Unit 2 · Stability and instability

Air parcels and adiabatic cooling

Foundations · about 35 minutes · Published

Read first
Air pressure, Dew point and humidity
Key terms
Air parcel, Parcel method, Adiabatic process, Dry adiabatic lapse rate, Moist adiabatic lapse rate, Potential temperature, Lifted condensation level, Latent heat, Pseudoadiabatic process, Subsidence, Rain shadow, Foehn, Chinook, Santa Ana wind

Air that rises cools, and air that sinks warms, with no heater or refrigerator involved: the change comes from expansion and compression alone. That one fact explains why cumulus clouds have flat bases, why mountains are wetter on one side than the other, why a chinook can melt a foot of snow in an afternoon, and, in the lessons that follow, why some air keeps rising into a thunderstorm. This lesson follows a single sample of air up and down, from the first law of thermodynamics to the 9.8 °C per kilometer every forecaster knows, the slower rate inside a cloud, and the cloud base you can compute from a surface observation, checked against nearly 14,000 real ones.

Rows of cumulus clouds over a dirt road between Kansas fields, their dark flat bases all at about the same height.
Cloud bases at one level. Cumulus over Everest, Kansas, June 10, 1986. Each cloud is air that rose from the ground, cooled, and began to condense at the same height, the lifted condensation level. That afternoon's cloud base is computed from a surface observation later in this lesson. Photo: Stephen Corfidi, NOAA, public domain.[9]
In this lesson

What an air parcel is

The atmosphere is continuous, with no edges to follow. To reason about air that moves up or down, meteorologists imagine a piece of it. The American Meteorological Society defines an air parcel as "an imaginary volume of air to which may be assigned any or all of the basic dynamic and thermodynamic properties of atmospheric air." It is large enough to hold a very great number of molecules and small enough that its properties are roughly uniform inside it. The glossary declines to give it a size, then offers one: "a cubic foot of air might fit well into most contexts where air parcels are discussed, particularly those related to static stability."[1]

Following a parcel is the parcel method, in the AMS's words a way of testing for instability "in which a displacement is made from a steady state under the assumption that only the parcel or parcels displaced are affected, the environment remaining unchanged." In its familiar vertical form, "the parcel displaced is assumed to undergo adiabatic temperature changes," and the contrast between its temperature and the unchanged air around it decides whether it keeps going.[1] Spelled out, the method assumes four things:

  1. No heat crosses the parcel's boundary. Air conducts heat poorly: the FAA's Aviation Weather Handbook notes that air "has low thermal conductivity," so heat transfer by conduction "is negligibly small."[3]
  2. No air mixes in or out. The parcel keeps its own mass and its own water vapor.
  3. Its pressure always equals the pressure around it. Pressure adjusts far faster than air rises, so a parcel lifted to 700 hPa is at 700 hPa.
  4. The surrounding air does not respond. The environment is the same before and after the parcel moves.

None of these is exactly true, and the last section says where they fail. Together they make the problem one that can be solved with a pencil, and they are what every line on a skew-T diagram assumes.

Why rising air cools

Pressure falls with height, by about half in the lowest 5.5 km. A parcel that rises therefore finds less pressure around it and expands until its own pressure matches. The question is what the expansion does to its temperature, and the answer is the first law of thermodynamics.

The AMS states the law this way: "The total internal energy U of an isolated system is constant." A system that is not isolated can change its internal energy in two ways: "working (a force exerted through a distance) and heating (energy exchange by virtue of a temperature difference between the system and its surroundings)."[1] For a gas, internal energy is temperature. In words, then: the change in a parcel's temperature equals the heat it receives minus the work it does on its surroundings.

An adiabatic process is "a process in which there is no exchange of heat or mass with the environment," so that "a change in internal energy is solely a consequence of work." And: "For an ideal gas and most atmospheric conditions, compression results in warming, whereas expansion results in cooling."[1] A rising parcel expands, pushing back the air around it; the energy for that push comes out of its own internal energy, and it cools. The FAA handbook puts it in one line: the expansion "requires energy (or work), which takes heat away from the parcel, so the air cools as it rises."[3]

Lifted to Pressure, hPa Temperature, °C Volume, times the start
The ground100020.01.00
1 km88810.21.09
3 km692−9.31.30
5.5 km493−33.61.66
10 km243−77.52.75

The table follows a parcel of dry air lifted from 20 °C at 1000 hPa (computed here; see Methods). By 5.5 km it has fallen to about half the pressure, grown by two thirds, and cooled by more than 50 °C, without losing any heat to anything. Real rising air usually saturates long before that; the rest of this lesson is about what happens then.

