Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 3, 2021, 2:15 PM MDT for 5 counties in New Mexico; 18 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 3, 2021, 2:15 PM MDT (20:15 UTC)
- Expired
- May 3, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 23 counties
Chaves County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Lea County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Kent County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, De Baca, Lincoln | 19 min |
| May 3, 2:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 51 min |
| May 3, 2:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Yoakum | 61 min |
| May 3, 3:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, De Baca, Lincoln | 55 min |
| May 3, 3:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 61 min |
| May 3, 3:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Terry, Yoakum | 54 min |
| May 3, 4:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, De Baca | 20 min |
| May 3, 4:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 43 min |
| May 3, 4:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lynn, Terry | 61 min |
| May 3, 4:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 48 min |
| May 3, 5:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Dawson, Gaines | 67 min |
| May 3, 5:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza, Lynn | 53 min |
| May 3, 5:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Hockley, Terry, Yoakum | 34 min |
| May 3, 5:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Dawson, Gaines | 51 min |
| May 3, 5:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 36 min |
| May 3, 5:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 62 min |
| May 3, 6:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Yoakum | 27 min |
| May 3, 6:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 58 min |
| May 3, 6:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza, Kent | 61 min |
| May 3, 6:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson, Howard | 52 min |
| May 3, 6:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 60 min |
| May 3, 6:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Dawson, Gaines | 44 min |
| May 3, 7:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Kent, Stonewall | 44 min |
| May 3, 7:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Mitchell, Scurry | 54 min |
| May 3, 7:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Dawson | 56 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3894 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -59 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 130 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
428
WWUS20 KWNS 032012
SEL2
SPC WW 032012
NMZ000-TXZ000-040200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 132
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
Texas South Plains
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells should develop along and north a
west/east-oriented cold front. Wind profiles are conducive to a
potentially long-track elevated supercell capable of producing a
swath of large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north
northwest of Roswell NM to 50 miles east northeast of Big Spring TX.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 128...WW 129...WW
130...WW 131...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
26040.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 11:44 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colfax, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding, Lincoln, Los Alamos and 6 more | 2 hr |
| May 3, 1:24 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lea | 2 hr |
| May 3, 2:14 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Dallas, Delta and 24 more | 2 hr |
| May 3, 2:48 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 27 more | 7 hr |
| May 3, 4:12 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Cochran, Dawson, Gaines, Garza, Lynn and 3 more | 93 min |
| May 3, 4:55 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Cooke, Denton, Grayson, Johnson, Somervell and 1 more | 95 min |
| May 3, 4:56 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Frio, La Salle, Medina | 94 min |
| May 3, 5:19 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Eastland, Fisher, Haskell, Jack, Jones and 8 more | 116 min |
| May 3, 5:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Callahan, Eastland, Fisher, Haskell, Jack, Jones and 8 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.