Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1278

July 2, 20155 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 2, 2015, 11:59 AM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2015, 11:59 AM CDT (16:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2015, 2:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 83 counties

Mississippi County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -135 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
887 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 2:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 18 more2 hr
Jul 2, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more6 hr
Jul 2, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi115 min
Jul 2, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Marion and 4 more56 min
Jul 2, 6:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington89 min
Jul 1, 8:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 18 more119 min
Jul 1, 7:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cass, Cedar and 13 more83 min
Jul 1, 11:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Dent and 9 more54 min
Jul 2, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 21 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.