The dry adiabatic lapse rate

How fast does the rising parcel cool? Three steps give the answer, and each is a sentence before it is an equation.

  1. The first law, with no heat. For a parcel of air at constant pressure the heat needed to warm it 1 degree is its specific heat, cp. With no heat added, the law becomes cp dT = (1/ρ) dp: any change in temperature is paid for by the change in pressure, weighted by the air's volume per kilogram, 1/ρ.
  2. Hydrostatic balance. Pressure falls with height by the weight of the air: dp = −ρ g dz, where g is gravity. The AMS notes that for weather-scale motion the error in this hydrostatic equation is "less than 0.01%."[1]
  3. Put them together. The density cancels: cp dT = −g dz, so dT/dz = −g/cp. The rate does not depend on the parcel's temperature, its pressure or where it is.

The AMS defines the dry-adiabatic lapse rate as "the rate of decrease of temperature with height of a parcel of dry air lifted by a reversible adiabatic process through an atmosphere in hydrostatic equilibrium," equal to g/cpd, "approximately 9.8°C km⁻¹."[1] With g = 9.807 m/s² and cp = 1,005.7 J/(kg·K), the value the site's code uses, it is 9.75 °C per kilometer; with cp = 1,004 it is 9.77. The FAA gives the aviation form, "approximately 3 °C per 1,000 ft (9.8 °C per km)"; in Fahrenheit it is 5.4 °F per 1,000 feet.[3]

"Dry" here means unsaturated, not free of water vapor. The AMS lists a separate moist-unsaturated rate for air containing vapor, which differs from the dry one by a factor that depends on the mixing ratio.[1] The difference is small: for very humid tropical air holding 20 grams of vapor per kilogram, the rate works out to 9.6 °C per kilometer instead of 9.75 (computed here). Forecasters use 9.8 for all unsaturated air.

The process runs both ways. The FAA handbook: "This process is reversible if the parcel remains unsaturated," and a descending parcel "compresses as it moves into an area of higher pressure. The atmosphere surrounding the parcel does work on the parcel," warming it at the same 9.8 °C per kilometer.[3] Unsaturated air lifted 2 km and brought back down returns to exactly its starting temperature.

Potential temperature

Because the dry rate is fixed, every unsaturated parcel carries a label that does not change as it rises or sinks: the temperature it would have if brought to a standard pressure. That label is the potential temperature, written θ (theta): "the temperature that an unsaturated parcel of dry air would have if brought adiabatically and reversibly from its initial state to a standard pressure, p₀, typically 100 kPa," which is 1000 hPa.[1]

It is computed from the temperature T in kelvins and the pressure p as θ = T (1000/p)κ, the Poisson equation. The exponent κ is the ratio of the gas constant to the specific heat, "often assumed to be 2/7," or 0.286.[1] Two examples show why it is useful.

On a thermodynamic diagram every dry adiabat is "a line of constant potential temperature," which is why the AMS also calls it an isentrope.[1] A layer whose potential temperature is the same from bottom to top has exactly the dry adiabatic lapse rate; a layer whose potential temperature rises with height is stable to dry air, the first idea of the next lesson. Potential temperature is also a tracer: two samples of unsaturated air with the same θ could be the same air, one lifted or lowered. The chinook section uses exactly that.

Where the cloud begins

As a parcel rises, its dew point falls too, but more slowly. Its water vapor content, the mixing ratio, does not change while it is unsaturated, but the vapor's share of the falling pressure does, and the dew point follows it down. The FAA handbook gives the rate: "the dewpoint decreases approximately 0.5 °C per 1,000 ft (1.8 °C per km)."[3] The temperature falls 9.8 per kilometer and the dew point 1.8, so the gap between them, the dew point depression, closes by about 8 °C per kilometer. Where it reaches zero the parcel is saturated and cloud begins.

That height is the lifted condensation level, the LCL: "the level at which a parcel of moist air lifted dry-adiabatically would become saturated."[1] Every parcel that rises from the same surface air saturates at the same height, which is why a field of fair-weather cumulus, like the one in the photograph at the top of this page, has bases in a flat line.

00.511.522.5101520253035Temperature, °CHeight above the ground, kmReported cloud base: 4,000 ft (1,219 m)30.6 °CDew point 21.1 °CComputed LCL: 1,194 m (3,917 ft), 18.9 °CTemperature: −9.8 °C per kmDew point: −1.8 °C per kmIn cloud: the saturated rate
The cloud base in the photograph, computed. At 2 pm CDT on June 10, 1986, the afternoon of the photograph, Topeka, Kansas, about 70 km south of Everest, reported 87 °F (30.6 °C) with a dew point of 70 °F (21.1 °C) and a broken cloud layer at 4,000 feet. Lifted from the ground, that air cools along the dry adiabat while its dew point falls 1.8 °C per kilometer; the two meet 1,194 m (3,917 ft) up, within 25 m of the reported base. Computed here from the surface observation.[6]

The time of the photograph is not recorded, and Topeka is not Everest, so the match is illustration rather than proof. The next section tests the same calculation on nearly 14,000 observations.

