
Mar 31, 9:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	38 min
Apr 1, 5:14 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	91 min
Apr 2, 11:04 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	MEG	4 days
Apr 2, 11:50 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	85 min
Apr 3, 1:16 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	59 min
Apr 3, 1:35 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr
Apr 3, 5:43 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Apr 9, 3:40 AM CDT	Wind Advisory	MEG	15 hr
Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	64 min
Apr 9, 6:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr
Apr 9, 6:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	23 min
Apr 16, 5:09 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	4 hr
Apr 19, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	40 min
Apr 19, 7:47 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MEG	18 min
Apr 19, 7:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	41 min
Apr 19, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	43 min
Apr 19, 10:16 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	59 min
Apr 25, 8:57 AM CDT	Wind Advisory	MEG	10 hr
May 10, 4:33 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	31 hr
May 10, 5:05 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	115 min
May 11, 2:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	52 min
May 11, 3:51 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	3 hr
May 17, 3:47 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	31 hr
May 17, 8:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	40 min
May 24, 3:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	36 hr
May 24, 4:14 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr
May 24, 6:04 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	116 min
May 24, 6:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	50 min
May 24, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	50 min
May 25, 8:52 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	83 min
May 25, 10:03 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	4 hr
May 25, 11:48 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	87 min
Jun 5, 3:18 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	87 min
Jun 8, 12:08 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	97 min
Jun 8, 12:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr
Jun 18, 2:19 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	37 hr
Jun 19, 4:22 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	53 min
Jun 22, 7:08 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	MEG	24 hr
Jun 23, 7:24 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	MEG	24 hr
Jun 24, 2:53 PM CDT	Heat Advisory	MEG	28 hr
Jun 26, 11:50 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	115 min
Jun 26, 12:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Jun 26, 3:16 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	89 min
Jun 26, 3:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	38 min
Jun 26, 7:13 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	62 min
Jul 2, 5:50 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	115 min
Jul 2, 6:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	39 min
Jul 3, 8:31 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	34 hr
Jul 7, 3:53 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	14 hr
Jul 7, 5:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	3 hr
Jul 8, 7:00 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Jul 8, 8:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	57 min
Jul 8, 8:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	43 min
Jul 8, 9:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	68 min
Jul 12, 3:09 AM CDT	Heat Advisory	MEG	9 days
Jul 14, 11:46 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	119 min
Jul 14, 12:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr
Jul 14, 2:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	43 min
Jul 14, 2:41 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	94 min
Jul 20, 6:23 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	97 min
Jul 20, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr
Jul 20, 8:28 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	92 min
Jul 20, 8:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	23 min
Jul 20, 9:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	49 min
Jul 20, 10:11 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	64 min
Jul 22, 1:53 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	38 hr
Jul 24, 4:03 AM CDT	Heat Advisory	MEG	6 days
Jul 28, 2:07 PM CDT	Excessive Heat Warning	MEG	30 hr
Aug 5, 1:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr
Aug 8, 3:31 AM CDT	Heat Advisory	MEG	48 hr
Aug 10, 2:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MEG	49 min
Aug 10, 7:03 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	3 hr
Oct 15, 1:43 PM CDT	Fire Weather Watch	MEG	61 hr
Oct 17, 3:07 AM CDT	Frost Advisory	MEG	29 hr
Nov 1, 1:07 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	9 hr
Nov 13, 3:20 AM CST	Frost Advisory	MEG	30 hr
Nov 13, 3:20 AM CST	Freeze Warning	MEG	30 hr
Nov 16, 3:23 AM CST	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	52 hr
Nov 16, 2:10 PM CST	Wind Advisory	MEG	37 hr
Nov 17, 9:59 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Nov 17, 3:19 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	116 min
Nov 17, 7:34 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	3 hr
Nov 17, 10:24 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	MEG	6 hr
Nov 18, 12:48 PM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	58 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 PM CST	Frost Advisory	MEG	16 hr
Nov 20, 2:07 PM CST	Freeze Watch	MEG	12 hr
Nov 20, 2:07 PM CST	Wind Advisory	MEG	12 hr
Nov 21, 2:18 AM CST	Freeze Warning	MEG	31 hr
Nov 21, 2:18 AM CST	Freeze Warning	MEG	55 hr
Nov 25, 2:52 PM CST	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	3 days
Nov 28, 11:23 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	3 days
Dec 11, 6:03 AM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	5 hr
Dec 12, 2:34 PM CST	Wind Advisory	MEG	33 hr
Dec 22, 5:19 PM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	5 hr
Dec 23, 6:13 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	2 hr
Dec 23, 9:05 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	85 min
Dec 23, 9:13 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr
Dec 23, 9:41 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	49 min
Dec 23, 10:29 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	91 min
Dec 23, 10:46 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	29 min
Dec 23, 12:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	46 min
Dec 25, 2:32 AM CST	Flash Flood Watch	MEG	3 days
Dec 25, 9:36 AM CST	River Flood Warning	MEG	23 days
Dec 25, 9:35 PM CST	Dense Fog Advisory	MEG	7 hr
Dec 27, 8:19 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	MEG	7 hr
Dec 27, 12:54 PM CST	Wind Advisory	MEG	29 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

Product	Alerts
Severe storms
Severe Thunderstorm Warning	13
Tornado Warning	1
Severe Thunderstorm Watch	8
Tornado Watch	4
Mesoscale Discussion	38
Special Weather Statement	9
Flooding
Areal Flood Warning	2
Flash Flood Warning	6
River Flood Warning	8
Flash Flood Watch	11
Flood Watch	1
Winter
Winter Storm Warning	3
Winter Storm Watch	3
Freezing Rain Advisory	2
Winter Weather Advisory	4
Heat
Excessive Heat Warning	1
Heat Advisory	6
Cold
Freeze Warning	4
Freeze Watch	3
Frost Advisory	4
Wind Chill Advisory	5
Wind and dust
Wind Advisory	9
Fire
Fire Weather Watch	1
Fog and smoke
Dense Fog Advisory	9

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force now Tornadoes on record Forecast The radar archive 2014 2016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.