Tornadoes · United States · Kansas · 2015

EF1 tornado, Neosho Rapids, Kansas, May 16, 2015

This EF1 tornado ran 0.2 miles across Lyon County on May 16, 2015, touching down at 5:37 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 16, 2015
Touchdown
5:37 PM CDT (22:37 UTC)
Lifted
5:39 PM CDT (22:39 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.2 miles (0.3 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Lyon County
Touchdown point
38.403, -95.986
Lift-off point
38.405, -95.984
Record number
1505161637-01

The damage survey

5 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TOP, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 94 mph.

  • neighbor camper still standing in driveway

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A short line of severe thunderstorms moved northeast during the late afternoon hours of Saturday May 16th. The line produced sporadic wind damage along a wide path and it also produced a narrow short path of more intense damage that was attributed to a small tornado.

Widespread wind damage from straight line thunderstorm winds|extended from southern Lyon county northeast into Osage county.|about 2 miles west of Neosho rapids, a train derailed as a result|of severe thunderstorm winds. Wind speeds at this point were|estimated to be 75-85 mph. About 3 miles northeast of the train,|a short lived tornado occurred producing ef-1 damage to a|farmstead north of Neosho rapids. More wind damage to trees and|Out buildings occurred northeast across Lyon county into Osage|County.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

2 minutes of warning. NWS TOP issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:35 UTC, 2 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:48 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:13 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOP
22:35 UTC22:48 UTCTornado WarningTOP
22:55 UTC23:05 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOP
03:18 UTC05:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryTOP

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:55 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Topeka, KS (KFOE), 12:00Z

10.6 hours before the tornado, 73 km from the path. May 16, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2015-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 768 joules per kilogram, CIN -17, lifted condensation level 632 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2015-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 23 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
768 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1049 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Topeka, KS (KFOE), 00:00Z

1.4 hours after it, 73 km from the path. May 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 158 joules per kilogram, CIN -114, lifted condensation level 843 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 202 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
158 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Surface CAPE
154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
260 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 584 E Matfield GreenChase, KS
22:25 UTCTSTM WND DMGMadisonGreenwood, KSDELAYED REPORT OF SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN IN MADISON.
22:27 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 E MadisonGreenwood, KSA ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF A BARN DUE TO STAIGHT LINE WINDS.
22:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 602 W EmporiaLyon, KS
22:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 602 Wnw EmporiaLyon, KS
22:31 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Ne OlpeLyon, KSBARNS AND HOMES DAMAGED
22:31 UTCTORNADO3 Sw Neosho RapidsLyon, KS
22:31 UTCTORNADO5 Wnw HartfordLyon, KSTORNADO REPORTED NEAR 1632 RD 110. POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
22:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S Neosho RapidsLyon, KS
22:36 UTCTSTM WND DMGSse Neosho RapidsLyon, KSSEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN INCLUDING A 100 YEAR OLD HEALTHY ELM TREE SNAPPED AT THE BASE OF THE TREE TRUNK. DAMAGE POSSIBLY THE RESULT OF A TORNADO.
22:37 UTCTORNADO2 N Neosho RapidsLyon, KSDELAYED REPORT. CONFIRMED TORNADO. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A SHED AND A HOME.
22:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Neosho RapidsLyon, KSTRAIN WAS STOPPED AND BLOWN OVER BY WIND.
23:04 UTCTSTM WND GST 731 Wsw Osage CityOsage, KS
23:04 UTCTSTM WND GST 73Osage CityOsage, KS
23:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sw OverbrookOsage, KSDELAYED REPORT. ROOF BLOWN OFF OF A BARN ON S. PAULEN RD IN OVERBROOK.
23:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sw OverbrookOsage, KS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in KansasEvery tornado in Kansas since 1950Warnings in force in Kansas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015

47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 161:12 PM CDTEF0Briscoe, TX0.530
May 161:13 PM MDTEF0Park, WY1.420
May 162:20 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX8.6150
May 162:40 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX22.5100
May 163:14 PM CDTEF0Wheeler, TX5.530
May 164:33 PM CDTEF1Chippewa, MN1.850$250,000
May 164:49 PM CDTEF1Roger Mills, OK3.5100
May 165:05 PM CDTEF1Dewey, OK0.550
May 165:18 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN2.7100$5,000
May 165:23 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN2.725
May 165:26 PM CDTEF3Hardeman, TX to OK40.41,600
May 165:33 PM CDTEF1Swift, MN3.1100$50,000
May 165:36 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.115
May 165:47 PM CDTEF0Beckham, OK0.230
May 165:51 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.825
May 165:57 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.525
May 166:05 PM CDTEF0Tillman, OK0.220
May 166:22 PM CDTEF1Major, OK16.0400
May 166:24 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.325
May 166:38 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN1.325
May 167:01 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.115
May 167:14 PM CDTEF1Comanche, OK7.1400
May 167:15 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN5.0200
May 167:22 PM CDTEF0Archer, TX0.230
May 167:41 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN2.550
May 167:48 PM CDTEF0Meeker, MN5.050$50,000
May 167:55 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.050
May 167:56 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.815
May 167:58 PM CDTEF0Comanche, OK6.050
May 168:01 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.550
May 168:09 PM CDTEF0Douglas, MN0.215
May 168:28 PM CDTEF0Stearns, MN1.425$100,000
May 169:35 PM CDTEF0Ray, MO0.9100
May 1610:20 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK1.4110
May 1611:15 PM CDTEF2Jackson, MO10.0250
May 1611:26 PM CDTEF2Wagoner, OK16.01,000$2.0 million
May 1611:43 PM CDTEF2Rogers, OK9.81,500$1.0 million
May 1611:51 PM CDTEF1Caldwell, MO2.8100
May 1611:52 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK3.3300$30,000
May 1612:00 AM CDTEF1Mayes, OK2.3450$10,000
May 1612:05 AM CDTEF1Bates, MO0.9100
May 1612:10 AM CDTEF1Mayes, OK4.5600$75,000
May 1612:24 AM CDTEF1Delaware, OK4.6550$100,000
May 1612:30 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK6.71,100$20,000
May 1612:38 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK11.56501$125,000
May 1612:48 AM CDTEF0Henry, MO6.525
May 1612:51 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK to MO12.2200$200,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.