The 125 meter rule, tested

Since the spread closes at about 8 °C per kilometer, each degree of dew point depression at the ground is worth about 1/8 km of height. The University of British Columbia's course notes by Roland Stull give the rule: "A quick way to estimate height (zLCL) of the LCL is: zLCL = a (T – Td) where a = 0.125 km / degC," a height above the ground.[4] A temperature of 30 °C and a dew point of 20 °C gives a cloud base near 1,250 m.

Two questions follow: how close is the rule to the exact LCL, and how close is the LCL to real cloud bases? Automated airport stations report both halves. Their ceilometers measure the height of cloud passing overhead, and every report carries the temperature and dew point. From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive, this lesson took the routine hourly reports from Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma between June 1 and August 31, 2024, for 19 to 22 UTC, about 2 to 5 pm in the Central time zone, whose lowest cloud layer was few or scattered and which reported no precipitation or other weather: 13,854 reports from 156 stations of the kind of sky in the photograph.[6]

012340481216202428Temperature minus dew point at the ground, °CHeight above the ground, kmReported cloud bases:median and middle half
Table: reported cloud base and computed LCL by dew point depression, meters
Dew point depression, °CReportsReported base, medianMiddle halfComputed LCL, median
0 to 2110701274 to 1,676148
2 to 4286701457 to 1,524406
4 to 6682792640 to 1,372641
6 to 81,3611,006853 to 1,311899
8 to 101,8941,2501,097 to 1,4631,135
10 to 122,5151,4631,311 to 1,6761,394
12 to 142,2711,6761,524 to 1,8291,644
14 to 161,6521,8291,676 to 2,1341,889
16 to 181,2152,1341,981 to 2,4382,126
18 to 207772,2862,134 to 2,7432,380
20 to 225082,5912,438 to 2,8962,627
22 to 242922,8962,591 to 3,0482,859
24 to 261393,0482,896 to 3,6583,112
26 to 28813,3533,048 to 3,6583,345
Reported cloud bases against the computed cloud base. The 13,854 reports grouped by the dew point depression at the ground in 2 °C bins. Blue: the median reported base and, shaded, the middle half of the reports. Orange: the median LCL computed from the same reports. Dashed: 125 m per °C. From a dew point depression of 6 °C upward the median reported base is within 114 m of the computed LCL in every bin. Computed here from Iowa Environmental Mesonet data.[6]

The rule and the exact calculation are nearly indistinguishable: across the reports, the rule's height is a median 99 percent of the exact LCL, and 90 percent of the time between 98 and 100 percent. Against what the ceilometers saw, the computed LCL does well where the spread is 6 °C or more, which is most dry-season and summer afternoons on the Plains. Where the spread is small the medians separate: the computed base is a few hundred meters, but the reported lowest layer sits near 700 m, and the middle half of the reports spans more than a kilometer. The lowest reported layer is whatever cloud was overhead, not necessarily a cumulus from the ground, and on very humid afternoons, when few such reports exist, that matters more. Across all the reports, 79 percent of reported bases were within 500 m of the computed LCL and 68 percent within 300 m.

The rule is for cumulus that form from air heated at the ground. It says nothing about stratus under an inversion, clouds aloft, or cloud formed where one air mass slides over another.

Inside the cloud: the moist rate

Above the LCL the parcel keeps rising and keeps cooling, but now its cooling condenses vapor into cloud droplets, and condensation releases heat. The AMS entry on latent heat: "When the temperature of a system of dry air and water vapor is lowered to the dewpoint and water vapor condenses, the enthalpy released by the vapor heats the air–vapor–liquid system, reducing or eliminating the rate of temperature reduction."[1] The amount is large. Condensing 1 gram of vapor per kilogram of air releases enough heat to warm that air by about 2.5 °C (the latent heat of vaporization, 2.5 million joules per kilogram, divided by the specific heat; computed here).

