Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2015

EF1 tornado, Okemah Arpt to Morse, Oklahoma, May 16, 2015

From Okemah Arpt to Morse, this EF1 tornado ran 1.4 miles across Okfuskee County on May 16, 2015, touching down at 10:20 PM CDT and reaching 110 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 16, 2015
Touchdown
10:20 PM CDT (03:20 UTC)
Lifted
10:21 PM CDT (03:21 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
1.4 miles (2.3 km)
Path width
110 yards (101 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Okfuskee County
Touchdown point
35.477, -96.267
Lift-off point
35.494, -96.252
Record number
1505162120-01

The damage survey

3 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 100 mph.

  • several trees uprooted and some snapped in this area with convergent pattern
  • power poles replaced in this area along with broken large limbs

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong upper level disturbance translated from the Southern Rockies into the Southern Plains on the 16th. Very moist and unstable air was in place across the Southern Plains as this system approached. Severe thunderstorms developed over western Oklahoma and northwestern Texas during the afternoon and moved eastward into eastern Oklahoma in the late evening. By the time the storms reached eastern Oklahoma, a well-organized squall line had evolved but due to very strong low level wind shear, multiple tornadoes occurred across the area along with widespread damaging wind. Locally heavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding in some areas through the early morning hours of the 17th.

A tornado uprooted trees and snapped large tree limbs. Based on this damage, estimated maximum wind in the tornado was 90 to 100 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

26 minutes of warning. NWS TSA issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:54 UTC, 26 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 01:42 UTC and running to 05:19 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:00 UTC08:41 UTCFlash Flood WatchTSA
01:42 UTC05:19 UTCTornado WatchTSA
02:36 UTC03:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
02:38 UTC04:45 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA
02:54 UTC03:30 UTCTornado WarningTSA
03:04 UTC03:45 UTCTornado WarningTSA
03:29 UTC04:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
03:41 UTC05:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA
04:01 UTC04:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
04:09 UTC06:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:22 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Norman, OK (KOUN), 00:00Z

3.3 hours before the tornado, 108 km from the path. May 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1999 joules per kilogram, CIN -7, lifted condensation level 724 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 331 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 55 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1999 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3901 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
331 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
392 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
5.6
Supercell composite
32.8
0-3 km lapse rate
6.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Norman, OK (KOUN), 12:00Z

8.7 hours after it, 108 km from the path. May 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -77914, lifted condensation level 1279 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 157 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 64 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77914 J/kg
Surface CAPE
187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1279 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
261 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
03:02 UTCHAIL 2.75CastleOkfuskee, OKRELAYED BY KOTV
03:20 UTCTORNADO 14 Ne OkemahOkfuskee, OKA TORNADO SNAPPED OR UPROOTED TREES.
04:00 UTCTSTM WND GST 583 Sw LibertyOkmulgee, OK
04:17 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sse BixbyTulsa, OK175TH AND MINGO. PART OF BARN ROOF OFF AND TWISTED AROUND A FENCE. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL TREES IN THE AREA.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015

47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 161:12 PM CDTEF0Briscoe, TX0.530
May 161:13 PM MDTEF0Park, WY1.420
May 162:20 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX8.6150
May 162:40 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX22.5100
May 163:14 PM CDTEF0Wheeler, TX5.530
May 164:33 PM CDTEF1Chippewa, MN1.850$250,000
May 164:49 PM CDTEF1Roger Mills, OK3.5100
May 165:05 PM CDTEF1Dewey, OK0.550
May 165:18 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN2.7100$5,000
May 165:23 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN2.725
May 165:26 PM CDTEF3Hardeman, TX to OK40.41,600
May 165:33 PM CDTEF1Swift, MN3.1100$50,000
May 165:36 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.115
May 165:37 PM CDTEF1Lyon, KS0.250
May 165:47 PM CDTEF0Beckham, OK0.230
May 165:51 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.825
May 165:57 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.525
May 166:05 PM CDTEF0Tillman, OK0.220
May 166:22 PM CDTEF1Major, OK16.0400
May 166:24 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.325
May 166:38 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN1.325
May 167:01 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.115
May 167:14 PM CDTEF1Comanche, OK7.1400
May 167:15 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN5.0200
May 167:22 PM CDTEF0Archer, TX0.230
May 167:41 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN2.550
May 167:48 PM CDTEF0Meeker, MN5.050$50,000
May 167:55 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.050
May 167:56 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.815
May 167:58 PM CDTEF0Comanche, OK6.050
May 168:01 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.550
May 168:09 PM CDTEF0Douglas, MN0.215
May 168:28 PM CDTEF0Stearns, MN1.425$100,000
May 169:35 PM CDTEF0Ray, MO0.9100
May 1611:15 PM CDTEF2Jackson, MO10.0250
May 1611:26 PM CDTEF2Wagoner, OK16.01,000$2.0 million
May 1611:43 PM CDTEF2Rogers, OK9.81,500$1.0 million
May 1611:51 PM CDTEF1Caldwell, MO2.8100
May 1611:52 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK3.3300$30,000
May 1612:00 AM CDTEF1Mayes, OK2.3450$10,000
May 1612:05 AM CDTEF1Bates, MO0.9100
May 1612:10 AM CDTEF1Mayes, OK4.5600$75,000
May 1612:24 AM CDTEF1Delaware, OK4.6550$100,000
May 1612:30 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK6.71,100$20,000
May 1612:38 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK11.56501$125,000
May 1612:48 AM CDTEF0Henry, MO6.525
May 1612:51 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK to MO12.2200$200,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.