Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2015

EF2 tornado, Buckner to Wood Hgts, Missouri, May 16, 2015

From Buckner to Wood Hgts, this EF2 tornado ran 10.0 miles across Jackson and Ray counties on May 16, 2015, touching down at 11:15 PM CDT and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
May 16, 2015
Touchdown
11:15 PM CDT (04:15 UTC)
Lifted
11:32 PM CDT (04:32 UTC)
On the ground
17 minutes
Path length
10.0 miles (16.1 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Jackson and Ray counties
Touchdown point
39.140, -94.220
Lift-off point
39.280, -94.170
Record number
1505162215-01

The damage survey

13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS EAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 127 mph.

  • possible start of tornado. minor roof damage. also small garden shed destroyed.
  • lots of tree damage. some trees snapped at trunks.
  • this is on east side of tornado damage path.
  • power poles snapped about 1/4 mile south

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A quasi-linear convective system moved through east central Kansas and west central Missouri producing multiple QLCS tornadoes and significant damage associated with numerous mesovortices. Interestingly, there was a supercell ahead of the line that also produced a tornado. Also, this line of storms produced extreme rain rates and widespread flash flooding was reported throughout the Kansas City area.

Ahead of the advancing QLCS a supercell formed and produced a tornado in northern Jackson County. It formed just southwest of Sibley, Missouri and barely missed the main part of the city just to the west. Although it remained mostly in rural parts of Jackson County it did impact some outbuildings and did plenty of tree damage to areas just west of Sibley. The tornado then moved across the Missouri River, into Ray County where it dissipated northwest of Orrick.

This is a continuation of the tornado that formed in northern Jackson County and moved in Ray County. Ahead of the advancing QLCS a supercell formed in Jackson County a supercell formed and produced a tornado just southwest of Sibley. This tornado crossed the Missouri River into Ray County and produced EF-2 damage, mainly to rural areas of the county. It did impact a mobile home and ripped its support straps out of the ground and wrapped it around a nearby tree. No one was occupying the residence at the time, so no injuries were reported. The tornado dissipated in rural Ray County, just northwest of Orrick.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:57 UTC02:47 UTCTornado WatchEAX
02:12 UTC08:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningEAX
04:06 UTC04:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX
04:22 UTC10:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningEAX
04:24 UTC04:30 UTCTornado WarningEAX
05:03 UTC05:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX
06:59 UTC09:44 UTCFlood WarningEAX
08:02 UTC11:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningEAX
13:20 UTC03:46 UTCFlood WarningEAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:22 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Topeka, KS (KFOE), 00:00Z

4.3 hours before the tornado, 127 km from the path. May 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 158 joules per kilogram, CIN -114, lifted condensation level 843 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 202 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
158 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Surface CAPE
154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
260 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Topeka, KS (KFOE), 12:00Z

