Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 565

December 15, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 15, 2021, 5:30 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2021, 5:30 PM CST (23:30 UTC)
Expired
Dec 15, 2021, 11:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
80 kt
All 94 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Henry County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Anoka County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Washington County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Portage County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
95%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 6:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatARXChickasaw, Floyd, Howard, Mitchell68 min
Dec 15, 6:44 PM CSTTornado WarningARXFloyd32 min
Dec 15, 7:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Le Sueur, Waseca38 min
Dec 15, 7:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatDVNBenton, Iowa58 min
Dec 15, 7:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRice, Steele42 min
Dec 15, 7:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatARXDodge, Fillmore, Olmsted, Wabasha, Winona51 min
Dec 15, 7:25 PM CSTTornado WarningARXHoward20 min
Dec 15, 7:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatARXAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Winneshiek61 min
Dec 15, 7:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNJefferson, Keokuk, Van Buren59 min
Dec 15, 7:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNBuchanan57 min
Dec 15, 7:38 PM CSTTornado WarningARXWinneshiek37 min
Dec 15, 7:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue, Rice30 min
Dec 15, 7:49 PM CSTTornado WarningARXOlmsted14 min
Dec 15, 7:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatARXHouston, Wabasha, Winona67 min
Dec 15, 7:58 PM CSTTornado WarningARXWinona47 min
Dec 15, 8:01 PM CSTTornado WarningARXWabasha44 min
Dec 15, 8:06 PM CSTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Buchanan20 min
Dec 15, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNBuchanan, Delaware, Johnson, Linn, Louisa, Washington67 min
Dec 15, 8:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDunn, Pepin, Pierce, Saint Croix36 min
Dec 15, 8:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatARXAllamakee, Clayton74 min
Dec 15, 8:17 PM CSTTornado WarningMPXDunn, Pepin28 min
Dec 15, 8:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNHenry, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren57 min
Dec 15, 8:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNBenton, Iowa37 min
Dec 15, 8:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatARXClark, Jackson, La Crosse, Monroe, Vernon81 min
Dec 15, 8:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatARXAllamakee, Clayton31 min
Dec 15, 8:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, Pepin44 min
Dec 15, 8:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNJefferson, Keokuk, Van Buren26 min
Dec 15, 8:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNDelaware, Dubuque, Jones61 min
Dec 15, 8:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNCedar, Louisa, Muscatine55 min
Dec 15, 8:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNHancock, Henderson67 min
Dec 15, 9:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark25 min
Dec 15, 9:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGRBMarathon, Wood54 min
Dec 15, 9:07 PM CSTTornado WarningARXClark38 min
Dec 15, 9:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatARXGrant, Richland52 min
Dec 15, 9:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Rusk28 min
Dec 15, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNJo Daviess, Rock Island63 min
Dec 15, 9:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNHenderson, McDonough, Mercer, Warren61 min
Dec 15, 9:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXTaylor43 min
Dec 15, 9:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark16 min
Dec 15, 9:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXIowa, Lafayette, Sauk77 min
Dec 15, 9:32 PM CSTTornado WarningARXClark, Taylor28 min
Dec 15, 9:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAdams, Juneau72 min
Dec 15, 9:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDVNBureau, Carroll, Henry, Jo Daviess, Stephenson, Whiteside60 min
Dec 15, 9:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGRBLanglade, Lincoln, Marathon, Portage, Waushara, Wood65 min
Dec 15, 10:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNStephenson31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 351 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
351 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
358 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

117 
WWUS20 KWNS 152327
SEL5  
SPC WW 152327
IAZ000-ILZ000-MNZ000-MOZ000-WIZ000-160500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 565
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Iowa
  Northwest Illinois
  Southeast Minnesota
  Northeast Missouri
  Western and Central Wisconsin

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 530 PM
  until 1100 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
    possible
  Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 90
    mph expected

SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms over western Iowa is racing
east-northeastward at 60-70mph, producing widespread and significant
wind damage.  Several embedded tornadoes have also being reported. 
These storms will persist through the evening and affect the watch
area.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north of Eau Claire WI to 40
miles south southwest of Moline IL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 563...WW 564...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25060.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 4:51 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHenderson, Jo Daviess, Mercer, Rock Island114 min
Dec 15, 5:30 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams90 min
Dec 15, 12:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 59 more2 hr
Dec 15, 1:23 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone and 64 more7 hr
Dec 15, 3:55 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 40 more95 min
Dec 15, 5:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 30 more119 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2021Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.