Alert archive / Kentucky / Estill County
Weather alerts in Estill County, Kentucky, 2018
158 weather alerts in 2018, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Estill County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 158
- Warnings
- 27
- Watches
- 16
- Advisories
- 78
- Busiest month
- September23 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 31, 20189 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Estill County, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 8 | 6 | 25% | 5 | 100% | 14 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1 | 100% | 118 min |
Each office's whole area, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Jackson, KY: tornado warnings | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| NWS Jackson, KY: severe thunderstorm warnings | 94 | 60 | 36% | 174 | 79% | 18 min |
| NWS Jackson, KY: flash flood warnings | 49 | 25 | 49% | 57 | 67% | 66 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 3:55 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 34 hr |
| Jan 9, 2:13 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 8 hr |
| Jan 11, 2:57 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 39 hr |
| Jan 14, 3:05 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 55 hr |
| Jan 16, 10:04 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | JKL | 9 hr |
| Jan 22, 9:43 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 47 min |
| Jan 22, 10:28 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 47 min |
| Feb 1, 3:29 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 24 hr |
| Feb 4, 11:40 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Feb 6, 11:21 AM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 23 hr |
| Feb 7, 10:07 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Feb 9, 3:15 AM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 59 hr |
| Feb 9, 10:24 AM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 5 days |
| Feb 11, 7:21 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 48 hr |
| Feb 11, 3:31 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Feb 14, 6:13 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Feb 16, 9:43 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Feb 17, 10:32 AM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 68 hr |
| Feb 17, 10:41 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 36 hr |
| Feb 19, 9:32 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 63 hr |
| Feb 23, 3:44 AM EST | Flood Watch | JKL | 51 hr |
| Feb 24, 5:49 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Feb 24, 10:59 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Feb 25, 1:15 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 30 min |
| Feb 25, 4:59 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 71 hr |
| Mar 9, 2:28 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 29 hr |
| Mar 11, 4:41 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 33 hr |
| Mar 11, 1:34 PM EDT | Winter Storm Warning | JKL | 19 hr |
| Mar 13, 11:42 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 22 hr |
| Mar 17, 3:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Mar 17, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Mar 19, 4:22 PM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 55 hr |
| Mar 23, 5:07 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 38 hr |
| Mar 25, 4:43 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 69 hr |
| Mar 25, 8:52 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 46 hr |
| Mar 26, 6:11 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 31 hr |
| Mar 28, 3:16 AM EDT | Flood Watch | JKL | 43 hr |
| Mar 28, 11:48 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Mar 29, 10:48 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Apr 2, 10:11 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Apr 3, 9:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Apr 3, 9:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 3, 10:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 43 min |
| Apr 3, 10:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 48 min |
| Apr 4, 12:01 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Apr 4, 3:49 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 18 hr |
| Apr 4, 10:01 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 22 hr |
| Apr 5, 4:20 AM EDT | Winter Storm Watch | JKL | 24 hr |
| Apr 6, 4:10 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 7, 3:55 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 9, 3:31 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | JKL | 24 hr |
| Apr 9, 4:15 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 11 hr |
| Apr 10, 3:30 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 11, 3:47 AM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | JKL | 24 hr |
| Apr 12, 3:38 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | JKL | 16 hr |
| Apr 16, 4:17 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 30 hr |
| Apr 18, 11:58 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 14 hr |
| Apr 19, 4:32 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 29 hr |
| Apr 20, 3:32 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 17 hr |
| Apr 28, 3:45 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 28 hr |
| Apr 29, 9:48 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 23 hr |
| May 6, 6:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 33 min |
| May 6, 7:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 29 min |
| May 6, 10:00 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 13 hr |
| May 16, 5:38 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | JKL | 2 hr |
| May 18, 8:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 39 min |
| May 18, 8:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 2 hr |
| May 18, 9:21 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 94 min |
| May 30, 3:34 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 26 min |
| May 30, 3:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 51 min |
| May 30, 4:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 28 min |
| May 31, 12:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| May 31, 12:34 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| May 31, 12:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 47 min |
| May 31, 1:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 31 min |
| May 31, 1:45 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| May 31, 2:03 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 11 hr |
| May 31, 2:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 23 min |
| May 31, 3:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| May 31, 4:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 43 min |
