Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 10

March 17, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 17, 2018, 3:33 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2018, 3:33 PM CDT (20:33 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2018, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 96 counties

Adair County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Estill County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Madison County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Blount County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Marion, Washington26 min
Mar 17, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLarue, Marion, Taylor18 min
Mar 17, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Casey, Lincoln, Marion, Taylor18 min
Mar 17, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley, Perry, Rockcastle30 min
Mar 17, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMcCreary, Pulaski, Wayne17 min
Mar 17, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Knott, Leslie, Owsley, Perry49 min
Mar 17, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPike24 min
Mar 17, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBuchanan33 min
Mar 17, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, McCreary, Whitley24 min
Mar 17, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Knox, Loudon, Roane46 min
Mar 17, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCampbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Hancock47 min
Mar 17, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Whitley31 min
Mar 17, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Knox, Laurel, Leslie33 min
Mar 17, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Hancock, Hawkins47 min
Mar 17, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXDickenson24 min
Mar 17, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Knox, Sevier34 min
Mar 17, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXRussell, Washington, Wise47 min
Mar 17, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Grainger, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins49 min
Mar 17, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGreene, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington43 min
Mar 17, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLoudon, Meigs, Rhea, Roane49 min
Mar 17, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGreene, Hawkins, Washington53 min
Mar 17, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Johnson, Sullivan, Unicoi, Washington64 min
Mar 17, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell, Yancey41 min
Mar 17, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGreene, Hancock, Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington49 min
Mar 17, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Sevier46 min
Mar 17, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXGrainger, Greene, Hamblen, Hawkins31 min
Mar 17, 8:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Johnson, Sullivan, Unicoi, Washington54 min
Mar 17, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Sevier35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 69 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
772 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 11:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian and 13 more59 min
Mar 17, 2:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt, Casey and 41 more2 hr
Mar 17, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Breathitt, Clay, Floyd, Harlan, Knott and 10 more114 min
Mar 17, 5:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay, Graham114 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.