Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 565
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 15, 2021, 5:30 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2021, 5:30 PM CST (23:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 15, 2021, 11:00 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 80 kt
All 94 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Henry County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Anoka County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Washington County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Portage County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Wood County, WI
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 90%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 95%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 6:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Chickasaw, Floyd, Howard, Mitchell | 68 min |
| Dec 15, 6:44 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Floyd | 32 min |
| Dec 15, 7:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Waseca | 38 min |
| Dec 15, 7:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Iowa | 58 min |
| Dec 15, 7:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Rice, Steele | 42 min |
| Dec 15, 7:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Dodge, Fillmore, Olmsted, Wabasha, Winona | 51 min |
| Dec 15, 7:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Howard | 20 min |
| Dec 15, 7:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Winneshiek | 61 min |
| Dec 15, 7:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jefferson, Keokuk, Van Buren | 59 min |
| Dec 15, 7:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan | 57 min |
| Dec 15, 7:38 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Winneshiek | 37 min |
| Dec 15, 7:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Goodhue, Rice | 30 min |
| Dec 15, 7:49 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Olmsted | 14 min |
| Dec 15, 7:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Houston, Wabasha, Winona | 67 min |
| Dec 15, 7:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Winona | 47 min |
| Dec 15, 8:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Wabasha | 44 min |
| Dec 15, 8:06 PM CST | Tornado Warning | DVN | Benton, Buchanan | 20 min |
| Dec 15, 8:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan, Delaware, Johnson, Linn, Louisa, Washington | 67 min |
| Dec 15, 8:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dunn, Pepin, Pierce, Saint Croix | 36 min |
| Dec 15, 8:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee, Clayton | 74 min |
| Dec 15, 8:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MPX | Dunn, Pepin | 28 min |
| Dec 15, 8:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren | 57 min |
| Dec 15, 8:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Iowa | 37 min |
| Dec 15, 8:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Clark, Jackson, La Crosse, Monroe, Vernon | 81 min |
| Dec 15, 8:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee, Clayton | 31 min |
| Dec 15, 8:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, Pepin | 44 min |
| Dec 15, 8:34 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jefferson, Keokuk, Van Buren | 26 min |
| Dec 15, 8:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Delaware, Dubuque, Jones | 61 min |
| Dec 15, 8:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Louisa, Muscatine | 55 min |
| Dec 15, 8:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, Henderson | 67 min |
| Dec 15, 9:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Clark | 25 min |
| Dec 15, 9:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Marathon, Wood | 54 min |
| Dec 15, 9:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Clark | 38 min |
| Dec 15, 9:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Grant, Richland | 52 min |
| Dec 15, 9:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Rusk | 28 min |
| Dec 15, 9:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess, Rock Island | 63 min |
| Dec 15, 9:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson, McDonough, Mercer, Warren | 61 min |
| Dec 15, 9:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Taylor | 43 min |
| Dec 15, 9:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Clark | 16 min |
| Dec 15, 9:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Iowa, Lafayette, Sauk | 77 min |
| Dec 15, 9:32 PM CST | Tornado Warning | ARX | Clark, Taylor | 28 min |
| Dec 15, 9:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Adams, Juneau | 72 min |
| Dec 15, 9:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Carroll, Henry, Jo Daviess, Stephenson, Whiteside | 60 min |
| Dec 15, 9:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Langlade, Lincoln, Marathon, Portage, Waushara, Wood | 65 min |
| Dec 15, 10:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -19 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 566 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 351 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 358 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
117
WWUS20 KWNS 152327
SEL5
SPC WW 152327
IAZ000-ILZ000-MNZ000-MOZ000-WIZ000-160500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 565
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Iowa
Northwest Illinois
Southeast Minnesota
Northeast Missouri
Western and Central Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 530 PM
until 1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 90
mph expected
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms over western Iowa is racing
east-northeastward at 60-70mph, producing widespread and significant
wind damage. Several embedded tornadoes have also being reported.
These storms will persist through the evening and affect the watch
area.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north of Eau Claire WI to 40
miles south southwest of Moline IL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 563...WW 564...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25060.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 4:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Henderson, Jo Daviess, Mercer, Rock Island | 114 min |
| Dec 15, 5:30 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams | 90 min |
| Dec 15, 12:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 59 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 15, 1:23 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone and 64 more | 7 hr |
| Dec 15, 3:55 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 40 more | 95 min |
| Dec 15, 5:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 30 more | 119 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2021Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.