Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1285

July 2, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 2, 2015, 5:50 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2015, 5:50 PM CDT (22:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2015, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 96 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Greene County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Logan County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marion County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McMinn County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Moore County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Obion County, TN, Overton County, TN, Perry County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -135 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
887 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 11:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi2 hr
Jul 2, 2:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 18 more2 hr
Jul 2, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more6 hr
Jul 2, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Marion and 4 more56 min
Jul 2, 6:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington89 min
Jul 1, 7:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cass, Cedar and 13 more83 min
Jul 1, 8:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Callaway, Cape Girardeau, Cole, Crawford, Dent and 21 more119 min
Jul 1, 11:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Dent and 9 more54 min
Jul 2, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 21 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.