Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2015
EF1 tornado, Fairview to Aline, Oklahoma, May 16, 2015
From Fairview to Aline, this EF1 tornado ran 16.0 miles across Major and Alfalfa counties on May 16, 2015, touching down at 6:22 PM CDT and reaching 400 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- May 16, 2015
- Touchdown
- 6:22 PM CDT (23:22 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:45 PM CDT (23:45 UTC)
- On the ground
- 23 minutes
- Path length
- 16.0 miles (25.7 km)
- Path width
- 400 yards (366 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Counties
- Major and Alfalfa counties
- Touchdown point
- 36.318, -98.561
- Lift-off point
- 36.478, -98.367
- Record number
- 1505161722-01
What the Weather Service recorded
With an upper low traversing the region, a cold front stationed over the panhandles, and a developing dryline, storms developed out in the panhandles early on the 16th and made their way eastward across Oklahoma through the day. Toward evening, when the severe weather occurred, the front surged eastward with a line of storms forming along it.
A tornado developed northwest of Fairview and moved northeast, brushing the northwest corner of Cleo Springs, and moved into Alfalfa County 1.5 miles east of state highway 8. A house northwest of Fairview was moved off of the foundation (DI 2, DOD 5, est. winds 105-110 mph.) Northeast along the tornado path, damage was observed to trees, outbuildings and utility poles as it approached and passed near the northwest corner of Cleo Springs. North and northeast of Cleo Springs, a mobile home was damaged. The storm moved northeast and overturned a truck as it moved into Alfalfa County to the east of state highway 8.
The tornado moved into Alfalfa County from Major county and moved east-northeast. An outbuilding was destroyed about 5 miles east-southeast of Aline near the end of the tornado path.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
10 minutes of warning. NWS OUN issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:12 UTC, 10 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:45 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 21:00 UTC and running to 01:24 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:35 UTC | 02:20 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | OUN |
| 21:00 UTC | 01:24 UTC | Tornado Watch | OUN |
| 22:20 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN |
| 22:46 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN |
| 23:12 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | OUN |
| 23:38 UTC | 23:49 UTC | Tornado Warning | OUN |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:55 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Norman, OK (KOUN), 12:00Z
11.4 hours before the tornado, 162 km from the path. May 16, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 538 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 2232 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 590 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 107 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 4.6
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.3 K/km
Norman, OK (KOUN), 00:00Z
0.6 hours after it, 162 km from the path. May 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1999 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 3901 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 724 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 331 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 392 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 5.6
- Supercell composite
- 32.8
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.1 K/km
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:20 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Cleo Springs | Major, OK | TREES DOWN |
| 23:22 UTC | TORNADO | 6 Nw Fairview | Major, OK | A TORNADO DEVELOPED 5.5 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIRVIEW AND MOVED NORTHEAST TO 4 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CLEO SPRINGS. THE TORNADO PASSED JUST NORTHWEST OF CLEO SPRINGS. THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE ADJACENT TO THE TORNADO ALSO |
| 00:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Cleo Springs | Major, OK | CAR WAS FLIPPED OVER. ROOF FROM OFFICE BLDG WAS DAMAGED. |
| 00:20 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Ne Jet | Alfalfa, OK | TREE DAMAGE SOUTH AND EAST OF GREAT SALT PLAINS LAKE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015
47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16 | 1:12 PM CDT | EF0 | Briscoe, TX | 0.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 1:13 PM MDT | EF0 | Park, WY | 1.4 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 2:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 8.6 | 150 | |||
| May 16 | 2:40 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 22.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 3:14 PM CDT | EF0 | Wheeler, TX | 5.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 4:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Chippewa, MN | 1.8 | 50 | $250,000 | ||
| May 16 | 4:49 PM CDT | EF1 | Roger Mills, OK | 3.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 5:05 PM CDT | EF1 | Dewey, OK | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 2.7 | 100 | $5,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:23 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 2.7 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:26 PM CDT | EF3 | Hardeman, TX to OK | 40.4 | 1,600 | |||
| May 16 | 5:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Swift, MN | 3.1 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:36 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 5:37 PM CDT | EF1 | Lyon, KS | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF0 | Beckham, OK | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 5:51 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.8 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:57 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Tillman, OK | 0.2 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 6:24 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:38 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 1.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 7:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:14 PM CDT | EF1 | Comanche, OK | 7.1 | 400 | |||
| May 16 | 7:15 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 5.0 | 200 | |||
| May 16 | 7:22 PM CDT | EF0 | Archer, TX | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 7:41 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Meeker, MN | 5.0 | 50 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 7:55 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:56 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.8 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:58 PM CDT | EF0 | Comanche, OK | 6.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:09 PM CDT | EF0 | Douglas, MN | 0.2 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 8:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Stearns, MN | 1.4 | 25 | $100,000 | ||
| May 16 | 9:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Ray, MO | 0.9 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 10:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Okfuskee, OK | 1.4 | 110 | |||
| May 16 | 11:15 PM CDT | EF2 | Jackson, MO | 10.0 | 250 | |||
| May 16 | 11:26 PM CDT | EF2 | Wagoner, OK | 16.0 | 1,000 | $2.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:43 PM CDT | EF2 | Rogers, OK | 9.8 | 1,500 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Caldwell, MO | 2.8 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 11:52 PM CDT | EF1 | Rogers, OK | 3.3 | 300 | $30,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:00 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 2.3 | 450 | $10,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:05 AM CDT | EF1 | Bates, MO | 0.9 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 12:10 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 4.5 | 600 | $75,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:24 AM CDT | EF1 | Delaware, OK | 4.6 | 550 | $100,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:30 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK | 6.7 | 1,100 | $20,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:38 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK | 11.5 | 650 | 1 | $125,000 | |
| May 16 | 12:48 AM CDT | EF0 | Henry, MO | 6.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 12:51 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK to MO | 12.2 | 200 | $200,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.