7.7 hours after it, 127 km from the path. May 17, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 96 joules per kilogram, CIN -48, lifted condensation level 577 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 219 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 81 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
96 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Surface CAPE
252 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
577 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
313 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
02:08 UTCFLASH FLOODLibertyClay, MOWATER REPORTED UP TO OFFICERS PATROL CAR AT LIBERTY DRIVE AND 291
02:08 UTCHAIL 0.75KearneyClay, MO
02:17 UTCHAIL 0.88RaymoreCass, MO
02:37 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Ne HoltClinton, MOFIRE DEPARTMENT IN CLINTON COUNTY REPORTED APPROXIMATELY 3 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 33 NORTH OF STATE HIGHWAY PP. THE ROAD CURRENTLY REMAINS PASSIBLE.
02:37 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.58CameronClinton, MOMEASURED WITHIN 48 MINUTES
02:42 UTCTSTM WND DMGLawsonRay, MOFIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED POWER POLES DOWN AND POSSIBLE BUILDING COLLAPSE.
02:42 UTCTSTM WND DMGLawsonRay, MOTREES AND LIMBS DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR AT 942 PM
03:09 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.58CameronClinton, MOMEASURED WITHIN 48 MINUTES
03:13 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2LibertyClay, MOESTIMATED TO BE OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN IN LIBERTY
04:24 UTCTORNADOSibleyJackson, MOPOSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED WITH MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. DEPUTIES ENROUTE
04:55 UTCTORNADOS PoloCaldwell, MOREPORT OF 15 TO 20 INCH DIAMETER TREES BROKEN OFF AT THE BASE IN THE HIDEAWAY LAKES SUB-DIVISION, LOCATED ON THE EAST SIDE OF HIGHWAY 13. NO TORNADO CONFIRMED, JUST POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME.
04:56 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 Ne FairwayJackson, MOPICTURE VIA TWITTER OF FLASH FLOOD WATER OVER THE WHEELS OF CARS AT THE INTERSECTION OF WESTPORT AND PENNSYLVANIA ROADS IN KANSAS CITY
05:21 UTCFLASH FLOODOsbornDekalb, MOEM RELAYED REPORT OF WATER OVER ROADS IN SEVERAL PLACES WITH DEPTHS RANGING FROM APPROXIMATELY 2 TO 6 INCHES
05:22 UTCFLASH FLOOD5 Ne ClaycomoClay, MOSPOTTER REPORTS FLOWING WATER COMING UP HALFWAY ON DOORS OF CARS IN THE WILLIAM JEWELL COLLEGE AREA OF LIBERTY
05:22 UTCFLASH FLOODKansas CityJackson, MOROADS UNDRIVEABLE AT 103RD ST. AND WORNALL RD. IN KANSAS CITY, MO.
05:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 W CenterviewJohnson, MO2 TO 3 INCH LIVE LIMB DOWN WITH NUMEROUS DEAD LIMBS BLOWN ACROSS YARD. TIME ESTIMATED.
05:31 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S WellingtonLafayette, MODELAYED REPORT. LARGE TREES DAMAGED AND BARN DESTROYED.
05:34 UTCTSTM WND GST 701 S HamiltonCaldwell, MOESTIMATED 70 MPH WINDS WITH 6-8 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES CRACKING OFF OF TREES
05:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E HoldenJohnson, MODELAYED REPORT. TREE DAMAGE ALONG HIGHWAY 58 NEAR 1001ST ROAD JUST EAST OF HOLDEN.
05:41 UTCTSTM WND DMGPoloCaldwell, MOBARNS HEAVILY DAMAGED JUST WEST OF 220TH AND 13 HWY
05:51 UTCTSTM WND DMGWarrensburgJohnson, MODELAYED REPORT. POWERLINES DOWN AT VEST AND 7TH STREET TERRACE NEAR WARRENSBURG. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
06:17 UTCFLASH FLOODKansas CityJackson, MOREPORT VIA FB OF SEVERAL FLOODED ROADS WITH SOME IMPASSIBLE. THESE INCLUDE RAMPS AND UNDERPASSES NEAR HWY 9, STANDING WATER ON HWY 169 HEADING SOUTH INTO DOWNTOWN KC, AND FLOODED ROADWAY NEAR PENN VALLEY PARK.
06:17 UTCHEAVY RAIN 36 Nnw GreenwoodJackson, MOAPPROXIMATELY 3 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED SINCE SATURDAY MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF LEES SUMMIT NORTH HIGH SCHOOL
07:02 UTCHEAVY RAIN 45 Wnw ClaycomoClay, MOREPORT VIA FB OF APPROXIMATELY 4 INCHES OF RAIN NEAR NE 72ND ST AND N OAK TRAFFICWAY

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 16, 2015

47 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 161:12 PM CDTEF0Briscoe, TX0.530
May 161:13 PM MDTEF0Park, WY1.420
May 162:20 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX8.6150
May 162:40 PM CDTEF1Donley, TX22.5100
May 163:14 PM CDTEF0Wheeler, TX5.530
May 164:33 PM CDTEF1Chippewa, MN1.850$250,000
May 164:49 PM CDTEF1Roger Mills, OK3.5100
May 165:05 PM CDTEF1Dewey, OK0.550
May 165:18 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN2.7100$5,000
May 165:23 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN2.725
May 165:26 PM CDTEF3Hardeman, TX to OK40.41,600
May 165:33 PM CDTEF1Swift, MN3.1100$50,000
May 165:36 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.115
May 165:37 PM CDTEF1Lyon, KS0.250
May 165:47 PM CDTEF0Beckham, OK0.230
May 165:51 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.825
May 165:57 PM CDTEF0Chippewa, MN0.525
May 166:05 PM CDTEF0Tillman, OK0.220
May 166:22 PM CDTEF1Major, OK16.0400
May 166:24 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.325
May 166:38 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN1.325
May 167:01 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.115
May 167:14 PM CDTEF1Comanche, OK7.1400
May 167:15 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN5.0200
May 167:22 PM CDTEF0Archer, TX0.230
May 167:41 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN2.550
May 167:48 PM CDTEF0Meeker, MN5.050$50,000
May 167:55 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.050
May 167:56 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.815
May 167:58 PM CDTEF0Comanche, OK6.050
May 168:01 PM CDTEF0Caddo, OK2.550
May 168:09 PM CDTEF0Douglas, MN0.215
May 168:28 PM CDTEF0Stearns, MN1.425$100,000
May 169:35 PM CDTEF0Ray, MO0.9100
May 1610:20 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK1.4110
May 1611:26 PM CDTEF2Wagoner, OK16.01,000$2.0 million
May 1611:43 PM CDTEF2Rogers, OK9.81,500$1.0 million
May 1611:51 PM CDTEF1Caldwell, MO2.8100
May 1611:52 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK3.3300$30,000
May 1612:00 AM CDTEF1Mayes, OK2.3450$10,000
May 1612:05 AM CDTEF1Bates, MO0.9100
May 1612:10 AM CDTEF1Mayes, OK4.5600$75,000
May 1612:24 AM CDTEF1Delaware, OK4.6550$100,000
May 1612:30 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK6.71,100$20,000
May 1612:38 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK11.56501$125,000
May 1612:48 AM CDTEF0Henry, MO6.525
May 1612:51 AM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK to MO12.2200$200,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.