Flash Flood Warning 41, NWS Jackson, KY

408 
WGUS73 KJKL 100040
FFSJKL

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
840 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

KYC065-165-173-197-100200-
/O.CON.KJKL.FF.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180910T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Powell KY-Montgomery KY-Estill KY-Menifee KY-
840 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR
POWELL...SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...NORTHEASTERN ESTILL AND WEST
CENTRAL MENIFEE COUNTIES...

At 840 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have already
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing across the area.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Stanton, Jeffersonville, Clay City, Westbend, Clay Lick, Means,
Powell Valley, Bowen, Spout Springs, Kimbrell, Furnace and Bean.

Additional rainfall amounts of a half inch are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3789 8373 3774 8380 3780 8405 3784 8403
      3784 8400 3786 8402 3786 8401 3790 8399
      3792 8399 3793 8397 3795 8397 3798 8377

$$

GREIF

651 
WGUS73 KJKL 100150
FFSJKL

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
950 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

KYC065-165-173-197-100200-
/O.EXP.KJKL.FF.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180910T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Powell KY-Montgomery KY-Estill KY-Menifee KY-
950 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR POWELL...SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...
NORTHEASTERN ESTILL AND WEST CENTRAL MENIFEE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
1000 PM EDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flash flooding is no longer expected to 
pose a threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3789 8373 3774 8380 3780 8405 3784 8403
      3784 8400 3786 8402 3786 8401 3790 8399
      3792 8399 3793 8397 3795 8397 3798 8377

$$

GREIF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
322 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 322 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

Upper level low pressure near the southern end of lake Michigan
continues to pull slowly NNE. At the surface low pressure
centered northeast of Lexington continues to very slowly move
northeast. A trailing cold front extends southwest to just west
of Bowling Green. With the very slow movement of the upper and
surface systems, the cold front will be slow to move across
eastern KY. There is good model agreement that the front will be
near the VA border at 12Z Monday, and then push on southeast
before stalling out along the Appalachians.

With ongoing flood and flash flood warnings in the area we will
continue the flash flood watch, which is in effect until 8 PM.
Heavier rains will shift southeast of the areas that have already
been hard hit, and convection will decrease in intensity this
evening. The southeast part of the area has not experienced
repeated heavy rains like the northwest and flash flood guidance
is higher there. So even though showers and storms will continue
beyond 8 PM the threat for new flash flooding will end. However
some flood warnings may need to be extended in the northwest for
ongoing flooding that will continue well after the rain ends.

With the front stalling just to the southeast of our area along
the Appalachians, we will see much cooler air spread into eastern
KY for a couple of days. Highs on Monday will only be in the upper
60s to lower 70s and lows Monday night will be in the upper 50s to
lower 60s. Rain will end late tonight into early Monday from
northwest to southeast, but a few showers may linger in the
southeast into Monday night.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 322 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

The cold front which will move southeast of the area on Monday
will stall along the Appalachians, but will meander back into the
area by mid week. There is excellent model agreement that a
sprawling area of upper level high pressure north of Bermuda will
build west as the week progresses. With rising heights and the
surface front moving back into the area, we'll see temperatures
return to well above normal readings, with above normal
temperatures continuing into next weekend. With increasing
temperatures and moisture, and the already mentioned front moving
back into the area, the threat for afternoon and evening
thunderstorms will return by midweek, and continue into the
weekend.

The main focus for many folks during the coming week will of
course be the path of Hurricane Florence. The hurricane will
track west or west-northwest on the south side of the upper high,
before nearing or moving onshore somewhere over the southeast to
mid Atlantic coast. There is tremendous uncertainty of the path of
the hurricane, with the ECMWF still having an extreme western
solution into western VA and the latest GFS run indicating the
hurricane may not even make land fall. For our area it is
important to note that even with the western solution of the ECMWF
any significant impacts and heavy rain will remain east of
eastern KY, mainly on the east side of the Appalachians.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 131 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

Numerous showers and thunderstorms will affect the area this
afternoon into tonight as low pressure moves from central KY into
OH, and a cold front pushes towards eastern KY. Outside of showers
and thunderstorms VFR conditions and light winds will prevail
this afternoon, but MVFR to LIFR conditions and wind gusts to 30
knots will occur in and near showers and thunderstorms. The cold
front will move very slowly southeast across the area tonight and
be near the VA-KY border by 12Z Monday. Low clouds and fog will
persist in the area just behind the cold front with IFR to LIFR
conditions expected from late tonight into Monday. Conditions will
be slow to improve on Monday, with any fog gradually lifting, but
IFR ceilings persisting into the afternoon.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for KYZ044-050>052-
058>060-104-106>112-119-120.

&&

SHORT TERM...SBH
LONG TERM...SBH
AVIATION...SBH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
350 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>112-119-120-101200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
350 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Multiple rounds of showers and some thunderstorms will lead to
locally heavy rain through this evening. This rainfall could lead
to flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible at times from Wednesday through
Saturday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of heavy rain, flash
flooding, or high water.

KYZ068-069-079-080-083>088-113>118-101200-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-
Bell-Harlan-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City,
Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville,
Cumberland, Harlan, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, and Whitesburg
350 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms could produce locally heavy rain
through this evening. Localized flash flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are also possible at times from Wednesday through
Saturday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of flash flooding
or high water.

SBH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
457 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FRENCHBURG              37.95N 83.62W
09/09/2018                   MENIFEE            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER FLOWING OVER MOST COUNTY ROADS...RESULTING IN
            NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES. WATER IN ABOUT 20 HOMES LEADING
            TO A FEW WATER RESCUES. ONE SCHOOL SUSTAINED FLOODING
            DAMAGE ALONG WITH A COUPLE OF OTHER BUSINESSES.

&&

JCG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
459 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WNW STANTON           37.86N 83.91W
09/09/2018  M3.10 INCH       POWELL             KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            3.1 INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT 90 MINUTES.

&&

GREIF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
501 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     FLOOD            MOREHEAD                38.19N 83.44W
09/09/2018                   ROWAN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL VEHICLES SUBMERGED IN WATER...INCLUDING POLICE
            CRUISERS. SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO WATER COVERING THEM
            FROM OVERFLOWING CREEKS AND STREAMS. ONE PERSON CURRENTLY
            MISSING.

&&

JCG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
514 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 ESE STANTON           37.82N 83.79W
09/09/2018  M2.58 INCH       POWELL             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AMOUNT SINCE MIDNIGHT. STILL RAINING HARD.

&&

GREIF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
549 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0543 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 ESE STANTON           37.82N 83.79W
09/09/2018                   POWELL             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HALLS BRANCH OUT OF ITS BANKS AND THREATNING THE ROAD.

&&

GREIF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
619 PM EDT SUN SEP 9 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WNW FRENCHBURG        37.97N 83.70W
09/09/2018                   MENIFEE            KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER FLOWING OVER DOGTROT ROAD OUTSIDE OF FRENCHBURG.

&&

JCG