The rising saturated parcel therefore cools at the moist adiabatic lapse rate, also called the saturated rate: "the rate of decrease of temperature with height along a moist adiabat."[1] Unlike the dry rate it is not a constant. In warm air a kilometer of lift condenses a lot of vapor and releases a lot of heat; in cold air there is little vapor left to condense, and the rate approaches the dry one. The FAA handbook gives the range: from "approximately 1.2 °C per 1,000 ft (4 °C per km) for very warm saturated parcels to 3 °C per 1,000 ft (9.8 °C per km) for very cold saturated parcels."[3]

024681012−60−40−2002040Temperature, °CHeight, kmFrom 30 °C, near the ground:dry 9.8, saturated 3.5 °C per kmFrom 0 °C, at 8 km:dry 9.8, saturated 9.7 °C per km
Table: temperature of lifted air at 5 km, °C
Starting temperatureDry, at 5 kmSaturated, at 5 kmDifferenceDifference at 10 km
30 °C-18.811.530.255.4
20 °C-28.8-4.424.335.7
10 °C-38.8-22.616.118.9
0 °C-48.8-408.89.3
Dry and saturated air lifted from the same temperatures. Orange, unsaturated air from 30, 20, 10 and 0 °C at the ground: straight lines, all at 9.8 °C per kilometer. Blue, saturated air from the same temperatures. From 30 °C, saturated air cools only 3.5 °C in its first kilometer and is still 11.5 °C at 5 km, 30 °C warmer than dry air from the same start. From 0 °C there is little vapor to condense: the saturated line is 9 °C warmer than the dry one at 5 km and, by 8 km, cools at 9.7 °C per kilometer, almost the dry rate. Computed here.

The rate depends on temperature most and on pressure second. At the same temperature, saturated air at lower pressure holds more vapor per kilogram of air, condenses more as it rises and cools a little more slowly. The table gives the rate at four levels, over the temperatures each commonly has.

345678910−40−30−20−100102030Temperature of the saturated air, °CCooling rate, °C per kmDry rate1000 hPa850700500
Table: saturated adiabatic lapse rate, °C per km
Pressure-40 °C-30 °C-20 °C-10 °C0 °C10 °C20 °C30 °C
1000 hPa9.59.28.67.76.55.24.23.5
850 hPa9.59.18.47.46.14.94
700 hPa9.498.27.15.84.6
500 hPa9.38.77.76.45.1
The saturated adiabatic lapse rate, by temperature and pressure. Computed here from the AMS glossary's expression, with no ice. Warm saturated air near sea level cools 3.5 °C per kilometer at 30 °C and 5.2 °C per kilometer at 10 °C; at −40 °C the rate is 9.3 to 9.5 at every level, close to the dry rate of 9.75.[1]
Saturated rate, °C per km −20 °C 0 °C 10 °C 20 °C 30 °C
1000 hPa, near sea level8.66.55.24.23.5
850 hPa, about 1.5 km8.46.14.94.0
700 hPa, about 3 km8.25.84.6
500 hPa, about 5.5 km7.75.1

This is the root of thunderstorm energy. A saturated parcel stays warmer than dry air lifted the same distance, and in the middle troposphere it can end up warmer than the air around it, which the temperature profile on a real day usually cools at somewhere between the two rates. Whether it does is the subject of Lapse rates and stability, and how much warmer, measured as energy, is CAPE.

Where the water goes

The moist rate depends on what happens to the condensed water, and the AMS distinguishes two limits. In a pseudoadiabatic process, "the liquid water that condenses is assumed to be removed as soon as it is formed, by idealized instantaneous precipitation." In a reversible moist-adiabatic process the water is carried along with the parcel, "so that subsequent compression occurs with moist-adiabatic warming, leading to the original state," which "can only happen if the condensed water drops are small enough to have negligible fallout velocities."[1]

For the lapse rate itself the choice hardly matters: the AMS gives the pseudoadiabatic rate as "usually within 1 percent" of the others. It matters a great deal for what happens next. "The pseudoadiabatic process is only defined for expansion, since a parcel that is compressed after such expansion will follow the dry-adiabatic lapse rate."[1] Air that has rained out its water and then sinks warms at 9.8 °C per kilometer all the way down, and arrives warmer than it started. That asymmetry is the rest of this lesson.

The saturated adiabats printed on thermodynamic diagrams, including the skew-T, are drawn for the pseudoadiabatic process.[1] Freezing adds one more complication: when most of the condensed water is ice, the AMS notes that the latent heat of vaporization in the expression may be "replaced by the latent heat of sublimation," which is larger by the heat of freezing.[1] The figures and tables here, like most charts, leave ice out.

