Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 34

April 3, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 3, 2018, 9:50 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2018, 9:50 PM EDT (01:50 UTC)
Expired
Apr 4, 2018, 3:00 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 68 counties

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Union County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Scott County, VA, Wise County, VA, Boone County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mingo County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 10:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Rockcastle43 min
Apr 3, 10:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Estill, Lee, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell and 1 more48 min
Apr 3, 10:25 PM EDTTornado WarningJKLJackson, Rockcastle18 min
Apr 3, 10:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJackson, Lee, Owsley, Rockcastle42 min
Apr 3, 10:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Powell, Wolfe37 min
Apr 3, 11:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Knott, Lee, Magoffin, Owsley, Wolfe39 min
Apr 3, 11:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXScott48 min
Apr 3, 11:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Wolfe31 min
Apr 4, 12:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Wayne, Whitley41 min
Apr 4, 12:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Hamilton, Marion, Meigs, Rhea, Sequatchie67 min
Apr 4, 12:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMorgan, Scott44 min
Apr 4, 12:24 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Scott, Union66 min
Apr 4, 12:30 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Knox, Laurel, Leslie, Perry30 min
Apr 4, 12:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Leslie, Whitley49 min
Apr 4, 12:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Floyd, Knott, Leslie, Perry46 min
Apr 4, 12:59 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Knox, Loudon, Roane46 min
Apr 4, 1:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Leslie, Letcher, Perry, Pike61 min
Apr 4, 1:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Meigs, Rhea45 min
Apr 4, 1:17 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Hancock43 min
Apr 4, 1:26 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Grainger, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins, Jefferson and 2 more64 min
Apr 4, 1:32 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Knott, Pike58 min
Apr 4, 1:35 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBuchanan, Dickenson55 min
Apr 4, 1:44 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Jefferson, Knox, Sevier46 min
Apr 4, 1:47 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLee, Russell, Scott, Wise, City of Norton43 min
Apr 4, 2:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, McMinn, Monroe, Polk26 min
Apr 4, 2:07 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGreene, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington38 min
Apr 4, 2:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan, McDowell, Mingo, Wyoming29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 282 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2018-04-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 67 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2018-04-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 242 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
67 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1229 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
242 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
401 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 9:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 26 more89 min
Apr 3, 11:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Floyd, Harlan, Knott, Knox, Leslie and 4 more86 min
Apr 4, 2:00 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Jackson and 5 more105 min
Apr 4, 1:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Dare and 20 more3 hr
Apr 3, 8:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 45 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.