New Mexico, 2023

Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in New Mexico, March 15 to 17, 2023

March 15 to 17, 2023 · NWS ABQ · 12 events in 11 counties and zones

An upper level disturbance passed over northern NM late March 16, 2023 and through the morning of March 17, 2023. Preceding moisture associated with this system on the 16th produced heavy snow over the northern mountains or NM.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 12 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$2,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
12

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

An upper level disturbance passed over northern NM late March 16, 2023 and through the morning of March 17, 2023. Preceding moisture associated with this system on the 16th produced heavy snow over the northern mountains or NM. The main disturbance and colder temperatures brought snow levels and bands of snow to lower elevations of west-central and central NM during the morning of March 17, 2023. These areas included the Santa Fe and Albuquerque metro areas. Several crashes caused road closures, including on I-25 and several state highways, resulting from snow producing low visibility. The highest snow accumulations of 1 to 2 feet were observed over the high terrain of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 15, 4:50 PM MST, 5 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 4:50 PM MST, 5 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
550 PM MDT Wed Mar 15 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 302 PM MDT Wed Mar 15 2023

A Pacific storm system and backdoor cold front will impact the
region through Friday with windy conditions initially, followed by
colder conditions with good chances for precipitation. Significant
snow accumulations are likely in the mountains through Friday,
especially across the northern mountains where a Winter Storm
Warning is in effect. Mostly rain is expected at the lower
elevations until Thursday night when some locales may see a change
over to wet snow. Chances for showers with below normal temperatures
will persist through the weekend. Winds will trend up next week in
advance of another Pacific storm system, forecast to impact the
state around mid week with good chances for precipitation and more
windy conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 302 PM MDT Wed Mar 15 2023

Unsettled weather is on the docket tonight as moisture out ahead of
an incoming trough helps to initiate rain and snow showers across
northern and central NM. Showers already visible on radar across
portions of western and northern NM this afternoon will spread
eastward into the overnight hours. Warm air currently prevailing
around the state will keep snow levels above 9000', keeping PTYPEs
more rain dominant and allowing snow to remain isolated to extreme
high terrain. This already occurring precipitation will get
reinforced tonight as forcing is aided by the incoming upper level
trough. Snow levels are expected to slowly fall during this time,
allowing accumulations to remain localized to the higher
elevations. Precipitation will spread eastward and reaching the
central mts into Thursday morning. A gusty backdoor cold front
will descend down the eastern plains and the subsequent
frontogenetic forcing will work to give rise to another round of
precipitation from the Sangre de Cristo Mts and eastward. Cold air
invades behind this front, allowing for snow levels to quickly
fall in its wake. With healthy PWATs and favorable forcing, did
opt to maintain the current Winter Storm Warning but also add
Winter Weather Advisories for the Upper Rio Grande Valley and
Johnson/Bartlett Mesas, including Raton Pass.

Gusty winds will continue overnight thanks to the help of turbulent
mixing and strong winds aloft. The central mts will maintain windy
conditions well into Thursday morning before tapering off.

The trough flattens in its exit to the Great Plains Thursday night,
and bitter cold air is left in its wake. Freezing temperatures are
expected areawide with locales seeing minimum temperatures anywhere
from 5 to 25 degrees cooler than Wednesday night's readings.
Residual moisture and the potential orographic forcing will allow
light high terrain snow to persist along the central mts. As the
backdoor cold front surges westward, east winds are expected to
fill through the canyon caps. Wind gusts of 35 to 40 kts will be
possible late Thursday night into Friday morning in and around the
ABQ metro.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 302 PM MDT Wed Mar 15 2023

By Friday morning, the backdoor cold front will have progressed to
the Continental Divide and snow levels will have lowered to valley
floors, including the Albuquerque Metro. A trailing shortwave trough
is forecast to move east across the area Friday and interact with
remaining and weakening forcing from the backdoor front to bring
another round of snow. The Winter Storm Warning may need to be
extended through Friday for the northern mountains. Otherwise, snow
Friday across the Albuquerque and Santa Fe Metros should be mostly
nuisance-type with accumulations ranging from a trace to an inch or
so and will likely not be advisory worthy. Otherwise, Friday will be
relatively cold with highs forecast to be 15-25 degrees below
normal. Unsettled and relatively cold will be the weather theme for
the weekend, with high temperatures forecast to continue at 15-25
degrees below normal. The signal for precipitation this weekend is
on the downtrend from yesterday's model runs to today's while the
12Z GFS and ECMWF are at odd with the timing and placement of a
passing shortwave trough. Have trimmed PoPs for the weekend compared
to the previous forecast cycle, but sufficient Pacific moisture will
remain for showers.