Sinking air warms

Everything above runs in reverse for sinking air, with one difference: sinking air is almost never saturated for long. Compression warms it, its dew point rises only 1.8 °C per kilometer, and within a short descent it is unsaturated. The FAA handbook: "A descending saturated air parcel quickly becomes unsaturated," after which its temperature-dew point spread and relative humidity fall steadily.[3]

Air sinking over a broad area is subsidence, and the AMS notes that because downslope flow produces subsidence, downslope winds "experience warming, drying, increasing stability, and clearing if clouds are present."[1] The numbers are large even for a modest descent. Air at 1,500 m with a temperature of 15 °C and a relative humidity of 50 percent, brought down to the ground without gaining or losing any water, arrives at 29.6 °C and 25 percent humidity (computed here). This is why high pressure, where air sinks over wide areas, brings clear skies, and why the subsidence inversion tops so many layers of haze and marine stratus.

Over a mountain

Put the rising and sinking together over a mountain range and the two rates stop canceling. On the windward side the air rises, cools to its LCL, and then rises in cloud at the slower saturated rate, losing water as rain or snow. On the lee side it sinks, dry, at the full 9.8 °C per kilometer.

01234050100150200Distance, kmHeight, kmCloud and rainStart, sea level20 °C, dew point 14 °CHumidity 68%Cloud base 755 m12.6 °CCrest 3,000 m: 1 °C4.2 g/kg of 10.1 rained outLee side, sea level30.8 °C, dew point 6.2 °CHumidity 21%Sinking: +9.8 °C per km
Table: the parcel at each stage
StageHeight, mPressure, hPaTemperature, °CDew point, °CRelative humidity, %Water vapor, g/kg
Start, windward0100020146810.1
Cloud base (LCL)755915.212.612.610010.1
Crest3,000696.9111005.9
Lee side0100030.86.2215.9
One parcel over a 3,000 m range. It starts at sea level at 20 °C with a dew point of 14 °C and 68 percent humidity, forms cloud at 755 m, and rises in cloud to the crest, where it is 1 °C. Of its 10.1 grams of water vapor per kilogram, 4.2 have condensed and, in this idealized case, fallen out on the windward slope. Down the lee side it warms at the dry rate and reaches sea level at 30.8 °C, with a dew point of 6.2 °C and 21 percent humidity: nearly 11 °C warmer than it started, about 2.5 °C for each gram per kilogram of water it left behind. Idealized; computed here.

The FAA handbook works the same exercise with rounded rates, a parcel of 15 °C and a 10 °C dew point at 2,000 feet lifted over a 12,000-foot summit, and ends "with a temperature of 23 °C, dewpoint of −2 °C, and a relative humidity of 33 percent at 2,000 ft, much warmer and drier than at the beginning."[3] The pattern holds at every scale. The AMS defines a rain shadow as "a region of sharply reduced precipitation on the lee side of an orographic barrier," where "the sinking air warms, dries, and becomes more stable, suppressing precipitation," and gives three examples:

BarrierWindwardLee
Ghats, western IndiaMore than 600 cm a year60 cm or less
Island of HawaiiUp to 450 cmLess than 100 cm
Sierra NevadaMost of the moisture falls on the western slopesThe Great Basin desert

Source: the AMS glossary, "rain shadow."[1] The FAA handbook gives the Pacific Northwest as its example: the Cascade Range makes the western slopes "exceptionally cloudy" and rainy, while "semiarid weather characterizes the eastern slopes and areas farther east."[3]

Chinook and foehn

When the air that crosses a range comes down onto cold air on the other side, the lee warming can be sudden. The AMS defines the foehn as "a warm, dry, downslope wind descending the lee side of the Alps as a result of synoptic-scale, cross-barrier flow over the mountain range." Its air "originates at or above the main crest height" and "achieves its warmth and dryness as a result of adiabatic descent," and when it replaces cold air it can produce "dramatic temperature rises that reach 10°C and occasionally even 20°C or more, sometimes in a matter of minutes."[2]

The North American form is the chinook, "especially on the plains to the lee or eastern side of the Rocky Mountains in the United States and Canada." It often "begins to blow at the surface as an arctic front retreats to the east." The glossary's numbers: "Jumps of 10°–20°C can occur in 15 minutes, and at Havre, Montana, a jump from -12° to +5°C in 3 minutes was recorded." Its most important effect "is to melt or sublimate snow: A foot of snow may disappear in a few hours."[2] A chinook is often announced by the chinook arch, a band of wave cloud with a sharp western edge over the mountains that "often presages a chinook."[2]

