Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 470
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 28, 2021, 3:57 PM CDT for 6 counties in Iowa; 33 counties in Nebraska; 9 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 28, 2021, 3:57 PM CDT (20:57 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 28, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 48 counties
Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, Bon Homme County, SD, Clay County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 4:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Custer | 43 min |
| Aug 28, 4:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon, Sioux | 37 min |
| Aug 28, 4:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FSD | Lincoln, Turner | 37 min |
| Aug 28, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lincoln, Minnehaha | 42 min |
| Aug 28, 4:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FSD | Lyon | 36 min |
| Aug 28, 4:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FSD | Lyon | 30 min |
| Aug 28, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon, Sioux | 45 min |
| Aug 28, 5:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon, Osceola | 34 min |
| Aug 28, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon, Osceola | 31 min |
| Aug 28, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Custer | 46 min |
| Aug 28, 5:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon | 17 min |
| Aug 28, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Rock | 59 min |
| Aug 28, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Hanson, Lake, McCook | 31 min |
| Aug 28, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Custer | 45 min |
| Aug 28, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Minnehaha, Moody | 45 min |
| Aug 28, 6:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Hutchinson, McCook, Turner | 43 min |
| Aug 28, 6:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Custer, Logan | 39 min |
| Aug 28, 6:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Rock | 40 min |
| Aug 28, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon | 46 min |
| Aug 28, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Davison, Hanson, Lake, McCook, Miner, Sanborn | 46 min |
| Aug 28, 6:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Hanson, Lake, McCook, Minnehaha | 42 min |
| Aug 28, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon | 52 min |
| Aug 28, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garfield, Loup | 48 min |
| Aug 28, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Custer, Logan | 48 min |
| Aug 28, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garfield, Holt, Loup, Wheeler | 66 min |
| Aug 28, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Blaine, Custer, Loup | 62 min |
| Aug 28, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon | 52 min |
| Aug 28, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Hanson, Lake, McCook, Miner, Minnehaha, Moody | 50 min |
| Aug 28, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Bon Homme, Hutchinson, Turner, Yankton | 48 min |
| Aug 28, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Frontier, Lincoln | 44 min |
| Aug 28, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Custer | 33 min |
| Aug 28, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Boone, Knox, Pierce | 63 min |
| Aug 28, 7:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lake, McCook, Minnehaha, Moody, Turner | 31 min |
| Aug 28, 7:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Bon Homme, Clay, Hutchinson, Lincoln, Turner, Yankton | 40 min |
| Aug 28, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Cedar, Knox | 52 min |
| Aug 28, 7:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Greeley, Valley | 48 min |
| Aug 28, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Antelope, Boone, Madison, Pierce, Platte | 54 min |
| Aug 28, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Lyon, Osceola, Sioux | 23 min |
| Aug 28, 9:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Colfax, Cuming, Madison, Pierce, Platte, Stanton and 1 more | 55 min |
| Aug 28, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FSD | Dickinson, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Sioux | 47 min |
| Aug 28, 9:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FSD | Lincoln, Minnehaha | 85 min |
| Aug 28, 9:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FSD | Lyon | 3 hr |
| Aug 28, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Burt, Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Saunders and 1 more | 40 min |
| Aug 28, 10:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FSD | Lyon, Osceola | 4 hr |
| Aug 28, 10:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FSD | Dickinson, Osceola | 5 hr |
| Aug 28, 10:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FSD | Lincoln, Minnehaha | 114 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 929 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -277 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1419 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.7
The text
As transmitted.
581
WWUS20 KWNS 282056
SEL0
SPC WW 282056
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 470
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Iowa
Central to northeast Nebraska
Southeast South Dakota
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters should develop from southeast South
Dakota into central Nebraska with a risk of mainly wind and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast
of Sioux Falls SD to 50 miles west southwest of Kearney NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 469...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 7:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Clayton, Fayette | 2 hr |
| Aug 27, 9:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Bremer, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd and 3 more | 93 min |
| Aug 28, 2:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lyon, Osceola, Plymouth, Sioux | 3 hr |
| Aug 28, 5:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Emmet | 63 min |
| Aug 28, 2:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Day, Edmunds, Grant, McPherson, Marshall and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 28, 2:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brown, Campbell, Clark, Codington, Corson, Day and 10 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 28, 5:42 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Clark, Codington, Day, Deuel, Edmunds and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 28, 7:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brown, Clark, Codington, Day, Deuel, Edmunds and 7 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 28, 3:44 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Brookings, Lake, Moody | 5 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.