| Jun 11, 5:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 49 min |
| Jun 12, 2:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 109 min |
| Jun 25, 4:28 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 32 min |
| Jun 25, 11:55 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 2 hr |
| Jun 25, 2:00 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 5 hr |
| Jun 26, 4:21 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 17 hr |
| Jun 26, 3:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 33 min |
| Jun 26, 4:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 119 min |
| Jun 27, 4:11 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 31 hr |
| Jun 27, 4:38 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 15 hr |
| Jul 1, 4:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 45 min |
| Jul 2, 2:12 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 2:26 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Jul 3, 3:20 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | JKL | 41 hr |
| Jul 15, 4:00 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 45 min |
| Jul 16, 4:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 49 min |
| Jul 20, 3:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| Jul 20, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 20, 4:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 39 min |
| Jul 20, 5:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 49 min |
| Jul 20, 5:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 34 min |
| Jul 20, 5:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 27 min |
| Jul 20, 5:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 49 min |
| Jul 20, 6:25 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 50 min |
| Jul 20, 7:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jul 20, 9:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 48 min |
| Jul 20, 10:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 48 min |
| Aug 1, 8:14 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Aug 11, 3:39 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Aug 18, 2:29 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 90 min |
| Aug 31, 8:39 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 8, 2:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 29 hr |
| Sep 8, 2:39 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 8, 2:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 37 min |
| Sep 8, 2:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Sep 8, 2:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | 61 min |
| Sep 9, 5:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 9, 5:27 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 9, 6:49 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 27 hr |
| Sep 9, 6:55 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 9, 9:42 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | JKL | 9 hr |
| Sep 10, 6:38 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | JKL | 17 hr |
| Sep 11, 11:39 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 10 hr |
| Sep 21, 6:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Sep 22, 2:50 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | JKL | 4 days |
| Sep 23, 1:42 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 24, 8:31 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 45 hr |
| Sep 24, 3:42 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 24, 6:26 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 26, 12:24 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Sep 27, 9:53 PM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 28 hr |
| Sep 28, 1:21 AM EDT | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 42 hr |
| Sep 28, 1:58 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 7 hr |
| Oct 11, 2:15 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Oct 17, 3:44 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| Oct 18, 2:55 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | JKL | 19 hr |
| Oct 20, 3:05 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 19 hr |
| Oct 20, 9:48 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 3 hr |
| Oct 21, 3:58 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | JKL | 29 hr |
| Oct 27, 3:24 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 28 hr |
| Nov 1, 4:00 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | JKL | 11 hr |
| Nov 6, 12:31 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 44 min |
| Nov 6, 12:44 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Nov 6, 1:15 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | JKL | 60 min |
| Nov 14, 4:04 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 30 hr |
| Nov 16, 5:43 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 34 hr |
| Nov 25, 5:00 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | JKL | 6 hr |
| Nov 27, 2:30 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 11 hr |
| Dec 2, 3:51 AM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 14 hr |
| Dec 4, 2:20 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 23 hr |
| Dec 8, 3:06 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | JKL | 40 hr |
| Dec 15, 4:38 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Dec 16, 9:40 AM EST | River Flood Warning | JKL | 29 hr |
| Dec 17, 2:49 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 28 hr |
| Dec 21, 10:44 AM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 4 days |
| Dec 26, 2:55 PM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 37 hr |
| Dec 31, 4:02 AM EST | Wind Advisory | JKL | 18 hr |
| Dec 31, 4:33 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | JKL | 3 days |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 8 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 3 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 12 |
| Special Weather Statement | 25 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 2 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 2 |
| River Flood Warning | 5 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 6 |
| Flood Watch | 4 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 19 |
| River Flood Advisory | 25 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 2 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 16 |
| Heat | |
| Heat Advisory | 1 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 7 |
| Freeze Watch | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 6 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 7 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 1 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 4 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20172019
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.