Backing and increasing flow aloft is forecast early next week with
Pacific moisture back on the uptrend as an upper level trough/low
hits the west coast and progresses eastward toward the southern
Rockies by mid week. The 12Z GFS and ECMWF are once again at odds
with the timing and placement of the approaching trough next week,
but as trend toward windier and wetter conditions by mid week looks
to be a solid bet. At this time, Wednesday of next week looks to be
the most impactful day, with strong winds and mountain snow.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM MDT Wed Mar 15 2023

Rain and high elevation snow showers will persist near and along
the Central Mountain Chain early this evening. Another round of
showers will begin this evening across western NM before expanding
eastward through Thursday morning. Snow levels will lower
somewhat, but rain will continue to be the dominant precipitation
type at TAF sites, though snow may mix in at KGUP in the morning.
Cigs and/or vsbys will lower into MVFR or IFR if they haven't
already done so. A strong backdoor front will push into the
northeast plains Thursday morning before sliding southward through
the day Thursday. Precipitation will fill in behind the front,
with snow favoring areas from east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo
Mountains, to KRTN and KCAO, and rain favoring areas further
south. MVFR to IFR cigs are expected here as well. Behind the
backdoor front, northerly wind gusts near 35kts will be likely,
while ahead of the front, westerly winds with gusts btw 25 and
35kts will be common.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 302 PM MDT Wed Mar 15 2023

No critical fire weather conditions are expected for the next seven
days. A wet and unsettled pattern is expected to persist for the
next several days. Rain and high elevation snow west of the central
mountains will spread eastward overnight persisting through Friday
morning. A gusty backdoor cold front will descend into the eastern
plains Friday morning, with much cooler air filtering in behind.
Multiple rounds of precipitation are expected with short intervals
of somewhat quiet weather expected between systems on Friday and
Tuesday. Minimum RH values are expected to improve alongside cooler
temperatures. Ventilation will be good to excellent in areas
tomorrow before trending fair to poor throughout the rest of the
forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  35  50  23  45 /  90  50   5   5
Dulce...........................  29  46  16  39 /  90  70  40  20
Cuba............................  33  46  21  37 /  80  60  30  20
Gallup..........................  34  47  20  44 /  90  30  10  20
El Morro........................  32  43  23  41 /  90  40  30  30
Grants..........................  32  51  20  40 /  70  30  30  30
Quemado.........................  32  47  26  44 /  90  30  20  20
Magdalena.......................  37  53  24  40 /  70  30  30  30
Datil...........................  33  48  25  41 /  80  30  30  30
Reserve.........................  33  54  26  51 /  90  20  10  10
Glenwood........................  40  55  34  55 /  90  20   5   5
Chama...........................  28  40  12  32 /  90  90  60  40
Los Alamos......................  36  45  24  35 /  90  70  60  30
Pecos...........................  35  44  18  34 /  80  80  80  30
Cerro/Questa....................  37  41  18  32 /  70  90  80  30
Red River.......................  27  35   8  28 /  80 100  80  30
Angel Fire......................  29  34   1  29 /  80 100  90  30
Taos............................  33  44  14  35 /  70  90  70  20
Mora............................  33  41  11  32 /  60  90  70  30
Espanola........................  37  52  24  40 /  80  80  60  30
Santa Fe........................  36  46  23  35 /  90  80  70  30
Santa Fe Airport................  35  50  21  38 /  90  70  60  30
Albuquerque Foothills...........  42  53  27  42 /  80  60  50  30
Albuquerque Heights.............  41  56  28  44 /  80  50  40  30
Albuquerque Valley..............  40  59  25  46 /  80  40  40  30
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  40  57  27  44 /  80  40  40  30
Belen...........................  40  61  24  47 /  80  40  40  30
Bernalillo......................  40  56  26  44 /  80  50  50  30
Bosque Farms....................  39  60  22  46 /  80  40  40  30
Corrales........................  40  57  26  44 /  80  50  50  30
Los Lunas.......................  39  60  24  46 /  80  40  40  30
Placitas........................  40  52  26  40 /  80  60  50  30
Rio Rancho......................  40  56  27  43 /  80  50  40  30
Socorro.........................  41  63  27  48 /  70  30  30  30
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  37  47  22  36 /  80  70  60  50
Tijeras.........................  37  50  24  39 /  80  70  60  40
Edgewood........................  35  49  20  37 /  80  70  60  50
Moriarty/Estancia...............  34  51  17  38 /  70  60  60  40
Clines Corners..................  34  46  16  34 /  60  70  70  50
Mountainair.....................  36  52  20  38 /  80  60  60  40
Gran Quivira....................  37  53  20  38 /  80  60  60  40
Carrizozo.......................  44  58  27  45 /  70  60  50  20
Ruidoso.........................  39  51  19  39 /  70  70  50  30
Capulin.........................  26  34  11  34 /  20  90  30  10
Raton...........................  30  38  11  37 /  30  90  40  20
Springer........................  32  41  13  40 /  10  80  40  10
Las Vegas.......................  34  42  14  34 /  30  80  60  30
Clayton.........................  31  38  16  40 /  10  80  10   0
Roy.............................  34  41  16  38 /  10  80  30   5
Conchas.........................  41  50  22  45 /  10  90  30   5
Santa Rosa......................  40  50  23  42 /  20  70  40  10
Tucumcari.......................  41  50  20  44 /  10  80  10   0
Clovis..........................  44  55  23  45 /  10  50  10   0
Portales........................  46  58  23  47 /  10  40  20   0
Fort Sumner.....................  44  57  24  46 /  20  50  30   5
Roswell.........................  50  69  31  51 /  10  20  20  10
Picacho.........................  45  62  24  44 /  30  30  40  10
Elk.............................  42  60  21  42 /  40  40  20  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 7 PM MDT this evening for NMZ230>232-234.

