Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 127

March 17, 201847 counties in Kentucky; 18 counties in Tennessee; 9 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 17, 2018, 2:25 PM CDT for 47 counties in Kentucky; 18 counties in Tennessee; 9 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2018, 2:25 PM CDT (19:25 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2018, 4:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 74 counties

Adair County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Estill County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 69 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
772 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 11:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian and 13 more59 min
Mar 17, 3:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt, Casey and 45 more7 hr
Mar 17, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Breathitt, Clay, Floyd, Harlan, Knott and 10 more114 min
Mar 17, 5:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBledsoe, Bradley, Coffee, Franklin, Grundy, Hamilton and 7 more114 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.