A 1975 illustration of wind blowing from left to right over a snowy mountain: a cloud with rain on the windward summit at 14,000 feet and 4 degrees Fahrenheit, and a red arrow labeled chinook wind, adiabatic heating 5 and a half degrees per 1,000 feet, descending to clear and dry conditions at 3,000 feet and 64.5 degrees.
The chinook as pilots were taught it in 1975. Air at 14,000 feet and 4 °F descends 11,000 feet at 5½ °F per 1,000 feet and arrives at 64.5 °F. From the FAA and National Weather Service's Aviation Weather, AC 00-6A, chapter 6, figure 41. Public domain.[8]

Loma, Montana, January 1972

The largest 24-hour temperature change on record in the United States was a chinook. In the words of the National Climatic Data Center's report: "On January 14th-15th, 1972, a National Weather Service cooperative observer site located in Loma, Montana recorded a 103F temperature change (-54F to 49F) within twenty-four hours, thereby breaking the previous national record of 100F set on January 23-24th, 1916 in Browning, Montana." The record was not recognized until 2002, when the National Climate Extremes Committee evaluated it at the request of the Great Falls office; in 1972 the change had been set aside because it spanned two calendar days.[5]

The airports on either side of Loma kept regular records through the event: Great Falls, about 80 km to the southwest, and Havre, about 90 km to the northeast.

−40−30−20−10010Jan. 13NoonJan. 14NoonJan. 15NoonJan. 16January 1972, MSTTemperature, °CGreat FallsHavre−34.4 °C
Table: Great Falls, every report
Time, MSTTemperature, °FTemperature, °CWind from, °Speed, kt
1972-01-13 02:00-23-30.630013
1972-01-13 05:00-23-30.63006
1972-01-13 08:00-26-32.23006
1972-01-13 11:00-23-30.62108
1972-01-13 14:00-20-28.92203
1972-01-13 17:00-22-301203
1972-01-13 20:00-22-30502
1972-01-13 23:00-30-34.42409
1972-01-14 02:00-30-34.42308
1972-01-14 05:00-30-34.42303
1972-01-14 08:00-29-33.92305
1972-01-14 11:00-18-27.82207
1972-01-14 14:005-1522014
1972-01-14 17:0017-8.322023
1972-01-14 20:0024-4.422020
1972-01-14 23:0026-3.322022
1972-01-15 02:0028-2.223025
1972-01-15 05:0032022027
1972-01-15 08:00330.622029
1972-01-15 11:00393.923034
1972-01-15 14:00393.922030
1972-01-15 17:00436.124034
1972-01-15 20:0041523028
1972-01-15 23:00404.422028
The chinook of January 1972 reaches Great Falls, then Havre. At Great Falls the temperature held at −30 °F (−34.4 °C) through the early morning of January 14, then rose to 5 °F (−15 °C) by 2 pm and 33 °F (0.6 °C) by 8 am the next day, with southwest winds of 14 to 29 knots. Havre stayed in arctic air, as cold as −35 °F (−37.2 °C), for another day: at 11 am on January 15 it was 1 °F (−17.2 °C) with a light northwest wind, and at noon 36 °F (2.2 °C) with a southwest wind of 24 knots, a rise of 35 °F in one hour. Great Falls reported every three hours at the time. Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive.[6]

Great Falls, February 2008: the same air, lowered

A chinook can be traced with potential temperature. On February 10, 2008, Great Falls had a shallow layer of arctic air at the ground, and the morning weather balloon measured it: −21.9 °C at the surface, and above a sharp inversion 470 m up, air at 2.0 °C. By mid-afternoon a chinook had replaced the arctic air at the ground.

Temperature at Great Falls, °C−25−20−15−10−50510Mid.6 amNoon6 pmMid.6 amFebruary 10 to 11, 2008, MST−15.6 °C, 11 am7.2 °C, 3 pm
Potential temperature, °C00.511.522.5−1001020θ, °CHeight above the ground, km5 am: arctic air5 pm16.6 °C at 471 mat 5 am
Table: the two Great Falls soundings, lowest 2.6 km
Pressure, hPaHeight above ground, mTemperature, °CPotential temperature, °C
5 am MST (12 UTC)
8870-21.9-13.2
88151-22.1-12.9
876.688-22-12.4
861222-21.5-10.5
850320-8.73.9
847348-6.16.9
843385-0.912.7
842.2393-0.413.3
840414115
834471216.6
8245691.417
810.96980.817.7
793877018.7
780.51,003-0.919.1
751.11,307-3.219.8
722.71,612-5.520.5
7111,741-6.520.8
7001,863-7.121.4
642.12,527-10.924.4
5 pm MST (00 UTC Feb. 11)
88005.816.2
870.5886.417.7
8671216.618.2
8502815.218.4
806.96981.619
776.81,003-119.3
747.91,307-3.619.7
7361,435-4.719.8
719.61,612-5.920.4
7001,828-7.321.2
638.72,527-12.323.3
A chinook at Great Falls, Montana, February 10, 2008. Left: the temperature at the airport rose from −15.6 °C (4 °F) at 11 am to 7.2 °C (45 °F) at 3 pm MST, 12 °C of it in the first hour, as the wind turned from east to southwest. Right: potential temperature from the two soundings. At 5 am the arctic layer, about 220 m deep, has a potential temperature near −13 °C, and the air above the inversion 16.6 °C at 471 m. At 5 pm the arctic layer is gone and the air at the ground has a potential temperature of 16.2 °C: the air that had been above the inversion. Brought down dry-adiabatically from its morning level to the evening surface pressure, it would be 6.2 °C; the balloon measured 5.8 °C at the ground. Computed here from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet and University of Wyoming records.[6][7]

