Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2015
EF1 tornado, Todd to Bernice, Oklahoma, May 16, 2015
From Todd to Bernice, this EF1 tornado ran 4.6 miles across Delaware and Craig counties on May 16, 2015, touching down at 12:24 AM CDT and reaching 550 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- May 16, 2015
- Touchdown
- 12:24 AM CDT (05:24 UTC)
- Lifted
- 12:29 AM CDT (05:29 UTC)
- On the ground
- 5 minutes
- Path length
- 4.6 miles (7.4 km)
- Path width
- 550 yards (503 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $100,000
- Counties
- Delaware and Craig counties
- Touchdown point
- 36.557, -95.013
- Lift-off point
- 36.608, -94.958
- Record number
- 1505162324-01
The damage survey
86 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.
- tin panels from upstream damage
- multiple uprooted and snapped
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong upper level disturbance translated from the Southern Rockies into the Southern Plains on the 16th. Very moist and unstable air was in place across the Southern Plains as this system approached. Severe thunderstorms developed over western Oklahoma and northwestern Texas during the afternoon and moved eastward into eastern Oklahoma in the late evening. By the time the storms reached eastern Oklahoma, a well-organized squall line had evolved but due to very strong low level wind shear, multiple tornadoes occurred across the area along with widespread damaging wind. Locally heavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding in some areas through the early morning hours of the 17th.
This is the first segment of a two segment tornado. In Craig County, this tornado destroyed a mobile home and snapped or uprooted trees. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.
This is the second segment of a two segment tornado. In Delaware County, this tornado destroyed several barns and outbuildings, snapped or uprooted trees, and blew down power poles. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.
This is the first segment of a two segment tornado. In Delaware County, this tornado damaged two mobile homes, snapped or uprooted numerous trees, and blew down power poles. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
8 minutes of warning. NWS TSA issued a tornado warning for this county at 05:16 UTC, 8 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 05:35 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 01:42 UTC and running to 07:05 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | 08:41 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | TSA |
| 01:42 UTC | 07:05 UTC | Tornado Watch | TSA |
| 04:01 UTC | 06:00 UTC | Flood Advisory | TSA |
| 04:12 UTC | 05:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 04:29 UTC | 05:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 04:55 UTC | 05:52 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 05:05 UTC | 05:50 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 05:16 UTC | 05:35 UTC | Tornado Warning | TSA |
| 05:19 UTC | 07:15 UTC | Flood Advisory | TSA |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:22 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z
5.4 hours before the tornado, 111 km from the path. May 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1727 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 3458 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1056 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 127 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 218 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.4
- Supercell composite
- 11.8
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 7.1 K/km
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z
6.6 hours after it, 111 km from the path. May 17, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -69893 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 915 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -54 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 220 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.9 K/km
The surface observations
Grove Municipal Airport (GMJ), 22 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:55 UTC | 77 | 68 | 140° 12 kt | 17 | 1008.5 | |
| 04:15 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 13 kt | 19 | 1008.5 | VCTS |
| 04:35 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 17 kt | 21 | 1008.5 | |
| 04:55 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 16 kt | 22 | 1008.5 | VCTS |
| 05:15 UTC | 77 | 68 | 150° 16 kt | 22 | 1008.8 | VCTS |
| 05:35 UTC | 77 | 68 | 160° 14 kt | 23 | 1008.8 | VCTS |
| 05:55 UTC | 64.4 | 64.4 | 190° 24 kt | 32 | 1012.9 | +TSRA |
| 06:15 UTC | 64.4 | 64.4 | 180° 8 kt | 1011.2 | TSRA | |
| 06:35 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 170° 9 kt | 1010.5 | TSRA | |
| 06:55 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 160° 12 kt | 16 | 1011.9 | -TSRA |
| 07:15 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 150° 6 kt | 1010.8 | VCTSRA | |
| 07:35 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 150° 7 kt | 1010.5 | VCTSRA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:54 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 6 Ne Tiawah | Rogers, OK | TORNADO DEVELOPED WEST OF THE CLAREMORE AIRPORT AND MOVED OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE RUNWAY. IT CROSSED HIGHWAY 20 WHERE IT DAMAGED HOMES AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED TREES. THE TORNADO APPEARED TO DISSIPATE AFTER IT CR |
| 04:59 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Pryor | Mayes, OK | TREES DOWN AND MANY BROKEN LIMBS IN AND AROUND PRYOR. OTHER DAMAGE LIKELY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. |
| 05:01 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 6 Nw Pryor | Mayes, OK | A TORNADO SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES AND SNAPPED POWER POLES. |
