Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Morristown, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
714 PM EDT Sat Mar 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered strong to severe showers and thunderstorms have moved
into the southern plateau counties during the last hour so have
increased pops to chance in southern areas next few hours with
recent update.

&&

.AVIATION...
Cold front will arrive this evening with shra/tsra along and
ahead of the front now through next few hours. Looks like storms
will stay just north of CHA with tsra tempos highlighting
gusty/variable winds. Winds will remain swly in the 8-12kts range
with low end gusting favored through evening. Winds will veer
nwly/nly behind front and weaken amidst persistent low clouds the
remainder of the period. Included MVFR fog near daybreak Sunday at
TRI given expected precipitation and lighter winds by morning.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

TD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
307 PM EDT Sat Mar 17 2018

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-181915-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-NW Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott-Russell-Washington-
307 PM EDT Sat Mar 17 2018 /207 PM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southwest North
Carolina...East Tennessee and Southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

...Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Possible this Afternoon and
Evening...

An upper level storm system and associated frontal boundary will
move across the Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians
late this afternoon and evening. Southwesterly flow in the low
levels continues to provide increasing moisture ahead of this
system. Therefore scattered thunderstorms are possible late this
afternoon into the evening hours. Some of these storms could
become severe with the primary threats being large hail and
damaging winds, with an isolated tornado not to be ruled out. The
greatest potential for the strongest storms will be across
southwest Virginia and northeast Tennessee.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

...Severe Thunderstorms Possible Again Monday Evening...

Another storm system will move across the Southern Appalachian
Region on Monday with strong southerly winds pulling warm, moist
and unstable air into the Tennessee Valley. A line of
thunderstorms will develop and move into southeast Tennessee.
Some of these storms could become strong to severe with the main
threat being tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail. There is a
potential of a significant outbreak of severe storms late Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening and Monday late
afternoon and evening.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
646 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2018

TNZ036-067>069-071-172330-
Anderson TN-Roane TN-Loudon TN-Knox TN-NW Blount TN-
646 PM EDT SAT MAR 17 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LOUDON...SOUTH
CENTRAL ANDERSON...SOUTHWESTERN KNOX...NORTHWESTERN BLOUNT AND ROANE
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

At 646 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Rockwood, moving east at 55 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Knoxville, Oak Ridge, Lenoir City, Alcoa, Kingston, Rockwood, Loudon,
Farragut, Fairview, Louisville, Rockford, Eagleton Village, Midtown,
Harriman, Friendsville, Bradbury, Eagle Furnace, Karns, Wildwood and
Lake Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight EDT for
east Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3574 8470 3576 8476 3579 8474 3582 8479
      3586 8473 3590 8471 3594 8462 3605 8388
      3579 8384 3573 8470
TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 262DEG 48KT 3584 8470

DH