Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 133

May 3, 202124 counties in Oklahoma; 33 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 3, 2021, 3:48 PM CDT for 24 counties in Oklahoma; 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2021, 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 57 counties

Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 193 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

86 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHood, Parker, Tarrant65 min
May 3, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton, Wise40 min
May 3, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Love, Murray51 min
May 3, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Murray51 min
May 3, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHood, Johnson, Parker, Tarrant63 min
May 3, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Denton, Montague, Wise59 min
May 3, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Murray26 min
May 3, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Erath, Hood, Johnson, Somervell56 min
May 3, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Murray67 min
May 3, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJohnston, Murray, Pontotoc58 min
May 3, 6:02 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFWDHood, Johnson28 min
May 3, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, McClain, Murray33 min
May 3, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLove26 min
May 3, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Cooke, Denton, Grayson64 min
May 3, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Johnston, Pontotoc42 min
May 3, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Hughes, Pontotoc40 min
May 3, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Hill, Johnson55 min
May 3, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Murray37 min
May 3, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHood, Johnson, Parker, Tarrant63 min
May 3, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Love, Marshall8 min
May 3, 6:46 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDBosque, Hill44 min
May 3, 6:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCarter, Murray3 hr
May 3, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc49 min
May 3, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Denton, Montague, Wise53 min
May 3, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Hughes43 min
May 3, 7:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDHood, Johnson, Parker117 min
May 3, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg41 min
May 3, 7:07 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCoal26 min
May 3, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Denton53 min
May 3, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Murray, Pontotoc47 min
May 3, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg45 min
May 3, 7:17 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHill, Johnson43 min
May 3, 7:17 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDCollin43 min
May 3, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal37 min
May 3, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg33 min
May 3, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHill, Johnson62 min
May 3, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Cooke, Denton, Fannin, Grayson61 min
May 3, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Johnston, Pontotoc43 min
May 3, 7:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAPittsburg3 hr
May 3, 7:41 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCoal, Pontotoc3 hr
May 3, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg48 min
May 3, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg27 min
May 3, 7:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Fannin, Grayson, Hunt42 min
May 3, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis64 min
May 3, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal46 min
May 3, 8:00 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Johnson30 min
May 3, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJohnson, Somervell, Tarrant26 min
May 3, 8:05 PM CDTTornado WarningTSALatimer25 min
May 3, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Pottawatomie, Seminole39 min
May 3, 8:07 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNAtoka8 min
May 3, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg34 min
May 3, 8:07 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Hill, Johnson38 min
May 3, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee36 min
May 3, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, Pittsburg42 min
May 3, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJohnson61 min
May 3, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPottawatomie, Seminole42 min
May 3, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan, Johnston, Marshall39 min
May 3, 8:45 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDEllis45 min
May 3, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Sequoyah53 min
May 3, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal50 min
May 3, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha32 min
May 3, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Hill65 min
May 3, 8:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNAtoka, Coal3 hr
May 3, 8:57 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNAtoka33 min
May 3, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDallas, Ellis, Kaufman59 min
May 3, 9:02 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPushmataha28 min
May 3, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Denton, Grayson35 min
May 3, 9:13 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Kaufman22 min
May 3, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah57 min
May 3, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHill, Navarro31 min
May 3, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, McClain, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie43 min
May 3, 9:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg3 hr
May 3, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDGrayson24 min
May 3, 9:38 PM CDTTornado WarningTSASequoyah37 min
May 3, 9:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Henderson, Hill, Kaufman, Navarro, Van Zandt71 min
May 3, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBell, Coryell, Lampasas67 min
May 3, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis48 min
May 3, 10:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah3 hr
May 3, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore45 min
May 3, 10:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAAdair3 hr
May 3, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore39 min
May 3, 10:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Coryell, Hamilton37 min
May 3, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDVan Zandt42 min
May 3, 10:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Hopkins, Hunt, Lamar, Rains54 min
May 3, 10:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBell, Falls, McLennan43 min
May 3, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1296 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 480 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1296 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-475 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1712 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
480 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
456 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

892 
WWUS20 KWNS 032045
SEL3  
SPC WW 032045
OKZ000-TXZ000-040400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 133
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Oklahoma
  North-central Texas

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
    inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY...Intense supercells are expected to initiate along the
dryline in north-central Texas and the surface front in southeast
Oklahoma by about 6 PM CDT. Very large hail will be the primary
initial threat, but tornadoes and significant severe winds will be
possible as well. Supercells should grow upscale into one or more
clusters with an increasing risk of damaging winds this evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles northeast of Muskogee OK to 40
miles southwest of Waco TX. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 128...WW 129...WW
130...WW 131...WW 132...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 3:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Garvin and 10 more2 hr
May 3, 5:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoal, Johnston, Love, Marshall, Murray, Pontotoc95 min
May 3, 12:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Deaf Smith, Hartley, Moore, Oldham2 hr
May 3, 2:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Cochran, Dawson, Fisher, Gaines and 12 more2 hr
May 3, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Cochran, Crosby, Dawson, Gaines and 12 more6 hr
May 3, 5:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Cochran, Dawson, Gaines, Garza, Lynn and 3 more93 min
May 3, 5:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFrio, La Salle, Medina94 min
May 3, 6:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Eastland, Fisher, Haskell, Jack, Jones and 8 more116 min
May 3, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCallahan, Eastland, Fisher, Haskell, Jack, Jones and 8 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.