| 05:12 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 3 Nne Adair | Mayes, OK | A TORNADO DAMAGED A HOME...DESTROYED BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES. |
| 05:24 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Ne Ketchum | Craig, OK | ONE DOUBLE WIDE TRAILER HOME DESTROYED. 4490 ROAD BETWEEN COUNTY ROADS 300 AND 310. |
| 05:24 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 2 Nne Ketchum | Craig, OK | A TORNADO DESTROYED A MOBILE HOME...DESTROYED SEVERAL BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS...AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED MANY TREES. |
| 05:32 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 2 Wnw Bernice | Delaware, OK | A TORNADO SNAPPED AND UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES |
| 05:36 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 3 N Vinita | Craig, OK | |
| 05:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Sse Fairland | Ottawa, OK | POWER LINES DOWN AND HOMES DAMAGED NEAR 590 AND 220 ROAD FROM PROBABLE TORNADO. |
| 05:40 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 3 Sse Fairland | Ottawa, OK | A TORNADO DESTROYED A MOBILE HOME...DESTROYED A WORKSHOP...AND SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES. |
| 05:51 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 5 Ese Wyandotte | Ottawa, OK | A TORNADO SNAPPED TREE LIMBS ALONG THE E 175 ROAD AND UPROOTED TREES AT THE STATE LINE AS IT MOVED INTO MISSOURI. |
| 05:52 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | 1 Wsw Jay | Delaware, OK |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015
47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16 | 1:12 PM CDT | EF0 | Briscoe, TX | 0.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 1:13 PM MDT | EF0 | Park, WY | 1.4 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 2:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 8.6 | 150 | |||
| May 16 | 2:40 PM CDT | EF1 | Donley, TX | 22.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 3:14 PM CDT | EF0 | Wheeler, TX | 5.5 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 4:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Chippewa, MN | 1.8 | 50 | $250,000 | ||
| May 16 | 4:49 PM CDT | EF1 | Roger Mills, OK | 3.5 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 5:05 PM CDT | EF1 | Dewey, OK | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 2.7 | 100 | $5,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:23 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 2.7 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:26 PM CDT | EF3 | Hardeman, TX to OK | 40.4 | 1,600 | |||
| May 16 | 5:33 PM CDT | EF1 | Swift, MN | 3.1 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 5:36 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 5:37 PM CDT | EF1 | Lyon, KS | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 5:47 PM CDT | EF0 | Beckham, OK | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 5:51 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.8 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 5:57 PM CDT | EF0 | Chippewa, MN | 0.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Tillman, OK | 0.2 | 20 | |||
| May 16 | 6:22 PM CDT | EF1 | Major, OK | 16.0 | 400 | |||
| May 16 | 6:24 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 0.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 6:38 PM CDT | EF0 | Swift, MN | 1.3 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 7:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.1 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:14 PM CDT | EF1 | Comanche, OK | 7.1 | 400 | |||
| May 16 | 7:15 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 5.0 | 200 | |||
| May 16 | 7:22 PM CDT | EF0 | Archer, TX | 0.2 | 30 | |||
| May 16 | 7:41 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Meeker, MN | 5.0 | 50 | $50,000 | ||
| May 16 | 7:55 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 7:56 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.8 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 7:58 PM CDT | EF0 | Comanche, OK | 6.0 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:01 PM CDT | EF0 | Caddo, OK | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| May 16 | 8:09 PM CDT | EF0 | Douglas, MN | 0.2 | 15 | |||
| May 16 | 8:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Stearns, MN | 1.4 | 25 | $100,000 | ||
| May 16 | 9:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Ray, MO | 0.9 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 10:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Okfuskee, OK | 1.4 | 110 | |||
| May 16 | 11:15 PM CDT | EF2 | Jackson, MO | 10.0 | 250 | |||
| May 16 | 11:26 PM CDT | EF2 | Wagoner, OK | 16.0 | 1,000 | $2.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:43 PM CDT | EF2 | Rogers, OK | 9.8 | 1,500 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 16 | 11:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Caldwell, MO | 2.8 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 11:52 PM CDT | EF1 | Rogers, OK | 3.3 | 300 | $30,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:00 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 2.3 | 450 | $10,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:05 AM CDT | EF1 | Bates, MO | 0.9 | 100 | |||
| May 16 | 12:10 AM CDT | EF1 | Mayes, OK | 4.5 | 600 | $75,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:30 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK | 6.7 | 1,100 | $20,000 | ||
| May 16 | 12:38 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK | 11.5 | 650 | 1 | $125,000 | |
| May 16 | 12:48 AM CDT | EF0 | Henry, MO | 6.5 | 25 | |||
| May 16 | 12:51 AM CDT | EF1 | Ottawa, OK to MO | 12.2 | 200 | $200,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.