Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 563
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 15, 2021, 1:23 PM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2021, 1:23 PM CST (19:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 15, 2021, 8:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 80 kt
All 145 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Page County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Washington County, KS, Blue Earth County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Martin County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Steele County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Worth County, MO, Adams County, NE, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 70%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
106 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 1:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith | 66 min |
| Dec 15, 1:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Adams, Franklin, Webster | 15 min |
| Dec 15, 1:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Adams | 17 min |
| Dec 15, 1:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Adams, Clay, Webster | 15 min |
| Dec 15, 1:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Buffalo, Hall, Howard | 15 min |
| Dec 15, 1:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Cloud, Ottawa, Republic | 48 min |
| Dec 15, 1:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Adams, Hall, Hamilton, Merrick | 18 min |
| Dec 15, 2:03 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Clay, Hamilton | 12 min |
| Dec 15, 2:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Clay, Fillmore, Greeley, Hall, Hamilton, Howard and 7 more | 52 min |
| Dec 15, 2:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Hamilton, Merrick, Polk, York | 16 min |
| Dec 15, 2:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Boone, Butler, Colfax, Madison, Pierce and 2 more | 56 min |
| Dec 15, 2:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Hamilton, Howard, Merrick, Nance, Polk, York | 38 min |
| Dec 15, 2:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Gage, Jefferson, Lancaster, Saline, Saunders and 1 more | 64 min |
| Dec 15, 2:32 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Hamilton, Merrick, Nance, Polk | 13 min |
| Dec 15, 2:39 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Nance | 9 min |
| Dec 15, 2:39 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Boone, Madison, Platte, Stanton | 24 min |
| Dec 15, 2:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Marshall, Ottawa, Republic and 2 more | 48 min |
| Dec 15, 2:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Merrick, Polk | 17 min |
| Dec 15, 2:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | GID | Polk, York | 15 min |
| Dec 15, 2:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Colfax, Platte | 40 min |
| Dec 15, 2:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cass, Dodge, Douglas, Gage, Johnson, Lancaster and 5 more | 81 min |
| Dec 15, 2:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Butler, Colfax, Dodge, Platte | 31 min |
| Dec 15, 3:06 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Madison, Platte, Stanton | 24 min |
| Dec 15, 3:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Burt, Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Saunders and 4 more | 51 min |
| Dec 15, 3:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Cedar, Colfax, Knox, Madison, Pierce and 3 more | 62 min |
| Dec 15, 3:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Dickinson, Geary, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha and 4 more | 41 min |
| Dec 15, 3:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Plymouth, Woodbury | 67 min |
| Dec 15, 3:23 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Lancaster, Seward | 16 min |
| Dec 15, 3:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Colfax, Cuming, Stanton | 35 min |
| Dec 15, 3:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Dickinson, Geary, Riley | 13 min |
| Dec 15, 3:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Madison, Stanton, Wayne | 31 min |
| Dec 15, 3:33 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Pottawatomie, Riley | 15 min |
| Dec 15, 3:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Pottawattamie | 70 min |
| Dec 15, 3:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison, Monona | 64 min |
| Dec 15, 3:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Douglas, Saunders | 30 min |
| Dec 15, 3:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Cuming, Thurston | 45 min |
| Dec 15, 3:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown, Geary, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie and 3 more | 51 min |
| Dec 15, 3:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Dodge, Douglas, Washington | 28 min |
| Dec 15, 3:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie and 1 more | 80 min |
| Dec 15, 3:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Jackson, Pottawatomie | 10 min |
| Dec 15, 3:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Dakota, Dixon | 31 min |
| Dec 15, 4:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Woodbury | 45 min |
| Dec 15, 4:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills | 14 min |
| Dec 15, 4:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Doniphan | 72 min |
| Dec 15, 4:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Ida, Plymouth, Woodbury | 55 min |
| Dec 15, 4:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Nemaha, Pottawatomie | 20 min |
| Dec 15, 4:11 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson | 34 min |
| Dec 15, 4:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills | 33 min |
| Dec 15, 4:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Guthrie, Ringgold and 2 more | 77 min |
| Dec 15, 4:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Carroll, Crawford, Sac | 74 min |
| Dec 15, 4:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Harrison, Pottawattamie | 17 min |
| Dec 15, 4:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Plymouth, Woodbury | 28 min |
| Dec 15, 4:21 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie | 24 min |
| Dec 15, 4:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Plymouth, Woodbury | 34 min |
| Dec 15, 4:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Mills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie | 30 min |
| Dec 15, 4:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Ida, Plymouth, Woodbury | 29 min |
| Dec 15, 4:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Harrison, Monona, Shelby | 13 min |
| Dec 15, 4:32 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Plymouth, Woodbury | 28 min |
| Dec 15, 4:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown, Jackson, Jefferson, Shawnee | 27 min |
| Dec 15, 4:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Cass | 23 min |
| Dec 15, 4:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Harrison, Shelby | 23 min |
| Dec 15, 4:42 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Ida, O'Brien, Plymouth and 1 more | 33 min |
| Dec 15, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Doniphan | 62 min |
| Dec 15, 4:44 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Crawford | 36 min |
| Dec 15, 4:46 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Pottawattamie, Shelby | 20 min |