The evening sounding also shows the chinook's other signature. Its potential temperature rises less than 4 °C in the lowest 1.4 km, close to constant: the air near the ground has been mixed down from above and is lying on its dry adiabat. The warmth at the ground is not heat brought from somewhere warmer. It is air that was already there, 500 m up, compressed on its way down.

Santa Ana winds

Southern California's Santa Ana is a foehn without a rainy windward side. The AMS describes it as "a dry, foehnlike desert wind in southern California, generally blowing from the northeast or east," "driven by strong pressure gradients from an anticyclone over the Great Basin of the western United States." It "blows, often hot and sometimes with great force, from the deserts to the east of the Sierra Nevada Mountains," and "the combination of heat, dryness, and strong winds make it an especially hazardous fire weather condition." It "most frequently occurs in late fall and winter (October–March)."[2]

The air starts dry, over the high desert, and has no rain to lose. Its heating and drying come from the descent alone, from the Great Basin and the passes to the coastal basins near sea level: every kilometer of descent adds about 10 °C and, as the 1,500 m example above shows, can halve the relative humidity. That is why a Santa Ana can bring heat and very low humidity to the coast in autumn and winter, the combination behind its fire danger.

What the parcel leaves out

The parcel method is a model, and its assumptions fail in known ways.

With those caveats it remains the most useful single idea in the study of clouds and storms. The comparison between a lifted parcel and the air around it is how stability is defined, how CAPE and CIN are computed, and what a skew-T is drawn to show.

Check yourself

  1. Air at 25 °C is lifted, unsaturated, from the ground to 2 km. What is its temperature?

    Answer

    About 5.4 °C: it cools 9.8 °C per kilometer, so 19.6 °C in 2 km.

  2. Why does rising air cool even though no heat leaves it?

    Answer

    It expands into lower pressure and does work on the air around it. With no heat added, the energy for that work comes from its internal energy, so its temperature falls.

  3. The temperature at the ground is 28 °C and the dew point 16 °C. Where will the bases of afternoon cumulus be?

    Answer

    About 12 × 125 = 1,500 m above the ground (about 4,900 feet).

  4. Saturated air at 25 °C near sea level and saturated air at −30 °C at 500 hPa are both lifted 1 km. Which cools more, and why?

    Answer

    The cold air, at nearly 9 °C per kilometer against about 4 for the warm air. Warm air holds far more vapor, condenses more as it rises, and gains more latent heat to offset the cooling.

  5. Two samples of unsaturated air have the same potential temperature, one at 900 hPa and one at 700 hPa. Which is colder, and could they be the same air?

    Answer

    The sample at 700 hPa is colder, but they could be the same air: bring either dry-adiabatically to the other's pressure and it has the other's temperature.

  6. Air crosses a mountain range and descends to the same height on the other side. Why is it warmer and drier there?

    Answer

    On the way up it saturated and cooled at the slower moist rate, and the water it condensed fell out as rain or snow. On the way down it warmed at the full dry rate, with less water vapor than it started with. The latent heat released by the rain stays in the air.

  7. During a chinook, where does the warm air at the ground come from?

    Answer

    From aloft, at or above the height of the mountain crests. It warms by compression as it descends, about 10 °C per kilometer, and replaces the cold air that was at the ground.

