Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2015

EF1 tornado, Pryor to Big Cabin, Oklahoma, May 16, 2015

From Pryor to Big Cabin, this EF1 tornado ran 2.3 miles across Mayes County on May 16, 2015, touching down at 12:00 AM CDT and reaching 450 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $10,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 16, 2015
Touchdown
12:00 AM CDT (05:00 UTC)
Lifted
12:03 AM CDT (05:03 UTC)
On the ground
3 minutes
Path length
2.3 miles (3.7 km)
Path width
450 yards (411 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
County
Mayes County
Touchdown point
36.361, -95.402
Lift-off point
36.386, -95.374
Record number
1505162300-01

The damage survey

78 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 113 mph.

  • no anchoring to walls; 50'x60' building built like a wood-framed home
  • building was a 50'x60' structure built like a wood-framed home with brick with little to no attachment to the foundation
  • tin panels from upstream damage

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong upper level disturbance translated from the Southern Rockies into the Southern Plains on the 16th. Very moist and unstable air was in place across the Southern Plains as this system approached. Severe thunderstorms developed over western Oklahoma and northwestern Texas during the afternoon and moved eastward into eastern Oklahoma in the late evening. By the time the storms reached eastern Oklahoma, a well-organized squall line had evolved but due to very strong low level wind shear, multiple tornadoes occurred across the area along with widespread damaging wind. Locally heavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding in some areas through the early morning hours of the 17th.

This tornado snapped or uprooted numerous trees and blew down power poles. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.

This tornado damaged two homes, destroyed at least two outbuildings, snapped or uprooted trees, and blew down power poles. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

25 minutes of warning. NWS TSA issued a tornado warning for this county at 04:35 UTC, 25 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 05:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 01:42 UTC and running to 07:05 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:00 UTC08:41 UTCFlash Flood WatchTSA
01:42 UTC07:05 UTCTornado WatchTSA
04:01 UTC06:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA
04:09 UTC06:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA
04:29 UTC05:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
04:35 UTC05:00 UTCTornado WarningTSA
04:39 UTC05:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
04:47 UTC05:15 UTCTornado WarningTSA
04:55 UTC05:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
05:05 UTC05:50 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
05:12 UTC05:55 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
05:16 UTC05:23 UTCTornado WarningTSA
05:19 UTC07:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:22 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

5.0 hours before the tornado, 153 km from the path. May 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1727 joules per kilogram, CIN -4, lifted condensation level 1056 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 41 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1727 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3458 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1056 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
11.8
0-3 km lapse rate
7.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

