Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 470

August 28, 20216 counties in Iowa; 33 counties in Nebraska; 9 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 28, 2021, 3:57 PM CDT for 6 counties in Iowa; 33 counties in Nebraska; 9 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 28, 2021, 3:57 PM CDT (20:57 UTC)
Expired
Aug 28, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 48 counties

Lyon County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Knox County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, Bon Homme County, SD, Clay County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 28, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster43 min
Aug 28, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDLyon, Sioux37 min
Aug 28, 4:23 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLincoln, Turner37 min
Aug 28, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLincoln, Minnehaha42 min
Aug 28, 4:39 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFSDLyon36 min
Aug 28, 4:45 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLyon30 min
Aug 28, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDLyon, Sioux45 min
Aug 28, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDLyon, Osceola34 min
Aug 28, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDLyon, Osceola31 min
Aug 28, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster46 min
Aug 28, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon17 min
Aug 28, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Rock59 min
Aug 28, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHanson, Lake, McCook31 min
Aug 28, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster45 min
Aug 28, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDMinnehaha, Moody45 min
Aug 28, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHutchinson, McCook, Turner43 min
Aug 28, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Logan39 min
Aug 28, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFBlaine, Custer, Garfield, Holt, Loup, Rock40 min
Aug 28, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon46 min
Aug 28, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDavison, Hanson, Lake, McCook, Miner, Sanborn46 min
Aug 28, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHanson, Lake, McCook, Minnehaha42 min
Aug 28, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon52 min
Aug 28, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFGarfield, Loup48 min
Aug 28, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Logan48 min
Aug 28, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLBFGarfield, Holt, Loup, Wheeler66 min
Aug 28, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBlaine, Custer, Loup62 min
Aug 28, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDLyon52 min
Aug 28, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDHanson, Lake, McCook, Miner, Minnehaha, Moody50 min
Aug 28, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBon Homme, Hutchinson, Turner, Yankton48 min
Aug 28, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier, Lincoln44 min
Aug 28, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster33 min
Aug 28, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Knox, Pierce63 min
Aug 28, 7:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLake, McCook, Minnehaha, Moody, Turner31 min
Aug 28, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBon Homme, Clay, Hutchinson, Lincoln, Turner, Yankton40 min
Aug 28, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Knox52 min
Aug 28, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Valley48 min
Aug 28, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Madison, Pierce, Platte54 min
Aug 28, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon, Osceola, Sioux23 min
Aug 28, 9:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXColfax, Cuming, Madison, Pierce, Platte, Stanton and 1 more55 min
Aug 28, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDickinson, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Sioux47 min
Aug 28, 9:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDLincoln, Minnehaha85 min
Aug 28, 9:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDLyon3 hr
Aug 28, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Butler, Colfax, Cuming, Dodge, Saunders and 1 more40 min
Aug 28, 10:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDLyon, Osceola4 hr
Aug 28, 10:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDDickinson, Osceola5 hr
Aug 28, 10:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDLincoln, Minnehaha114 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 929 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
929 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-277 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1419 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

581 
WWUS20 KWNS 282056
SEL0  
SPC WW 282056
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 470
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Iowa
  Central to northeast Nebraska
  Southeast South Dakota

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple clusters should develop from southeast South
Dakota into central Nebraska with a risk of mainly wind and hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast
of Sioux Falls SD to 50 miles west southwest of Kearney NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 469...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 27, 7:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette2 hr
Aug 27, 9:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd and 3 more93 min
Aug 28, 2:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon, Osceola, Plymouth, Sioux3 hr
Aug 28, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEmmet63 min
Aug 28, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Day, Edmunds, Grant, McPherson, Marshall and 1 more2 hr
Aug 28, 2:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Campbell, Clark, Codington, Corson, Day and 10 more5 hr
Aug 28, 5:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Clark, Codington, Day, Deuel, Edmunds and 8 more2 hr
Aug 28, 7:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Clark, Codington, Day, Deuel, Edmunds and 7 more5 hr
Aug 28, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBrookings, Lake, Moody5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.