| Dec 15, 4:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | O'Brien, Sioux | 39 min |
| Dec 15, 4:51 PM CST | Tornado Warning | EAX | Doniphan | 39 min |
| Dec 15, 4:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adair, Audubon, Cass, Guthrie | 33 min |
| Dec 15, 4:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Page | 15 min |
| Dec 15, 4:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Brown, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Shawnee | 51 min |
| Dec 15, 4:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OAX | Shelby | 14 min |
| Dec 15, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Ida | 46 min |
| Dec 15, 5:03 PM CST | Tornado Warning | EAX | Atchison, Doniphan | 27 min |
| Dec 15, 5:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Sac | 27 min |
| Dec 15, 5:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Clay | 37 min |
| Dec 15, 5:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Audubon, Boone, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie and 4 more | 80 min |
| Dec 15, 5:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Carroll, Crawford | 35 min |
| Dec 15, 5:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Doniphan | 78 min |
| Dec 15, 5:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Audubon, Calhoun, Carroll, Greene, Guthrie | 31 min |
| Dec 15, 5:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Calhoun, Carroll, Crawford, Sac | 30 min |
| Dec 15, 5:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FSD | Buena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, O'Brien | 30 min |
| Dec 15, 5:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adair, Boone, Dallas, Greene, Guthrie | 42 min |
| Dec 15, 5:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Emmet, Greene, Humboldt and 5 more | 71 min |
| Dec 15, 5:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Carroll, Crawford, Sac | 23 min |
| Dec 15, 5:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Clarke, Decatur, Madison, Ringgold and 3 more | 68 min |
| Dec 15, 5:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Faribault, Martin, Watonwan | 35 min |
| Dec 15, 5:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Dickinson | 46 min |
| Dec 15, 5:36 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Calhoun, Humboldt, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas | 24 min |
| Dec 15, 5:38 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Boone, Calhoun, Greene, Hamilton, Webster | 37 min |
| Dec 15, 5:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Calhoun, Pocahontas, Webster | 30 min |
| Dec 15, 5:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Boone, Franklin, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Humboldt and 6 more | 53 min |
| Dec 15, 5:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Hancock, Humboldt, Kossuth, Palo Alto, Pocahontas | 32 min |
| Dec 15, 6:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Marion, Monroe and 2 more | 62 min |
| Dec 15, 6:19 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Hancock, Kossuth, Winnebago | 41 min |
| Dec 15, 6:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Dallas, Jasper, Lucas, Madison, Mahaska and 5 more | 66 min |
| Dec 15, 6:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan | 66 min |
| Dec 15, 6:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Franklin, Grundy and 6 more | 75 min |
| Dec 15, 6:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DMX | Butler, Cerro Gordo, Franklin | 20 min |
| Dec 15, 6:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Faribault, Freeborn | 50 min |
| Dec 15, 6:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Grundy, Hardin, Marshall, Story | 43 min |
| Dec 15, 6:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MPX | Faribault, Freeborn | 35 min |
| Dec 15, 7:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Carroll, Chariton, Grundy, Linn, Livingston and 7 more | 87 min |
| Dec 15, 7:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Waseca | 38 min |
| Dec 15, 7:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Jasper, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion and 5 more | 66 min |
| Dec 15, 7:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Rice, Steele | 42 min |
| Dec 15, 7:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy, Tama | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 2027 Severe potential...tornado watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 2028 Severe potential...watch possible
- Mesoscale Discussion 2029 Tornado watch 563
- Mesoscale Discussion 2030 Tornado watch 563
- Mesoscale Discussion 2032 Severe potential...watch likely 563
- Mesoscale Discussion 2033 Severe thunderstorm watch 564
- Mesoscale Discussion 2034 Tornado watch 563
- Mesoscale Discussion 2036 Tornado watch 565
- Mesoscale Discussion 2037 Severe thunderstorm watch 566
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2165 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 346 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 384 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
089
WWUS20 KWNS 151921
SEL3
SPC WW 151921
IAZ000-KSZ000-MNZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-160200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and central Iowa
Northeastern Kansas
South central Minnesota
Northwestern Missouri
Easterm Nebraska
Extreme southeastern South Dakota
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 120 PM
until 800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A developing squall line will move rapidly northeastward
from northern Kansas and Nebraska across Iowa and adjacent areas of
Minnesota and Missouri through this evening. Widespread damaging
winds are expected, with peak gusts near 90 mph possible. A mix of
embedded supercells and smaller-scale circulations in the line will
also pose a threat for tornadoes, with a strong tornado or two
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of Hastings NE to
50 miles south southeast of Mason City IA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23060.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 12:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 59 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 15, 3:55 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 40 more | 95 min |
| Dec 15, 4:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Cedar and 24 more | 114 min |
| Dec 15, 5:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 30 more | 119 min |
| Dec 15, 5:30 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allamakee, Benton, Buchanan, Cedar, Chickasaw, Clayton and 23 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 15, 2:29 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Butler and 34 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 15, 2:30 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cloud, Marshall, Nemaha, Republic, Washington | 90 min |
| Dec 15, 3:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 24 more | 5 hr |
| Dec 15, 5:01 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Butler and 28 more | 89 min |
| Dec 15, 5:30 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee | 90 min |
| Dec 15, 4:05 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Cherry, Hooker, Keya Paha, Thomas | 3 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2021Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2021Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.