Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2015
EF0 tornado, Lawson, Missouri, May 16, 2015
This EF0 tornado ran 0.9 miles across Ray County on May 16, 2015, touching down at 9:35 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- May 16, 2015
- Touchdown
- 9:35 PM CDT (02:35 UTC)
- Lifted
- 9:37 PM CDT (02:37 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 0.9 miles (1.4 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Ray County
- Touchdown point
- 39.430, -94.210
- Lift-off point
- 39.440, -94.200
- Record number
- 1505162035-01
The damage survey
14 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS EAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 127 mph.
- power poles snapped about 1/4 mile south
- tornado paralleled this road. you can see several power poles leaning east. power pole directly south of this location snapped.
- eastern edge of tornado damage path
- metal barn has also lost roof material.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A quasi-linear convective system moved through east central Kansas and west central Missouri producing multiple QLCS tornadoes and significant damage associated with numerous mesovortices. Interestingly, there was a supercell ahead of the line that also produced a tornado. Also, this line of storms produced extreme rain rates and widespread flash flooding was reported throughout the Kansas City area.
Ahead of the advancing QLCS that was responsible for widespread wind damage a supercell formed, which caused a very brief and weak tornado that did some minor damage to residences and trees in Lawson.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 22:57 UTC and running to 03:27 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22:57 UTC | 03:27 UTC | Tornado Watch | EAX |
| 01:59 UTC | 02:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX |
| 02:59 UTC | 09:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | EAX |
| 03:27 UTC | 06:48 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | EAX |
| 04:06 UTC | 04:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX |
| 04:24 UTC | 05:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | EAX |
| 05:39 UTC | 06:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX |
| 05:56 UTC | 16:10 UTC | Flood Warning | EAX |
| 08:59 UTC | 12:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | EAX |
| 10:57 UTC | 08:45 UTC | Flood Warning | EAX |
| 11:19 UTC | 07:09 UTC | Flood Warning | EAX |
| 13:20 UTC | 03:46 UTC | Flood Warning | EAX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:22 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Topeka, KS (KFOE), 00:00Z
2.6 hours before the tornado, 133 km from the path. May 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 158 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -114 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 154 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 843 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 202 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 260 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.7 K/km
Topeka, KS (KFOE), 12:00Z
9.4 hours after it, 133 km from the path. May 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 96 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -48 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 252 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 577 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 81 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 219 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 313 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.1 K/km
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:08 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Liberty | Clay, MO | WATER REPORTED UP TO OFFICERS PATROL CAR AT LIBERTY DRIVE AND 291 |
| 02:08 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Kearney | Clay, MO | |
| 02:37 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Ne Holt | Clinton, MO | FIRE DEPARTMENT IN CLINTON COUNTY REPORTED APPROXIMATELY 3 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 33 NORTH OF STATE HIGHWAY PP. THE ROAD CURRENTLY REMAINS PASSIBLE. |
| 02:37 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 1.58 | Cameron | Clinton, MO | MEASURED WITHIN 48 MINUTES |
| 02:42 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Lawson | Ray, MO | FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED POWER POLES DOWN AND POSSIBLE BUILDING COLLAPSE. |
| 02:42 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Lawson | Ray, MO | TREES AND LIMBS DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR AT 942 PM |
| 03:09 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 1.58 | Cameron | Clinton, MO | MEASURED WITHIN 48 MINUTES |
| 03:13 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 2 | Liberty | Clay, MO | ESTIMATED TO BE OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN IN LIBERTY |
| 04:24 UTC | TORNADO | Sibley | Jackson, MO | POSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED WITH MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. DEPUTIES ENROUTE |
| 04:55 UTC | TORNADO | S Polo | Caldwell, MO | REPORT OF 15 TO 20 INCH DIAMETER TREES BROKEN OFF AT THE BASE IN THE HIDEAWAY LAKES SUB-DIVISION, LOCATED ON THE EAST SIDE OF HIGHWAY 13. NO TORNADO CONFIRMED, JUST POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME. |
