Alert archive / Mississippi / Wind Advisories in 2015
Wind Advisory 6, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this wind advisory at Nov 16, 2015, 2:10 PM CST for 4 states. It took effect at Nov 17, 2015, 6:33 AM CST. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2015, 2:10 PM CST (20:10 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 17, 2015, 6:33 AM CST
- Expired
- Nov 18, 2015, 3:37 AM CST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
All 57 counties
Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1595 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 200 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 296 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
897 WWUS74 KMEG 162010 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 210 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015 ...VERY STRONG WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL IMPACT MUCH OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AND WEST TENNESSEE DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY... .WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE ONCE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001- 002-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>003-019-020-048>051-088-089-170415- /O.NEW.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.151117T1500Z-151118T0000Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE- LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER-GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT- SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING... WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE... WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA... WEST HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN... OLIVE BRANCH...HOLLY SPRINGS...TUNICA...SENATOBIA...CLARKSDALE... MARKS...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON...TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN... COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 210 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ TVT
8 follow-up statements
230 WWUS74 KMEG 170145 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 745 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015 ...VERY STRONG WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL IMPACT MUCH OF EAST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...AND WEST TENNESSEE DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY... .WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 20- 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE ONCE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001- 002-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>003-019-020-048>051-088-089-171030- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.151117T1500Z-151118T0000Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE- LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER-GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT- SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING... WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE... WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA... WEST HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN... OLIVE BRANCH...HOLLY SPRINGS...TUNICA...SENATOBIA...CLARKSDALE... MARKS...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON...TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN... COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 745 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ KRM
709 WWUS74 KMEG 171012 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 412 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...STRONG WINDS WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE THIS MORNING AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT APPROACHES THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE ONCE A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MSZ003>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ004-021-022-052>055-090>092- 172100- /O.EXB.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.151118T0000Z-151118T1200Z/ BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION- PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-HENRY- CARROLL-BENTON TN-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...RIPLEY MS...CORINTH...IUKA... BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...FULTON... WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...HOUSTON... OKOLONA...AMORY...ABERDEEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON...CAMDEN... JACKSON...HENDERSON...LEXINGTON...PARSONS...DECATURVILLE... BOLIVAR...SELMER...SAVANNAH 412 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001- 002-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>003-019-020-048>051-088-089-172100- /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.151117T1500Z-151118T0600Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE- LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER-GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT- SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING... WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE... WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA... WEST HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN... OLIVE BRANCH...HOLLY SPRINGS...TUNICA...SENATOBIA...CLARKSDALE... MARKS...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON...TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN... COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 412 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...9 AM CST THIS MORNING THROUGH MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
515 WWUS74 KMEG 171233 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 633 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...STRONG WINDS WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS MORNING AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT APPROACHES THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE ONCE A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001- 002-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>003-019-020-048>051-088-089-172100- /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.151117T1233Z-151118T0600Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE- LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER-GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT- SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING... WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE... WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA... WEST HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN... OLIVE BRANCH...HOLLY SPRINGS...TUNICA...SENATOBIA...CLARKSDALE... MARKS...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON...TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN... COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 633 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ MSZ003>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ004-021-022-052>055-090>092- 172100- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.151118T0000Z-151118T1200Z/ BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION- PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-HENRY- CARROLL-BENTON TN-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...RIPLEY MS...CORINTH...IUKA... BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...FULTON... WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...HOUSTON... OKOLONA...AMORY...ABERDEEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON...CAMDEN... JACKSON...HENDERSON...LEXINGTON...PARSONS...DECATURVILLE... BOLIVAR...SELMER...SAVANNAH 633 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
350 WWUS74 KMEG 171955 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 155 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT APPROACHES THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MSZ003>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ004-021-022-052>055-090>092- 181200- /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.151117T1955Z-151118T1200Z/ BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION- PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-HENRY- CARROLL-BENTON TN-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...RIPLEY MS...CORINTH...IUKA... BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...FULTON... WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...HOUSTON... OKOLONA...AMORY...ABERDEEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON...CAMDEN... JACKSON...HENDERSON...LEXINGTON...PARSONS...DECATURVILLE... BOLIVAR...SELMER...SAVANNAH 155 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001- 002-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>003-019-020-048>051-088-089-180600- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T0600Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE- LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER-GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT- SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING... WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE... WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA... WEST HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN... OLIVE BRANCH...HOLLY SPRINGS...TUNICA...SENATOBIA...CLARKSDALE... MARKS...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON...TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN... COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 155 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