Winter Storm Warning until 6 AM MDT Friday for NMZ210-211-
213>215.

Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Thursday to 6 AM MDT Friday
for NMZ216-227.

Wind Advisory until 6 AM MDT Thursday for NMZ226-240.

&&

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...34

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 15, 6:54 PM MST, 3 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
754 PM MDT WED MAR 15 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW RUIDOSO           33.35N 105.69W
03/15/2023  M63 MPH          LINCOLN            NM   MESONET

            MESONET STATION COPN5 RUIDOSO 1 NNW (SMOKEY
            BEAR).

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

11 heavy snow, 1 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Jemez Mountains

When
March 15, 10:00 PM MST to March 17, 11:00 AM MST
Where
Jemez Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
36.023, -106.622 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted the western high terrain of the Jemez Mountains where the Vacas Locas SNOTEL measured 11 inches of snow.

Heavy Snow, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
March 15, 10:00 PM MST to March 17, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
36.592, -105.139 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted the zone, highlighted by an estimated 21 inches of snow at the Taos Powderhorn SNOTEL. There were various reports of 7 to 18 inches of snow across the zone.

Heavy Snow, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
March 15, 10:00 PM MST to March 17, 9:00 AM MST
Where
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
36.115, -105.451 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted much of the southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains. The Rio Santa Barbara SNOTEL measured 17 inches of snow. There were various other reports of 8 to 14 inches of snow throughout the zone.

Heavy Snow, Tusas Mountains Including Chama

When
March 15, 10:00 PM MST to March 17, 11:00 AM MST
Where
Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow reaching 10 inches was measured by a SNOTEL in the area.

Heavy Snow, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains

When
March 16, 12:00 AM MST to March 17, 9:00 AM MST
Where
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
36.032, -104.803 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted the eastern edge of the zone. There were various reports of 12 to 21 inches of snow stretching from Rociada to Chacon to the Moreno Valley. The heavy snow also caused road closures on U.S. Highway 64 and State Highways 120 and 434.

Heavy Snow, Upper Rio Grande Valley

When
March 16, 2:00 PM MST to March 17, 6:00 AM MST
Where
Upper Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted parts of the Upper Rio Grande Valley. There were various reports of 5 to 9 inches of snow from Taos to San Cristobal and near the Rio Grande Gorge.

Heavy Snow, Northeast Highlands

When
March 16, 2:00 PM MST to March 17, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Northeast Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
35.480, -104.816 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted a limited section of the zone along I-25 south of Las Vegas. There were two reports of 10 to 12 inches of snow in these areas.

Heavy Snow, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass

When
March 16, 3:07 PM MST to March 17, 11:00 AM MST
Where
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
35.494, -105.396 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow and hazardous driving conditions impacted most of the zone. There were various reports of 10 to 12.8 inches of snow along I-25 from Glorieta to Ilfeld.

Heavy Snow, Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood

When
March 16, 7:00 PM MST to March 17, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.121, -106.434 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted the East Mountain Communities. There were various reports of 4 to 8 inches of snow with a locally high amount of 10 inches near Golden.

Winter Storm, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass

When
March 16, 10:00 PM MST to 11:00 PM MST
Where
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass forecast zone
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
35.494, -105.396 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

NMDOT reported a crash on I-25 at mile marker 322 south of Las Vegas that closed the interstate.

Heavy Snow, Northwest Highlands

When
March 17, 1:00 AM MST to 6:00 AM MST
Where
Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
36.072, -107.535 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted an isolated section of the zone where the Torreon Navajo Mission COOP station measured 7 inches of snow.

Heavy Snow, Santa Fe Metro Area

When
March 17, 2:00 AM MST to 11:00 AM MST
Where
Santa Fe Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
35.416, -106.504 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow impacted areas from Santa Fe Seton just southeast of Santa Fe proper down to Cerrillos. There were various reports of 4 to 11 inches of snow in these areas.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, March 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1077541, 1077545, 1077552, 1077840, 1077555, 1077587, 1077594, 1077543, 1077589, 1077603, 1077538, 1077576.