| 04:56 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | 3 Ne Fairway | Jackson, MO | PICTURE VIA TWITTER OF FLASH FLOOD WATER OVER THE WHEELS OF CARS AT THE INTERSECTION OF WESTPORT AND PENNSYLVANIA ROADS IN KANSAS CITY |
| 05:21 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Osborn | Dekalb, MO | EM RELAYED REPORT OF WATER OVER ROADS IN SEVERAL PLACES WITH DEPTHS RANGING FROM APPROXIMATELY 2 TO 6 INCHES |
| 05:22 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | 5 Ne Claycomo | Clay, MO | SPOTTER REPORTS FLOWING WATER COMING UP HALFWAY ON DOORS OF CARS IN THE WILLIAM JEWELL COLLEGE AREA OF LIBERTY |
| 05:22 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Kansas City | Jackson, MO | ROADS UNDRIVEABLE AT 103RD ST. AND WORNALL RD. IN KANSAS CITY, MO. |
| 05:31 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Wellington | Lafayette, MO | DELAYED REPORT. LARGE TREES DAMAGED AND BARN DESTROYED. |
| 05:34 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | 1 S Hamilton | Caldwell, MO | ESTIMATED 70 MPH WINDS WITH 6-8 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES CRACKING OFF OF TREES |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015
47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16 | 1:12 PM CDT | EF0 | Briscoe, TX | 0.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 1:13 PM MDT | EF0 | Park, WY | 1.4 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 2:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 8.6 | 150 | |||
| May 16 | 2:40 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 22.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 3:14 PM CDT | EF0 | Wheeler, TX | 5.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 4:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Chippewa, MN | 1.8 | 50 | $250,000 | ||
| May 16 | 4:49 PM CDT | EF1 | Roger Mills, OK | 3.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 5:05 PM CDT | EF1 | Dewey, OK | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 2.7 | 100 | $5,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:23 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 2.7 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:26 PM CDT | EF3 | Hardeman, TX to OK | 40.4 | 1,600 | |||
| May 16 | 5:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Swift, MN | 3.1 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:36 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 5:37 PM CDT | EF1 | Lyon, KS | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF0 | Beckham, OK | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 5:51 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.8 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:57 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Tillman, OK | 0.2 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 6:22 PM CDT | EF1 | Major, OK | 16.0 | 400 | |||
| May 16 | 6:24 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:38 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 1.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 7:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:14 PM CDT | EF1 | Comanche, OK | 7.1 | 400 | |||
| May 16 | 7:15 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 5.0 | 200 | |||
| May 16 | 7:22 PM CDT | EF0 | Archer, TX | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 7:41 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Meeker, MN | 5.0 | 50 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 7:55 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:56 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.8 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:58 PM CDT | EF0 | Comanche, OK | 6.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:09 PM CDT | EF0 | Douglas, MN | 0.2 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 8:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Stearns, MN | 1.4 | 25 | $100,000 | ||
| May 16 | 10:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Okfuskee, OK | 1.4 | 110 | |||
| May 16 | 11:15 PM CDT | EF2 | Jackson, MO | 10.0 | 250 | |||
| May 16 | 11:26 PM CDT | EF2 | Wagoner, OK | 16.0 | 1,000 | $2.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:43 PM CDT | EF2 | Rogers, OK | 9.8 | 1,500 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Caldwell, MO | 2.8 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 11:52 PM CDT | EF1 | Rogers, OK | 3.3 | 300 | $30,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:00 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 2.3 | 450 | $10,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:05 AM CDT | EF1 | Bates, MO | 0.9 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 12:10 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 4.5 | 600 | $75,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:24 AM CDT | EF1 | Delaware, OK | 4.6 | 550 | $100,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:30 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK | 6.7 | 1,100 | $20,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:38 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK | 11.5 | 650 | 1 | $125,000 | |
| May 16 | 12:48 AM CDT | EF0 | Henry, MO | 6.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 12:51 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK to MO | 12.2 | 200 | $200,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.