666 WWUS74 KMEG 180202 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 802 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT APPROACHES THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS RAIN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ARZ008-009-017-018-026-027-035-048-049-058-MOZ113-180315- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T0600Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-CROSS- ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING... WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...WYNNE... FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA...WEST HELENA...KENNETT 802 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DECREASED AS WIDESPREAD RAIN HAS SPREAD INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS AND PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. AS A RESULT...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. $$ ARZ028-036-MOZ115-MSZ001-002-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>003-019- 020-048>051-088-089-180600- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T0600Z/ MISSISSIPPI-CRITTENDEN-PEMISCOT-DESOTO-MARSHALL-TUNICA-TATE- COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER- GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLYTHEVILLE...WEST MEMPHIS... CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...HOLLY SPRINGS... TUNICA...SENATOBIA...CLARKSDALE...MARKS...BATESVILLE... CHARLESTON...TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN... DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN...COVINGTON... BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE... MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 802 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ MSZ003>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ004-021-022-052>055-090>092- 181015- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/ BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION- PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-HENRY- CARROLL-BENTON TN-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...RIPLEY MS...CORINTH...IUKA... BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...FULTON... WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...HOUSTON... OKOLONA...AMORY...ABERDEEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON...CAMDEN... JACKSON...HENDERSON...LEXINGTON...PARSONS...DECATURVILLE... BOLIVAR...SELMER...SAVANNAH 802 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ KRM
321 WWUS74 KMEG 180357 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 957 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT APPROACHES THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS RAIN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ARZ028-036-MOZ115-MSZ007-010-011-180500- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T0600Z/ MISSISSIPPI-CRITTENDEN-PEMISCOT-TUNICA-COAHOMA-QUITMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLYTHEVILLE...WEST MEMPHIS... CARUTHERSVILLE...TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...MARKS 957 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DECREASED AS WIDESPREAD RAIN HAS SPREAD INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS AND PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. AS A RESULT...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. $$ MSZ001-002-008-012-020-TNZ001>003-019-020-048>051-088-089-180600- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T0600Z/ DESOTO-MARSHALL-TATE-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER- GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... HOLLY SPRINGS...SENATOBIA...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON... TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG... HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN...COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 957 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ MSZ003>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ004-021-022-052>055-090>092- 181200- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/ BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION- PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-HENRY- CARROLL-BENTON TN-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...RIPLEY MS...CORINTH...IUKA... BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...FULTON... WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...HOUSTON... OKOLONA...AMORY...ABERDEEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON...CAMDEN... JACKSON...HENDERSON...LEXINGTON...PARSONS...DECATURVILLE... BOLIVAR...SELMER...SAVANNAH 957 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ KRM
354 WWUS74 KMEG 180522 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1122 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. .SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT APPROACHES THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS RAIN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MSZ001-002-008-012-020-TNZ001>003-019-020-048>051-088-089-180630- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T0600Z/ DESOTO-MARSHALL-TATE-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-DYER- GIBSON-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-SHELBY-FAYETTE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... HOLLY SPRINGS...SENATOBIA...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON... TIPTONVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...DYERSBURG... HUMBOLDT...MILAN...RIPLEY TN...COVINGTON...BROWNSVILLE...ALAMO... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...OAKLAND 1122 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DECREASED AS WIDESPREAD RAIN HAS SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. AS A RESULT...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. $$ MSZ003>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ004-021-022-052>055-090>092- 181200- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/ BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION- PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-HENRY- CARROLL-BENTON TN-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...RIPLEY MS...CORINTH...IUKA... BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...FULTON... WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...HOUSTON... OKOLONA...AMORY...ABERDEEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON...CAMDEN... JACKSON...HENDERSON...LEXINGTON...PARSONS...DECATURVILLE... BOLIVAR...SELMER...SAVANNAH 1122 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY... * WINDS...SUSTAINED 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * TIMING...THROUGH 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...OUTDOOR OBJECTS MAY BLOW AROUND IF NOT TIED DOWN. SMALL LIMBS AND BRANCHES MAY ALSO BREAK IN THESE WIND SPEEDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ KRM
968 WWUS74 KMEG 180937 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 337 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015 MSZ003>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ004-021-022-052>055-090>092- 181045- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/ BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-UNION- PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-YALOBUSHA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-HENRY- CARROLL-BENTON TN-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-HARDEMAN- MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...RIPLEY MS...CORINTH...IUKA... BOONEVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...PONTOTOC...TUPELO...FULTON... WATER VALLEY...COFFEEVILLE...BRUCE...CALHOUN CITY...HOUSTON... OKOLONA...AMORY...ABERDEEN...PARIS...HUNTINGDON...CAMDEN... JACKSON...HENDERSON...LEXINGTON...PARSONS...DECATURVILLE... BOLIVAR...SELMER...SAVANNAH 337 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. THUS...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 16, 11:42 AM CST, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 11:42 AM CST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1142 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015
.UPDATE...
