Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 182

May 16, 201533 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 16, 2015, 8:42 PM CDT for 33 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2015, 8:42 PM CDT (01:42 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 2015, 4:32 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 8:57 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNLincoln, Pottawatomie, Seminole33 min
May 16, 9:04 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNPottawatomie, Seminole26 min
May 16, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage52 min
May 16, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee44 min
May 16, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNSeminole30 min
May 16, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek43 min
May 16, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee39 min
May 16, 9:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Washington56 min
May 16, 9:54 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOkfuskee36 min
May 16, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Jefferson, Love, Murray, Pontotoc and 1 more46 min
May 16, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee, Washington46 min
May 16, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Hughes, Lincoln, McClain, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie and 1 more44 min
May 16, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Tulsa, Washington43 min
May 16, 10:04 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee26 min
May 16, 10:04 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee41 min
May 16, 10:22 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTSAOsage, Washington23 min
May 16, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee46 min
May 16, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington40 min
May 16, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Jefferson, Johnston, Love, Murray and 1 more47 min
May 16, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner47 min
May 16, 10:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okmulgee, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner46 min
May 16, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner44 min
May 16, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata, Rogers48 min
May 16, 11:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes45 min
May 16, 11:19 PM CDTTornado WarningTSATulsa, Wagoner26 min
May 16, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner61 min
May 16, 11:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Johnston, Love and 3 more42 min
May 16, 11:35 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTSAMayes, Rogers, Wagoner25 min
May 16, 11:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, McIntosh, Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Wagoner51 min
May 16, 11:47 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAMayes, Rogers28 min
May 16, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers65 min
May 17, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa55 min
May 17, 12:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg66 min
May 17, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Coal, Hughes, Johnston, Love, Marshall and 1 more48 min
May 17, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, McIntosh, Mayes, Muskogee and 2 more63 min
May 17, 12:15 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Hughes, Johnston and 3 more3 hr
May 17, 12:16 AM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa29 min
May 17, 12:34 AM CDTTornado WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa31 min
May 17, 12:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh and 4 more6 hr
May 17, 12:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Coal, Johnston, Marshall46 min
May 17, 1:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Haskell, LeFlore, Muskogee, Sequoyah62 min
May 17, 1:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Coal43 min
May 17, 1:37 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAAdair6 hr
May 17, 2:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha58 min
May 17, 3:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1999 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2015-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 331 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1999 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
331 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
392 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
5.6
Supercell composite
32.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

228 
WWUS20 KWNS 170140
SEL2  
SPC WW 170140
OKZ000-170800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
845 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 845 PM
  UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

SUMMARY...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL
OK...WHILE NEW ISOLATED CELLS FORM AHEAD OF THE LINE.  VERY STRONG
WIND FIELDS WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF TORNADOES...ALONG WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL...FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 177...WW 178...WW
179...WW 180...WW 181...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 7:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin and 13 more91 min
May 16, 7:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Haskell and 16 more90 min
May 16, 8:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCanadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Cotton, Garvin and 18 more88 min
May 16, 11:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Cherokee, Coal, Craig and 23 more86 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.