7.0 hours after it, 153 km from the path. May 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -69893, lifted condensation level 915 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -54 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 51 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69893 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
915 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
220 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Claremore Regional Airport (GCM), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
03:15 UTC75.266.2150° 12 kt171007.5
03:35 UTC7766.2150° 14 kt191007.5
03:55 UTC7766.2150° 16 kt211007.8
04:15 UTC7768150° 15 kt231007.8TS
04:35 UTC7768160° 18 kt251007.8
04:50 UTC75.268150° 18 kt271007.5-TSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 27 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 04:56 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
03:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 60SkiatookOsage, OK
03:39 UTCTSTM WND GST 594 Nw SkiatookOsage, OK
03:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 65VeraWashington, OKTIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
04:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGTulsaTulsa, OKLARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN AND BLOWN DOWN AROUND DOWNTOWN TULSA.
04:26 UTCTORNADO 26 Sse Broken ArrowWagoner, OKBEGINNING OF AN EF-2 TORNADO THAT MOVED NORTHEAST FOR AT LEAST 12 MILES DAMAGING MANY HOMES...SOME SEVERELY... DESTROYING MANY BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS...SNAPPING OR UPROOTING MANY TREES...AND SNAPPING MANY POWER POLES.
04:28 UTCTORNADOBroken ArrowTulsa, OKREPORTED NEAR KENOSHA AND THE CREEK TURNPIKE.
04:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ne OnetaWagoner, OKTREE AND HOME DAMAGE. POWER POLES SNAPPED. ROOF AND HOME DAMAGE. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
04:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Ese Broken ArrowWagoner, OKSEVERAL POWER POLES BLOWN OVER OR SNAPPED ON ONETA ROAD JUST SOUTH OF THE INTERSECTION WITH HIGHWAY 51.
04:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Ese Broken ArrowWagoner, OKSPRINGLAKE SUB-DIVISION...ABOUT 1 MILE EAST OF ONETA ROAD AND HIGHWAY 51 INTERSECTION...MANY LARGE BRANCHES AND SOME TREES BLOWN DOWN.
04:33 UTCTSTM WND GST 63TulsaTulsa, OKMEASURED AT TULSA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
04:43 UTCTORNADO 13 Nw InolaRogers, OKTHIS TORNADO DAMAGED A NUMBER OF HOMES...DESTROYED BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS...SNAPPED AND UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES...AND SNAPPED POWER POLES. THIS RATING IS PRELIMINARY AS THE SURVEY HAS NOT BEEN COMPLETED.
04:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGInolaRogers, OKMANY LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN AND/OR SHEARED OFF IN THE INOLA AREA...ESPECIALLY BETWEEEN COUNTY ROAD 4230 AND COUNTY ROAD 4250.
04:46 UTCTSTM WND GST 65OwassoTulsa, OKREPORTED NEAR 106TH STREET NORTH AND HIGHWAY 169.
04:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nw InolaRogers, OKDAMAGE TO HOMES NEAR THE KINX RADAR SITE FROM POSSIBLE TORNADO.
04:48 UTCTSTM WND GST 752 E InolaRogers, OKMEASURED ON HIGHWAY 412.
04:54 UTCTORNADO 16 Ne TiawahRogers, OKTORNADO DEVELOPED WEST OF THE CLAREMORE AIRPORT AND MOVED OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE RUNWAY. IT CROSSED HIGHWAY 20 WHERE IT DAMAGED HOMES AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED TREES. THE TORNADO APPEARED TO DISSIPATE AFTER IT CR
04:59 UTCTSTM WND DMGPryorMayes, OKTREES DOWN AND MANY BROKEN LIMBS IN AND AROUND PRYOR. OTHER DAMAGE LIKELY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.
05:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGWagonerWagoner, OKSHINGLES OFF OR DAMAGED TO SOME ROOFS. A FEW TREES BLOWN DOWN AND MANY BROKEN LIMBS AROUND TOWN. ONE LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN ON PART OF U.S.69 HAD TO BE REMOVED.
05:01 UTCTORNADO 16 Nw PryorMayes, OKA TORNADO SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES AND SNAPPED POWER POLES.
05:12 UTCTORNADO 13 Nne AdairMayes, OKA TORNADO DAMAGED A HOME...DESTROYED BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES.
05:24 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ne KetchumCraig, OKONE DOUBLE WIDE TRAILER HOME DESTROYED. 4490 ROAD BETWEEN COUNTY ROADS 300 AND 310.
05:24 UTCTORNADO 12 Nne KetchumCraig, OKA TORNADO DESTROYED A MOBILE HOME...DESTROYED SEVERAL BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS...AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED MANY TREES.
05:32 UTCTORNADO 12 Wnw BerniceDelaware, OKA TORNADO SNAPPED AND UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES
05:36 UTCHAIL 1.753 N VinitaCraig, OK
05:50 UTCTSTM WND GST 655 N TahlequahCherokee, OKREPORT VIA TWITTER
05:52 UTCTSTM WND GST 601 Wsw JayDelaware, OK
07:00 UTCFLASH FLOOD4 W HulbertCherokee, OKSTATE HIGHWAY 80 CLOSED BETWEEN HWY 51 AND US 62 AT 9 AM. ESTIMATED TO HAVE FLOODED AROUND OR AFTER 2 AM.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015

47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 161:12 PM CDTEF0Briscoe, TX0.530
May 161:13 PM MDTEF0Park, WY1.420
May 162:20 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX8.6150
May 162:40 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX22.5100
May 163:14 PM CDTEF0Wheeler, TX5.530
May 164:33 PM CDTEF1Chippewa, MN1.850$250,000
May 164:49 PM CDTEF1Roger Mills, OK3.5100
May 165:05 PM CDTEF1Dewey, OK0.550
May 165:18 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN2.7100$5,000
May 165:23 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN2.725
May 165:26 PM CDTEF3Hardeman, TX to OK40.41,600
May 165:33 PM CDTEF1Swift, MN3.1100$50,000
May 165:36 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.115
May 165:37 PM CDTEF1Lyon, KS0.250
May 165:47 PM CDTEF0Beckham, OK0.230
May 165:51 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.825
May 165:57 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.525
May 166:05 PM CDTEF0Tillman, OK0.220
May 166:22 PM CDTEF1Major, OK16.0400
May 166:24 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.325
May 166:38 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN1.325
May 167:01 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.115
May 167:14 PM CDTEF1Comanche, OK7.1400
May 167:15 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN5.0200
May 167:22 PM CDTEF0Archer, TX0.230
May 167:41 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN2.550
May 167:48 PM CDTEF0Meeker, MN5.050$50,000
May 167:55 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.050
May 167:56 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.815
May 167:58 PM CDTEF0Comanche, OK6.050
May 168:01 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.550
May 168:09 PM CDTEF0Douglas, MN0.215
May 168:28 PM CDTEF0Stearns, MN1.425$100,000
May 169:35 PM CDTEF0Ray, MO0.9100
May 1610:20 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK1.4110
May 1611:15 PM CDTEF2Jackson, MO10.0250
May 1611:26 PM CDTEF2Wagoner, OK16.01,000$2.0 million
May 1611:43 PM CDTEF2Rogers, OK9.81,500$1.0 million
May 1611:51 PM CDTEF1Caldwell, MO2.8100
May 1611:52 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK3.3300$30,000
May 1612:05 AM CDTEF1Bates, MO0.9100
May 1612:10 AM CDTEF1Mayes, OK4.5600$75,000
May 1612:24 AM CDTEF1Delaware, OK4.6550$100,000
May 1612:30 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK6.71,100$20,000
May 1612:38 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK11.56501$125,000
May 1612:48 AM CDTEF0Henry, MO6.525
May 1612:51 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK to MO12.2200$200,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.