Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2015
EF1 tornado, Afton to Wyandotte, Oklahoma, May 16, 2015
From Afton to Wyandotte, this EF1 tornado ran 11.5 miles across Ottawa County on May 16, 2015, touching down at 12:38 AM CDT and reaching 650 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 1, and did $125,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- May 16, 2015
- Touchdown
- 12:38 AM CDT (05:38 UTC)
- Lifted
- 12:50 AM CDT (05:50 UTC)
- On the ground
- 12 minutes
- Path length
- 11.5 miles (18.5 km)
- Path width
- 650 yards (594 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 1
- Property damage
- $125,000
- County
- Ottawa County
- Touchdown point
- 36.681, -94.829
- Lift-off point
- 36.787, -94.686
- Record number
- 1505162338-01
The damage survey
90 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS SGF and NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.
- Roof section from large outbuilding torn off and limbs downed. single power pole snapped.
- Small outbuilding also destroyed.
- multiple uprooted and snapped
- Apparent beginning point of Seneca MO Tornado
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong upper level disturbance translated from the Southern Rockies into the Southern Plains on the 16th. Very moist and unstable air was in place across the Southern Plains as this system approached. Severe thunderstorms developed over western Oklahoma and northwestern Texas during the afternoon and moved eastward into eastern Oklahoma in the late evening. By the time the storms reached eastern Oklahoma, a well-organized squall line had evolved but due to very strong low level wind shear, multiple tornadoes occurred across the area along with widespread damaging wind. Locally heavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding in some areas through the early morning hours of the 17th.
This is the second segment of a two segment tornado. In Ottawa County, this tornado uprooted trees. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 90 to 100 mph.
This tornado developed just south of the E 230 Road and moved north-northeast destroying a mobile home, destroying several outbuildings, and snapping or uprooting trees. As the tornado approached the E 190 Road near the S 600 Road, it turned more to the northeast. Numerous trees were snapped or uprooted, a home was damaged, and outbuildings were damaged between the E 190 Road and Grand Lake. After moving over Grand Lake, the tornado damaged chicken houses and snapped or uprooted trees before dissipating east of Highway 10 near the E 160 Road. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.
This is the first segment of a two segment tornado. In Ottawa County, this tornado snapped large tree limbs as it crossed the E 175 Road and uprooted trees near the state line, north of the S 700 Road. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 90 to 100 mph. This tornado continued into Newton County, MO.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
22 minutes of warning. NWS TSA issued a tornado warning for this county at 05:16 UTC, 22 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 05:45 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 01:42 UTC and running to 07:05 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | 08:41 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | TSA |
| 01:42 UTC | 07:05 UTC | Tornado Watch | TSA |
| 04:55 UTC | 06:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 05:05 UTC | 06:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 05:16 UTC | 05:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | TSA |
| 05:19 UTC | 07:15 UTC | Flood Advisory | TSA |
| 05:34 UTC | 06:05 UTC | Tornado Warning | TSA |
| 22:00 UTC | 19:10 UTC | Flood Warning | TSA |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:22 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z
5.6 hours before the tornado, 87 km from the path. May 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1727 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 3458 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1056 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 127 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 218 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.4
- Supercell composite
- 11.8
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 7.1 K/km
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z
6.4 hours after it, 87 km from the path. May 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -69893 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 915 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -54 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 220 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.9 K/km
The surface observations
Grove Municipal Airport (GMJ), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:55 UTC | 77 | 68 | 140° 12 kt | 17 | 1008.5 | |
| 04:15 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 13 kt | 19 | 1008.5 | VCTS |
| 04:35 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 17 kt | 21 | 1008.5 | |
| 04:55 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 16 kt | 22 | 1008.5 | VCTS |
| 05:15 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 16 kt | 22 | 1008.8 | VCTS |
| 05:35 UTC | 77 | 68 | 160° 14 kt | 23 | 1008.8 | VCTS |
| 05:55 UTC | 64.4 | 64.4 | 190° 24 kt | 32 | 1012.9 | +TSRA |
| 06:15 UTC | 64.4 | 64.4 | 180° 8 kt | 1011.2 | TSRA | |
| 06:35 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 170° 9 kt | 1010.5 | TSRA | |
| 06:55 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 160° 12 kt | 16 | 1011.9 | -TSRA |
| 07:15 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 150° 6 kt | 1010.8 | VCTSRA | |