UPDATED FOR THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1126 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015/
UPDATE...
MAIN FOCUS IN THE MORNING UPDATE WAS TO GO AHEAD AND EXPAND THE
CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THE REST OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA...INCLUDING
ALL OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE GIVEN THE PROXIMITY
TEMPORALLY TO THE EVENT. RAIN SHOWERS HAVE OVERSPREAD MUCH OF
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...BUT THE GREATEST
IMPACTS FROM THIS EVENT ARE STILL FORECAST TO OCCUR TUESDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY ON TRACK AS OF
LATE MORNING.
TVT
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015/
DISCUSSION...
A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP LATER TODAY IN THE LEE
OF THE ROCKIES AND ALSO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST...BECOMING OCCLUDED
OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS IT DEEPENS TO A SUB 990 LOW BY
MID WEEK.
ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM. A LEAD SHORTWAVE EJECTING OUT AHEAD OF
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS HAS SUPPORTED THE
DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
MID SOUTH THIS MORNING. THIS RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
AS THE SHORTWAVE LIFTS FURTHER TO THE NORTHEAST. ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING WITH A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SECONDARY WAVE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED OVER EASTERN ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...FAR
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND FAR WEST TENNESSEE BEGINNING TONIGHT
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL. DRIER CONDITIONS
SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING OVER SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE MID SOUTH.
THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE MID SOUTH
LATER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHLY ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES APPROACHING 2 INCHES...WHICH IS GREATER THAN THE 99TH
PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WILL ADVECT INTO THE REGION.
THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR FLOODING RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION...ESPECIALLY WHERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE HIGH RAINFALL
RATES. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXPANDED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST REGION FOR THIS TIME PERIOD.
ANYWHERE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED AREAWIDE...WITH
THE GREATEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER WHERE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE MOST PROLONGED.
AS FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MODELS REMAIN IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE QUALITY
UNSTABLE SURFACE WARM SECTOR SHOULD GET PINCHED OFF TO OUR SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST AS THE SYSTEM OCCLUDES WHILE MOVING INTO THE MID
SOUTH. THIS SHOULD SUPPRESS THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING CONVECTIVE
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES TO OUR SOUTH. THIS WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO TO ENSURE THE WARM
SECTOR REMAINS SOUTH. AT THIS TIME THOUGH...IT APPEARS THAT THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS LOW.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE AREA
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE LATEST MOS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED WINDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT IN
EXCESS OF 20 KTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE STRONG WINDS COMBINED
WITH INCREASINGLY WET SOIL CONDITIONS MAY BE ENOUGH TO DOWN A FEW
TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES. A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION FOR PORTIONS OF TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
THE STORM SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA LATER WEDNESDAY WITH
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS COMING TO AN END. PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE
SHOULD BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A
RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH SOUTH INTO THE REGION BY
NEXT WEEKEND. LIMITED MOISTURE SHOULD PREVENT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
BE POSSIBLE BY THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND.
JLH
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
CURRENT IFR CEILINGS OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. VFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
BEFORE CEILINGS LOWER TO IFR LEVELS OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE THROUGH MAINLY
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24
HOURS ALTHOUGH VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN AT VFR LEVELS FOR MUCH
OF THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE SOUTH AT 5 TO 10
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT. SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. ON TUESDAY...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ARS
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-
MISSISSIPPI-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR DESOTO-TUNICA.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-
PRENTISS-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
YALOBUSHA.
TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR DYER-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR BENTON TN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
MADISON-MCNAIRY-WEAKLEY.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 4:14 AM CST, 9 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 414 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-171215- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 414 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR EAST AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...FAR NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND FAR WEST TENNESSEE. HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT IN THE WATCH AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED OVER THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH. IN ADDITION OT THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT...A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...AND LAW ENFORCEMENT ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS. JLH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 3:23 AM CST | Flash Flood Watch | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 15 more | 52 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Mississippi, 2015Wind Advisories in Tennessee, 2015Wind Advisories in Arkansas, 2015Every wind advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.