Video

Dry and Moist Adiabatic Lapse Rates. Djordje Romanic, from his Fundamentals of Weather and Climate series.[10]
Dry and Moist Adiabatic Lapse Rates. Greg Fishel, The O’Fishel Weather Channel.[11]
How the chinook wind warms up weather in a hurry. 9NEWS, Denver.[12]

Methods

Every number marked "computed here" comes from WeatherOverTime's own code, which uses the same thermodynamics as the site's skew-T figures: saturation vapor pressure from Bolton (1980), mixing ratio 0.622 e/(p − e), g = 9.80665 m/s², cp = 1,005.7 J/(kg·K), R = 287.04 J/(kg·K) and a constant latent heat of 2.501 × 10⁶ J/kg. Parcels are followed in height: unsaturated air cools at exactly g/cp, saturated air at the AMS glossary's approximate moist-adiabatic lapse rate with condensate removed and no ice, and pressure is stepped hydrostatically with the parcel's own virtual temperature, as if it rose through air of its own temperature; the heights in the lifted-parcel table and the adiabat figure are for that idealized column. The moist-unsaturated rate uses cpv = 1,875 J/(kg·K). The mountain parcel returns down the lee side dry-adiabatically to its starting pressure.

Surface observations are from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport reports. Station pressure is computed from the altimeter setting and the station elevation. For the cloud base test, the LCL of each report is found by lifting the surface air to saturation and converting the pressure difference to height with the layer's mean temperature; reports were kept if they were routine hourly reports (made at 50 to 59 minutes past the hour) for 19 to 22 UTC, their lowest layer was few or scattered, and they carried no present weather. The soundings are the University of Wyoming's archive of the Great Falls, Montana (72776) radiosonde. The code and data are in the site's repository, under scripts/learn/.

The next lesson, Lapse rates and stability, compares the two adiabatic rates with the measured temperature profile to decide whether air rises on its own. How to read a skew-T diagram draws every line in this lesson on one chart. How clouds form and Dew point and humidity cover condensation and moisture from the ground up. Current temperatures and dew points for working out a cloud base are on the observations page, and in Storm Lab a parcel can be lifted through an observed sounding. Terms are in the glossary.

Sources

Quotations are verbatim from the source named. Figures marked "computed here" are described under Methods.

  1. American Meteorological Society, Glossary of Meteorology, entries air parcel, parcel method, first law of thermodynamics, adiabatic process, hydrostatic equation, adiabatic lapse rate (dry, moist-unsaturated and moist-adiabatic), potential temperature, dry adiabat, moist adiabat, lifting condensation level, latent heat, pseudoadiabatic process, pseudoadiabatic lapse rate, reversible moist-adiabatic process, subsidence, downslope wind and rain shadow.
  2. American Meteorological Society, Glossary of Meteorology, entries foehn, chinook, chinook arch and Santa Ana.
  3. Federal Aviation Administration, Aviation Weather Handbook, FAA-H-8083-28A, 2024: chapter 12, Vertical Motion and Clouds, sections 12.2 to 12.4.1 and table 12-1.
  4. Roland Stull, University of British Columbia, ATSC 113, Estimating Cloud Height, course notes.
  5. Scott Stephens, Michael Helfert, Grant Goodge, Andrew Horvitz, Kelly Redmond and Steve Running, A National Temperature Record at Loma, Montana, NOAA National Climatic Data Center.
  6. Iowa Environmental Mesonet, Iowa State University, ASOS/AWOS/METAR archive: Great Falls (GTF) and Havre (HVR), Montana, January 13 to 16, 1972; Great Falls, February 9 to 12, 2008; Topeka (TOP), Kansas, June 10, 1986; all stations in the Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma networks, June 1 to August 31, 2024.
  7. University of Wyoming, Department of Atmospheric Science, upper-air soundings: Great Falls, MT (72776), 12 UTC February 10 and 00 UTC February 11, 2008.
  8. Federal Aviation Administration and National Weather Service, Aviation Weather, AC 00-6A, 1975, chapter 6, figure 41, via Wikimedia Commons, public domain.
  9. Stephen Corfidi, NOAA/NWS/SPC, NOAA Photo Library image wea03320, Fair weather cumulus bands, Everest, Kansas, June 10, 1986, public domain.
  10. Djordje Romanic, Dry and Moist Adiabatic Lapse Rates | FWC CV.9, YouTube.
  11. The O’Fishel Weather Channel (Greg Fishel), Dry and Moist Adiabatic Lapse Rates, YouTube.
  12. 9NEWS, How 'Chinook wind' warms up weather in a hurry, YouTube.

Corrections: contact@weatherovertime.com.

Unit 2: Stability and instability

  1. Air parcels and adiabatic cooling

    Why rising air cools, at the dry rate and then the moist rate.

    Foundations35 min
  2. Lapse rates and stability

    Stable, unstable and conditionally unstable air, read from the temperature profile.

    Intermediate35 min
  3. CAPE, CIN and instability

    The energy for an updraft, the energy against one, and the three ways to lift a parcel.

    Intermediate35 min
  4. Inversions and the cap

    Radiation, subsidence and frontal inversions, and the elevated mixed layer.

    Intermediate35 min