| 07:35 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 150° 7 kt | 1010.5 | VCTSRA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:12 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 3 Nne Adair | Mayes, OK | A TORNADO DAMAGED A HOME...DESTROYED BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES. |
| 05:24 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Ne Ketchum | Craig, OK | ONE DOUBLE WIDE TRAILER HOME DESTROYED. 4490 ROAD BETWEEN COUNTY ROADS 300 AND 310. |
| 05:24 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 2 Nne Ketchum | Craig, OK | A TORNADO DESTROYED A MOBILE HOME...DESTROYED SEVERAL BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS...AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED MANY TREES. |
| 05:32 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 2 Wnw Bernice | Delaware, OK | A TORNADO SNAPPED AND UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES |
| 05:36 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 3 N Vinita | Craig, OK | |
| 05:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Sse Fairland | Ottawa, OK | POWER LINES DOWN AND HOMES DAMAGED NEAR 590 AND 220 ROAD FROM PROBABLE TORNADO. |
| 05:40 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 3 Sse Fairland | Ottawa, OK | A TORNADO DESTROYED A MOBILE HOME...DESTROYED A WORKSHOP...AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES. |
| 05:51 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 5 Ese Wyandotte | Ottawa, OK | A TORNADO SNAPPED TREE LIMBS ALONG THE E 175 ROAD AND UPROOTED TREES AT THE STATE LINE AS IT MOVED INTO MISSOURI. |
| 05:52 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | 1 Wsw Jay | Delaware, OK |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015
47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16 | 1:12 PM CDT | EF0 | Briscoe, TX | 0.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 1:13 PM MDT | EF0 | Park, WY | 1.4 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 2:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 8.6 | 150 | |||
| May 16 | 2:40 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 22.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 3:14 PM CDT | EF0 | Wheeler, TX | 5.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 4:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Chippewa, MN | 1.8 | 50 | $250,000 | ||
| May 16 | 4:49 PM CDT | EF1 | Roger Mills, OK | 3.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 5:05 PM CDT | EF1 | Dewey, OK | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 2.7 | 100 | $5,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:23 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 2.7 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:26 PM CDT | EF3 | Hardeman, TX to OK | 40.4 | 1,600 | |||
| May 16 | 5:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Swift, MN | 3.1 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:36 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 5:37 PM CDT | EF1 | Lyon, KS | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF0 | Beckham, OK | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 5:51 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.8 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:57 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Tillman, OK | 0.2 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 6:22 PM CDT | EF1 | Major, OK | 16.0 | 400 | |||
| May 16 | 6:24 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:38 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 1.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 7:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:14 PM CDT | EF1 | Comanche, OK | 7.1 | 400 | |||
| May 16 | 7:15 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 5.0 | 200 | |||
| May 16 | 7:22 PM CDT | EF0 | Archer, TX | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 7:41 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Meeker, MN | 5.0 | 50 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 7:55 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:56 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.8 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:58 PM CDT | EF0 | Comanche, OK | 6.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:09 PM CDT | EF0 | Douglas, MN | 0.2 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 8:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Stearns, MN | 1.4 | 25 | $100,000 | ||
| May 16 | 9:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Ray, MO | 0.9 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 10:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Okfuskee, OK | 1.4 | 110 | |||
| May 16 | 11:15 PM CDT | EF2 | Jackson, MO | 10.0 | 250 | |||
| May 16 | 11:26 PM CDT | EF2 | Wagoner, OK | 16.0 | 1,000 | $2.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:43 PM CDT | EF2 | Rogers, OK | 9.8 | 1,500 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Caldwell, MO | 2.8 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 11:52 PM CDT | EF1 | Rogers, OK | 3.3 | 300 | $30,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:00 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 2.3 | 450 | $10,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:05 AM CDT | EF1 | Bates, MO | 0.9 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 12:10 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 4.5 | 600 | $75,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:24 AM CDT | EF1 | Delaware, OK | 4.6 | 550 | $100,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:30 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK | 6.7 | 1,100 | $20,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:48 AM CDT | EF0 | Henry, MO | 6.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 12:51 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK to MO | 12.2 | 200 | $200,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.